Miami Marlins at Boston Red Sox Matchup 6/29/23

On Thursday, Brayan Bello will be on the hill when the Boston Red Sox (40-41) host the Miami Marlins (47-34), who will counter with Jesus Luzardo. First pitch is at 6:10 PM ET.

Matchup

Game Spread Team Totals Over/Under Moneyline Charts
Game Hitters Rating Pitchers Rating Open Current Open Current Open Current Open Current Line Moves
Miami Marlins Miami Marlins Marlins Conf Confirmed 0 0 +1.5 (-194) -1.5 (+158) 3.5 4.5 9.5 runs 8.5 runs +106 -102 line-movement
Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox Red Sox Conf Confirmed 0 0 -1.5 (+160) +1.5 (-192) 4.5 3.5 -124 -116

Odds Comparison

Vegas vs. Lineups.com Odds
Vegas Difference Vegas Difference
Moneyline -102 102 -116 116
Totals 4.5 4.5 3.5 3.5
Win Probability 50% 50% 53% 53%
Over/Under
Vegas Difference
Over/Under 8.5 8.5
Against the Spread(ATS) History
ATS Home Away
40-37 18-23 22-14
40-36 20-21 20-15
Over/Under History
Over/Under Home Away
36-42-2 16-23-2 20-19-0
43-36-2 24-16-1 19-20-1
Line Overall Home Away Overall Home Away
7 or less 4-5-1 3-4-1 1-1-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
8 or 8.5 27-27-1 12-18-1 15-9-0 19-16-1 4-7-0 15-9-1
9 or 9.5 3-8-0 1-1-0 2-7-0 20-16-1 16-7-1 4-9-0
10 or 10.5 1-0-0 0-0-0 1-0-0 3-4-0 3-2-0 0-2-0
11 and over 1-2-0 0-0-0 1-2-0 1-0-0 1-0-0 0-0-0

Bet Splits

Record Win % Cover Spread % Avg Point Totals
Away 22-18 55% 55 4.3
Favorite 26-12 68.4% 50 4.6
After Win 25-18 58.1% 51.2 4.2
Record Win % Cover Spread % Avg Point Totals
Home 21-20 51.2% 48.8 5.7
Underdog 23-24 48.9% 55.3 4.6
After Losses 16-22 42.1% 36.8 4.4

Scoring

Offense Scoring (Home)
Total 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
5.0 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.5 0.5
5.6 0.8 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.7 0.2
Defense Scoring Allowed (Away)
Total 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
5.0 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.3
4.2 0.5 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.4
Offense Scoring (Away)
Total 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
3.8 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4
4.1 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3
Defense Scoring Allowed (Home)
Total 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
4.4 0.6 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.2
5.2 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.7 0.7

Miami Marlins Last 6 Matchups

Game Opponent
Date Score Team ML Opp ML Over/Under Total Starting Pitcher OPS Avg Total Starting Pitcher OPS Avg
6/28/23 MIA 6 @ BOS 2 -134 +114 9 runs 4.9 runs Braxton Garrett (L) .780 .219 4.0 runs (R) .598 .242
6/27/23 MIA 10 @ BOS 1 +110 -130 9.5 runs 4.3 runs Sandy Alcantara (R) 1.091 .422 5.1 runs Garrett Whitlock (R) .659 .265
6/25/23 MIA 2 vs PIT 0 -172 +144 7 runs 4.2 runs Eury Pérez (R) .719 .281 2.7 runs Johan Oviedo (R) .338 .156
6/24/23 MIA 4 vs PIT 3 -172 +144 8 runs 4.8 runs Bryan Hoeing (R) .766 .300 3.1 runs Osvaldo Bido (R) .523 .154
6/23/23 MIA 1 vs PIT 3 -230 +190 7.5 runs 5.0 runs Jesús Luzardo (L) .505 .219 2.5 runs Luis L. Ortiz (R) .461 .219
6/22/23 MIA 6 vs PIT 4 -166 +140 7 runs 4.2 runs Braxton Garrett (L) .769 .303 2.8 runs Mitch Keller (R) .612 .156

Boston Red Sox Last 6 Matchups

Game Opponent
Date Score Team ML Opp ML Over/Under Total Starting Pitcher OPS Avg Total Starting Pitcher OPS Avg
6/28/23 BOS 2 vs MIA 6 +114 -134 9 runs 4.0 runs (R) .598 .242 4.9 runs Braxton Garrett (L) .780 .219
6/27/23 BOS 1 vs MIA 10 -130 +110 9.5 runs 5.1 runs Garrett Whitlock (R) .659 .265 4.3 runs Sandy Alcantara (R) 1.091 .422
6/25/23 BOS 1 @ CHW 4 -124 +106 10 runs 5.3 runs Kutter Crawford (R) .469 .156 4.6 runs (L) .773 .241
6/24/23 BOS 4 @ CHW 5 -116 -102 8.5 runs 4.3 runs James Paxton (L) .678 .250 4.1 runs Lance Lynn (R) .935 .286
6/24/23 BOS 3 @ CHW 1 -124 +106 8.5 runs 4.5 runs Brayan Bello (R) .395 .125 3.9 runs Lucas Giolito (R) .611 .242
6/22/23 BOS 0 @ MIN 6 +124 -146 9 runs 3.8 runs Justin Garza (R) .200 .100 5.1 runs Joe Ryan (R) .997 .303

Marlins vs. Red Sox Odds and Game Info

  • Date: Thursday, June 29, 2023
  • Time: 6:10 PM ET
  • TV: NESN
  • Red Sox Starter: Brayan Bello
  • Marlins Starter: Jesús Luzardo
  • Moneyline Favorite: Red Sox -115
  • Moneyline Underdog: Marlins -105
  • Spread Favorite: Marlins -1.5
  • Over/Under: 9 runs

Marlins vs. Red Sox Matchup Statistics

  • The Red Sox score the eighth-most runs in baseball (397 total, 4.9 per game).
  • Boston is 33-9 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
  • The Marlins rank 24th in the majors with 332 total runs scored this season.
  • Miami has a 31-10 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • The Red Sox have the 22nd-ranked team ERA among all MLB pitching staffs (4.49).
  • The pitching staff for Boston has a collective 8.7 K/9, which ranks 15th in MLB.
  • Marlins pitchers have a combined ERA of 3.93 ERA this year, which ranks 11th in MLB.
  • Miami averages 9.4 strikeouts per nine innings as a pitching staff, sixth-most in the majors.

Marlins vs. Red Sox Previous Meetings

Date Favorite Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Result
6/28/2023 Marlins -1.5 9 -130 +110 6-2 MIA
6/27/2023 Red Sox -1.5 9.5 -135 +115 10-1 MIA

Red Sox Leaders

  • Alex Verdugo has put up an on-base percentage of .374 and a slugging percentage of .471. Both lead the Red Sox.
  • Among all qualifying hitters in the major leagues, Verdugo's batting average places him ninth, his on-base percentage ranks 15th, and he is 43rd in slugging.
  • Rafael Devers' 73 hits lead his team.
  • Among all qualified hitters, Devers ranks 99th in batting average, 106th in on-base percentage and 25th in slugging percentage.
  • Devers has a hit in two straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .353 with two home runs, four walks and three RBI.
  • Justin Turner is batting .275 with 17 doubles, 11 home runs and 31 walks.
  • Masataka Yoshida is batting .297 with 17 doubles, two triples, eight home runs and 27 walks.

Marlins Leaders

  • Luis Arraez has generated a .447 on-base percentage and a .490 slugging percentage, both averages are good enough to lead the Marlins.
  • Arraez sits at No. 1 in MLB this season with a .396 batting average, and also ranks first in OBP (.447). His .490 slugging percentage is 29th in baseball entering this game.
  • Jorge Soler has racked up 69 hits to lead his team.
  • Soler's .247 average ranks 93rd in MLB among qualified hitters, while his OBP (.347) sits at No. 42 in the league. He ranks 13th with a .520 slugging percentage.
  • Bryan De La Cruz is batting .282 with 17 doubles, nine home runs and 23 walks.
  • Yuli Gurriel has nine doubles, three triples, three home runs and 14 walks while hitting .268.

Marlins vs. Red Sox Injury Report

  • Red Sox: Pablo Reyes: 10-Day Injured List (Abdominal), Reese McGuire: 10-Day Injured List (Oblique), Tanner Houck: 15-Day Injured List (Face), Corey Kluber: 15-Day Injured List (Shoulder), Richard Bleier: 15-Day Injured List (Shoulder), Joely Rodriguez: 15-Day Injured List (Shouder), Chris Sale: 60-Day Injured List (Shoulder), John Schreiber: 60-Day Injured List (Back), Zack Kelly: 60-Day Injured List (Elbow), Yu Chang: 60-Day Injured List (Wrist), Trevor Story: 60-Day Injured List (Elbow), Adalberto Mondesi: 60-Day Injured List (Knee), Wyatt Mills: 60-Day Injured List (Elbow), James Paxton: Day-to-day (Knee), Masataka Yoshida: Day-to-day (Forearm)
  • Marlins: Avisaíl García: 10-Day Injured List (Back), Edward Cabrera: 15-Day Injured List (Shoulder), Matt Barnes: 15-Day Injured List (Hip), Trevor Rogers: 60-Day Injured List (Bicep), Johnny Cueto: 60-Day Injured List (Ankle), Tommy Nance: 60-Day Injured List (Shoulder), Anthony Bender: 60-Day Injured List (Elbow), Max Meyer: 60-Day Injured List (Elbow)