MLB Prediction Model Accuracy

We currently don't have a machine learning model for MLB. Weare currently working on revamping our Random Forest model that performed so well in 2017. In the meantime, the Basic Model below is essentially an average of the pitcher and hitter's stats. We recommend only using the Basic Model for informative purposes and a baseline for updating your own inputs in the Bet Predictor. It is not a premium model.

Overview

Total Bets Made Win Loss Push Bet Win % Bet Units Bet Amount Net Profit ROI
8470 3320 1551 1713 56 47%
$44,931.00 -$22.47 -0.05%

Detailed Results

Date Model Game Bet Type Bet Probability% EV Bet Units Result Bet Amount Net Profit ROI
3/29/18 Basic CHC @ MIA Moneyline MIA (+190) 47% +34.85
Loss $18.34 -$18.34 -100%
3/29/18 Basic CHC @ MIA Under Under (8) 38% -22.75
Loss $0.00 - -
3/29/18 Basic CHC @ MIA Over Over (8) 54% +16.5
Win $16.50 $16.50 100%
3/29/18 Basic CHC @ MIA Moneyline CHC (-220) 54% -22.18
Win $0.00 - -
3/29/18 Basic CHC @ MIA Moneyline MIA (+190) 47% +34.85
Loss $18.34 -$18.34 -100%
3/29/18 Basic CHC @ MIA Spread MIA +1.5 (+109) 60% +25.4
Loss $23.30 -$23.30 -100%
3/29/18 Basic CHC @ MIA Spread CHC -1.5 (-120) 40% -26.67
Win $0.00 - -
3/29/18 Basic STL @ NYM Moneyline NYM (-138) 56% -4.28
Win $0.00 - -
3/29/18 Basic STL @ NYM Spread NYM -1.5 (+153) 38% -3.86
Win $0.00 - -
3/29/18 Basic STL @ NYM Under Under (6.5) 34% -37.37
Loss $0.00 - -
3/29/18 Basic STL @ NYM Moneyline STL (+118) 45% -2.99
Loss $0.00 - -
3/29/18 Basic STL @ NYM Spread STL +1.5 (-170) 62% -1.53
Loss $0.00 - -
3/29/18 Basic STL @ NYM Over Over (6.5) 67% +29.83
Win $31.32 $29.83 95.24%
3/29/18 Basic STL @ NYM Moneyline NYM (-138) 56% -4.28
Win $0.00 - -
3/29/18 Basic MIN @ BAL Spread MIN +1.5 (-177) 60% -6.1
Win $0.00 - -
3/29/18 Basic MIN @ BAL Moneyline BAL (-122) 53% -4.05
Win $0.00 - -
3/29/18 Basic MIN @ BAL Moneyline MIN (+102) 47% -4.51
Loss $0.00 - -
3/29/18 Basic MIN @ BAL Over Over (9.5) 37% -27.23
Loss $0.00 - -
3/29/18 Basic MIN @ BAL Spread BAL -1.5 (+159) 40% +3.6
Loss $2.26 -$2.26 -100%
3/29/18 Basic MIN @ BAL Under Under (9.5) 63% +17.27
Win $19.86 $17.27 86.96%
3/29/18 Basic MIN @ BAL Moneyline BAL (-122) 53% -4.05
Win $0.00 - -
3/29/18 Basic HOU @ TEX Under Under (9.5) 60% +20
Win $20.00 $20.00 100%
3/29/18 Basic HOU @ TEX Spread TEX +1.5 (-113) 49% -6.69
Loss $0.00 - -
3/29/18 Basic HOU @ TEX Moneyline HOU (-172) 66% +4.37
Win $7.52 $4.37 58.14%
3/29/18 Basic HOU @ TEX Moneyline TEX (+147) 34% -16.02
Loss $0.00 - -
3/29/18 Basic HOU @ TEX Spread HOU -1.5 (+102) 51% +2.01
Win $1.97 $2.01 102%
3/29/18 Basic HOU @ TEX Over Over (9.5) 40% -26.67
Loss $0.00 - -
3/29/18 Basic HOU @ TEX Moneyline TEX (+147) 34% -16.02
Loss $0.00 - -
3/29/18 Basic NYY @ TOR Over Over (8.5) 56% +4.79
Loss $5.51 -$5.51 -100%
3/29/18 Basic NYY @ TOR Under Under (8.5) 44% -14.19
Win $0.00 - -
3/29/18 Basic NYY @ TOR Spread TOR +1.5 (-110) 59% +13.09
Loss $14.39 -$14.39 -100%
3/29/18 Basic NYY @ TOR Moneyline NYY (-172) 58% -8.34
Win $0.00 - -
3/29/18 Basic NYY @ TOR Moneyline TOR (+147) 42% +3.83
Loss $2.61 -$2.61 -100%
3/29/18 Basic NYY @ TOR Spread NYY -1.5 (-100) 41% -18.47
Win $0.00 - -
3/29/18 Basic NYY @ TOR Moneyline TOR (+147) 42% +3.83
Loss $2.61 -$2.61 -100%
3/29/18 Basic LAA @ OAK Over Over (9) 44% -9.1
Win $0.00 - -
3/29/18 Basic LAA @ OAK Moneyline LAA (-123) 51% -7.03
Loss $0.00 - -
3/29/18 Basic LAA @ OAK Spread LAA -1.5 (+140) 40% -3.59
Loss $0.00 - -
3/29/18 Basic LAA @ OAK Spread OAK +1.5 (-155) 60% -1.57
Win $0.00 - -
3/29/18 Basic LAA @ OAK Moneyline OAK (+103) 49% -1.1
Win $0.00 - -
3/29/18 Basic LAA @ OAK Under Under (9) 47% +1.18
Loss $1.24 -$1.24 -100%
3/29/18 Basic LAA @ OAK Moneyline OAK (+103) 49% -1.1
Win $0.00 - -
3/29/18 Basic BOS @ TB Spread TB +1.5 (-110) 59% +12.64
Win $13.90 $12.64 90.91%
3/29/18 Basic BOS @ TB Over Over (7) 47% -7.06
Win $0.00 - -
3/29/18 Basic PHI @ ATL Spread PHI -1.5 (+127) 40% -10.33
Loss $0.00 - -
3/29/18 Basic BOS @ TB Under Under (7) 41% +1.22
Loss $1.07 -$1.07 -100%
3/29/18 Basic BOS @ TB Spread BOS -1.5 (+100) 41% -18
Loss $0.00 - -
3/29/18 Basic PHI @ ATL Moneyline ATL (+105) 43% -11.85
Win $0.00 - -
3/29/18 Basic PHI @ ATL Moneyline ATL (+105) 43% -11.85
Win $0.00 - -
3/29/18 Basic PHI @ ATL Over Over (8) 45% +0.5
Win $0.50 $0.50 100%
3/29/18 Basic PHI @ ATL Spread ATL +1.5 (-140) 60% +3.71
Win $5.20 $3.71 71.43%
3/29/18 Basic BOS @ TB Moneyline TB (+150) 45% +12.5
Win $8.33 $12.50 150%
3/29/18 Basic PHI @ ATL Moneyline PHI (-125) 57% +2.6
Loss $3.25 -$3.25 -100%
3/29/18 Basic BOS @ TB Moneyline BOS (-175) 55% -13.57
Loss $0.00 - -
3/29/18 Basic MIL @ SD Moneyline SD (+105) 41% -15.95
Loss $0.00 - -
3/29/18 Basic PHI @ ATL Under Under (8) 45% -7.92
Loss $0.00 - -
3/29/18 Basic MIL @ SD Spread MIL -1.5 (+136) 45% +6.2
Loss $4.56 -$4.56 -100%
3/29/18 Basic BOS @ TB Moneyline TB (+150) 45% +12.5
Win $8.33 $12.50 150%
3/29/18 Basic MIL @ SD Under Under (8) 46% -6.67
Win $0.00 - -
3/29/18 Basic MIL @ SD Moneyline SD (+105) 41% -15.95
Loss $0.00 - -
3/29/18 Basic MIL @ SD Spread SD +1.5 (-150) 55% -8.33
Win $0.00 - -
3/29/18 Basic MIL @ SD Moneyline MIL (-125) 59% +6.2
Win $7.75 $6.20 80%
3/29/18 Basic MIL @ SD Over Over (8) 45% -1
Loss $0.00 - -
3/29/18 Basic CHW @ KC Moneyline KC (-130) 49% -13.31
Loss $0.00 - -
3/29/18 Basic CHW @ KC Moneyline CHW (+110) 51% +7.1
Win $6.45 $7.10 110%
3/29/18 Basic CHW @ KC Moneyline KC (-130) 49% -13.31
Loss $0.00 - -
3/29/18 Basic CHW @ KC Spread CHW +1.5 (-170) 68% +8
Win $13.60 $8.00 58.82%
3/29/18 Basic CHW @ KC Under Under (8.5) 51% +1
Loss $1.00 -$1.00 -100%
3/29/18 Basic CHW @ KC Spread KC -1.5 (+153) 32% -19.04
Loss $0.00 - -
3/29/18 Basic CHW @ KC Over Over (8.5) 49% -9.25
Win $0.00 - -
3/30/18 Basic CLE @ SEA Moneyline SEA (+150) 49% +23.75
Win $15.83 $23.75 150%
3/30/18 Basic COL @ ARI Spread COL +1.5 (-210) 69% +2.6
Loss $5.45 -$5.45 -100%
3/30/18 Basic COL @ ARI Spread ARI -1.5 (+188) 30% -12.16
Win $0.00 - -
3/30/18 Basic COL @ ARI Under Under (8.5) 56% +13.78
Loss $13.12 -$13.12 -100%
3/30/18 Basic COL @ ARI Moneyline COL (-108) 58% +12.67
Loss $13.68 -$13.68 -100%
3/30/18 Basic COL @ ARI Over Over (8.5) 45% -19.9
Win $0.00 - -
3/30/18 Basic COL @ ARI Moneyline ARI (-112) 41% -21.45
Win $0.00 - -
3/30/18 Basic CLE @ SEA Over Over (7) 64% +28.83
Loss $34.60 -$34.60 -100%
3/30/18 Basic CLE @ SEA Spread SEA +1.5 (-104) 63% +23.58
Win $24.52 $23.58 96.15%
3/30/18 Basic CLE @ SEA Moneyline SEA (+150) 49% +23.75
Win $15.83 $23.75 150%
3/30/18 Basic CLE @ SEA Moneyline CLE (-175) 51% -20.64
Loss $0.00 - -
3/30/18 Basic COL @ ARI Moneyline ARI (-112) 41% -21.45
Win $0.00 - -
3/30/18 Basic CLE @ SEA Under Under (7) 24% -39.5
Win $0.00 - -
3/30/18 Basic CLE @ SEA Spread CLE -1.5 (-106) 37% -28.09
Loss $0.00 - -
3/30/18 Basic PIT @ DET Moneyline DET (+105) 44% -9.8
Loss $0.00 - -
3/30/18 Basic PIT @ DET Spread DET +1.5 (-139) 58% -0.27
Loss $0.00 - -
3/30/18 Basic PIT @ DET Over Over (9) 37% -25.4
Win $0.00 - -
3/30/18 Basic PIT @ DET Moneyline DET (+105) 44% -9.8
Loss $0.00 - -
3/30/18 Basic PIT @ DET Moneyline PIT (-125) 56% +0.8
Win $1.00 $0.80 80%
3/30/18 Basic PIT @ DET Spread PIT -1.5 (+126) 42% -5.08
Win $0.00 - -
3/30/18 Basic PIT @ DET Under Under (9) 55% +20.75
Loss $19.76 -$19.76 -100%
3/30/18 Basic NYY @ TOR Under Under (8.5) 36% -36.09
Win $0.00 - -
3/30/18 Basic NYY @ TOR Spread NYY -1.5 (+116) 47% +1.74
Win $1.50 $1.74 116%
3/30/18 Basic NYY @ TOR Moneyline TOR (+130) 38% -11.67
Loss $0.00 - -
3/30/18 Basic NYY @ TOR Spread TOR +1.5 (-128) 53% -5.77
Loss $0.00 - -
3/30/18 Basic NYY @ TOR Over Over (8.5) 64% +32.21
Loss $30.68 -$30.68 -100%
3/30/18 Basic NYY @ TOR Moneyline NYY (-150) 62% +2.66
Win $3.99 $2.66 66.67%
3/30/18 Basic NYY @ TOR Moneyline TOR (+130) 38% -11.67
Loss $0.00 - -
3/30/18 Basic CHC @ MIA Moneyline MIA (+185) 41% +15.43
Win $8.34 $15.43 185%
3/30/18 Basic CHC @ MIA Spread CHC -1.5 (-124) 46% -17.81
Loss $0.00 - -