\r\n
As is the case with point spread or moneyline handicapping, it is necessary to distinguish an expected game script when considering over/under wagers. Teams with high-flying offenses could be running up and down the field and scoring points at will over four quarters. On the contrary, a stifling defense has the potential to dictate the course of an entire game. Placing over/under bets blindly is not advised. Spend time watching the teams in question for any insight you might be able to glean on how their games tend to unfold.\r\n\r\n
Knowing how the teams in question matchup against one another is very important for over/under handicapping. Matchups should be considered at both the broad level of offense vs. defense and at the more specific level of individual player battles. For instance, a team might not be known for putting up a ton of points, but scoring could come easier in a game where their polished receivers and strong-armed quarterback will be going up against a banged-up and vulnerable secondary.\r\n\r\n
Believe it or not, studying the trends and decision-making of coaches is one of the most important parts of a sound over/under handicapping strategy. Oddsmakers know what they are doing when they create the lines on a game. With this in mind, it is fair to expect many games to finish right around the over/under. The decisions of coaches could be what ultimately sways the bet. An aggressive coach who isn’t afraid to go for it on fourth and short or take a shot at a 2-point conversion gives his team a greater chance of scoring more points than a passive coach who never considers going for 2 after a score and is content to settle for a field goal when a drive stalls. Being familiar with the tendencies of each coach in question has the potential to prove invaluable.\r\n\r\n
Fading the pubic and betting with a contrarian attitude is not a bad strategy in general. When it comes to over/under wagering, especially in the Super Bowl, there’s a lot to be said for going against the grain. The public will almost always be on the over of a game total. Everyone likes to see points scored. Recreational bettors who aren’t wagering with an opinion are prone to betting with their hearts. Just as a public bettor might back his/her team to win because they want it to happen, so to will they back the over on a game total. Heavy traffic in one direction can lead to inflated lines and provide even better value for those who choose to fade the public market.\r\n\r\n
There is a long list of betting trends that have been recorded specifically for the Super Bowl. Among them are over/under trends. The only Super Bowl that is not a part of the data is Super Bowl I, as there was no total posted for the game between the Green Bay Packers and Kansas City Chiefs.\r\n\r\n
General handicapping knowledge states to never bet solely on the back of any trend. For those who might be tempted to do so anyway, there is a silver lining in that neither the over nor the under has gained any substantial edge when it comes to the Super Bowl. After 53 editions of the Big Game for which an over/under line was created, the over has hit 27 times and the under 26, an equal success rate for both sides.\r\n\r\n
The past 20 seasons have been a microcosm of the overall equal success rate for both the over and under in the Super Bowl. Each has cashed 10 times apiece over that span. In the last ten Super Bowls, the over has hit 6 times, while the under has cashed in each of the last two seasons (2019, 2020) and three of the last five. Refer to the images below for a look at how the points total played out in each Super Bowl.\r\n\r\n\r\n
\r\n \tSuper Bowl over/under odds will be available at any sportsbook taking action on the NFL’s championship game. Once you decide on a book, the odds will be easy to find. Look for them to be listed right along with the moneyline and point spread odds for the game.\r\n
\r\n\r\n \tWhile jumping on the opening line ensures that you get the purest form of the number, it may not yield the most value. With many people betting on the Super Bowl, there is a real chance that line movement could create a number with better value than the initial odds.\r\n
\r\n\r\n \tRemember that you should never bet just to bet. A wager on the Super Bowl game total should only be made after conducting thorough research on the game, teams, and other relevant factors. Try to visualize in your mind how the game will play out when taking a betting position.\r\n
\r\n\r\n \tYes! If you are confident in your over/under bet, there are bound to be other bets on the board to consider. The endless list of Super Bowl props allows a real opportunity to exploit a strong lean on the game in multiple ways.\r\n
\r\n\r\n \tIn the 53 Super Bowls for which a points total line has been set, the game has gone over the total 27 times.\r\n
\r\n\r\n \tThe over holds a one-game lead in the overall standings, but the under holds the longest winning streak in the Super Bowl points total battles. From 1969-1975, Super Bowls III-IX all went under the total, a run of 7 straight.\r\n
\r\n The United States legal online betting scene has jumped from just a few legal states this time last year, to now over 20 legalized states.
DraftKings - DraftKings Sportsbook is one of the top operators in the United States and brings both sports betting and fantasy to the table. Signing up is simple and new users can get up to a $1,000 deposit match + $250 in site credits. New users also will be able to take advantage of any Super Bowl offers that they provide.
\r\nBetMGM - You likely have heard of the MGM brand, as they are a major operator in the entertainment industry. BetMGM has up to a $1,000 first bet offer to use for new users. That means you can deposit and place a bet up to $1,000 and if it loses, you will get that money back in the form of bonus bets. Use BetMGM bonus code “LINEUPS”
\r\nCaesars Sportsbook - After rebranding William Hill’s sportsbook as their own this past year, Caesars Sportsbook has jumped into one of the top operators. The strong platform and image have given the public another recognizable sportsbook to use. If you are not a Caesars Sportsbook member, they are matching your first bet on Caesars up to $1,250. That means your first wager will be refunded in site credit up to $1,250 if it loses. Just use promo code “LINEUPSFULL”
\r\nFanDuel - Another early operator that has made a push for being one of the tops in the country is FanDuel. New users will get a $1,000 no sweat bet that is refunded bonus bets upon settlement of your first wager if it loses. The bonus bets will come in as a bonus to be used on another wager. FanDuel will have plenty of Super Bowl promos and boosts for the big game.
\r\nBetRivers - Now in a handful of states, BetRivers is trying to establish themselves with the main betting operators. While they do not offer as large of a new user bonus, you can still take advantage of free money. They will match new users up to a $500 second chance bet. A bonus of $500 sounds pretty good right around Super Bowl time.
\r\nPointsBet - Backed by NBC, PointsBet has made a real push this year to be a notable sportsbook. They offer some unique ways to wager but also will give new users up to $2,000 in second chance bets. This can be used over two bets, which is different from other sportsbooks where they allow your free bet to be used just once. We recommend checking out PointsBet’s customizable betting features.
\r\nFOX Bet - FOX Bet is giving up to a $500 risk-free bet for new users. All you need to do is opt-in and deposit, which will match your bet up to that amount. FOX Bet has come along within the last few years trying to break through as a major operator. Click through the link to get the best new user bonus.
\r\nBetFred - Coming over from the United Kingdom, they have entered the U.S. market. More and more states are beginning to offer BetFred. New users can take advantage of a $1,002 free bet match. If you are in
Sports Illustrated - The SI sportsbook has taken off this year and new users can get up to $300 in free bets by just placing a $10 bet. Win or lose, new users will then get $300 in free bets to continue using on the site. Currently, Colorado is the only place where you can use SI’s sportsbook.
\r\nBet365 - An England-based company has been well known in the industry for a while and the wave continues with U.K. based companies bringing their product over to the U.S. New users can enter the bonus code “LINEUPS” to get a 100% deposit match up to $500.
\r\nThere are a handful of ways you can bet on Super Bowl Odds, both before the game is set and after the game is set. To bet on Super Bowl odds before the big game, these are called Super Bowl Futures, which are odds placed in advance for them to win it all. These odds move throughout the season, creating or eliminating value. Once the matchup is set, you will have your standard betting lines, such as the over/under total, moneyline, and spread.
\r\nSuper Bowl Futures - Betting on Super Bowl futures requires some patience, as you would be betting far out in advance. However, getting odds early on some of the top teams in the league will give you some value. For example, a team like the Dallas Cowboys sits just outside the top ten in odds to win the Super Bowl, but if they continue to rattle off wins and look impressive, the odds will begin to go up, creating less value on placing a futures bet with them. There are some disadvantages, such as injuries occurring that can tank a team if it happens to an important player. For NFL and Super Bowl Futures you are using a predictive nature to examine an entire season compared to looking into just a weekly game.
\r\nSuper Bowl Moneyline - Once the matchup is determined, the sportsbooks will create a moneyline, which is a straight-up win or lose bet. You are choosing the outcome of the game, with no ties to the margin of victory. The moneyline will be displayed as -150 to indicate the favorite in the Super Bowl, where +135 indicates the underdog. To win $100 on the -150 favorite, you would need to bet $150. Where a $100 bet on the +135 underdog would win you $135.
\r\nSuper Bowl Total Or Over/Under - The Super Bowl total is a set number from the oddsmakers where the public can then bet the over or under on the total points combined. That means if a total is set at 47.5 and the final score is 30-21, the over would payout and the under would be recorded as a loss.
\r\nSuper Bowl Spread - Sometimes a moneyline will not bring a ton of value for the favorite of the Super Bowl matchup, where the spread creates a better value depending on the number set. For example, the Rams were -4 or -4.5 depending on the sportsbook, meaning they had to win by five points or more to win the bet. These odds are usually priced between -105 or -115. For the Bengals, they would have needed to win or be within four points to push or win the bet. \r\n\r\n
Find everything you need here for Super Bowl 58 and Super Bowl odds.
\r\n\r\n \tThe Kansas City Chiefs currently have the best Super Bowl odds at -+600 via DraftKings Sportsbook. With Patrick Mahomes under center and a loaded offense, the AFC should have to run through Kansas City again. \r\n
\r\n\r\nSuper Bowl 58 will take place on February 11, 2024. The Super Bowl formerly took place on the first Sunday of February, but with the NFL’s new 18-week regular season, it now takes place on the second Sunday of the month.\r\n
\r\n\r\n \tFox will be broadcasting Super Bowl LVII this season, as it rotates to a different network each year. The Super Bowl will kick off at 6:30 PM Eastern Time.\r\n\r\n
\r\n\r\n \tThe winner of the NFC Conference Championship game and the AFC Conference Championship game will play in the Super Bowl. There will be a week off after the conference championship games to give teams a chance to rest and the Pro Bowl to be played. This year it will be the Chiefs Vs. Eagles\r\n
\r\n\r\n \tYes, if you are in these states: NY, NJ, PA, NH, PA, RI, WV, OR, IN,IA, NV, AR, DE, MS, NM, AZ, OH, MD. You can find various sportsbooks online to bet on Super Bowl 58. Some sites also offer mobile betting. \r\n
\r\n\r\n \tThe New England Patriots and the Pittsburgh Steelers both are tied with six Super Bowl wins. The Patriots have gone to the Super Bowl a league high 11 times. Pittsburgh has gone eight times, which is tied with Dallas and Denver for the second most. \r\n
\r\n\r\n \tChargers, Panthers, Falcons, Bengals, Vikings, and Bills are the teams. Buffalo and Minnesota have gone to four Super Bowls too, as they have the most appearances without a win. \r\n
\r\n\r\n \tThe 1984 San Francisco 49ers went 15-1 in the regular season averaging 29.7 points per game and allowing just 14.2 points per game. They had five Hall of Famers on their team and beat the Dolphins 38-16 in the Super Bowl. \r\n
\r\n\r\n \tThere have been 57 total Super Bowls played in the history of the NFL. The first one was in 1967, and the last one played was in 2023. Super Bowl 58 will be the next one played in February of 2024. \r\n
\r\n\r\nSuper Bowl I was on January 15th, 1967. It was between the Green Bay Packers and the Kansas City Chiefs. It was the AFL vs NFL, as the Chiefs represented the AFL. Bart Starr was named MVP and the Packers won 35-30. \r\n
\r\n\r\n \tThe Kansas City Chiefs are favored to win Super Bowl 58 at +600 odds via DraftKings Sportsbook. Most sportsbooks have the Chiefs as the favorites to win Super Bowl 58. \r\n
\r\nWith the Super Bowl in the wraps and the offseason underway, now is the time to check in on every NFL team's latest Super Bowl odds for 2024. Sportsbooks have begun to roll out Super Bowl 58 odds and the NFC is wide open again. However, the AFC is loaded with talent. It is the usual suspects at the top of the Super Bowl odds, with Kansas City having the best Super Bowl odds entering next season, followed by teams like the Eagles, 49ers, Bills, and Bengals. Find the latest Super Bowl 2024 odds and compare across multiple sportsbooks.
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win Super Bowl"}],isServerCache:!0}}Super Bowl 57 is now determined between the Chiefs and Eagles. Super Bowl over/under odds have been released and the current over/under is 50. The total will vary based on sportsbooks and you can compare across the legal and major sportsbooks to see who is giving the best total for those looking to bet on the over/under. The Chiefs and Eagles both have potential to put up points but the defenses are certainly capable of holding each other in check.
Super Bowl 58 2/11/2024 | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
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| DraftKings Odds | FanDuel Odds | Caesars Odds | BetMGM Odds |
Contents
When it comes to
Of the many ways you can place wagers on the Super Bowl, betting on the over/under is certainly an interesting one. Sportsbooks typically do an excellent job setting the points total amount for the game, and I’ll be fully upfront - my worst record during the regular season was in betting on the over/under. I went just 146-123-2 on over/unders during the regular season, barely landing at a profitable success rate of 53.6%.
Believe it or not, sportsbooks have historically done an excellent job of setting the points total in the Super Bowl. The first Super Bowl between the Chiefs and Packers did not have a set points total to be wagered on. Since that game, however, in 54 Super Bowls played, the total has gone over in 27 of them, and the total has gone under in... 27 of them.
Super Bowls have consistently trended up in terms of points scored as the NFL has shifted to more of an offensive league, and the six highest closing points totals (all over 54.5 points) have occurred in the last 15 years. Four of the previous five Super Bowls are among those six games.
However, scoring totals in the Super Bowl have stayed stagnant as the five most recent Super Bowls have had an average of 48.6 points per game. The first ten Super Bowls had just 31.3 points per game, but the next ten averaged 48.6 points per game, the same average as the five most recent games.
The last three Super Bowls have gone under by an average margin of 20.3 points, suggesting sportsbooks may have overreacted a bit to the increasing offensive production in the league. Of course, among those was the 13-3 snooze fest in Super Bowl LIII, in which the Patriots beat the Rams in the lowest-scoring Super Bowl of all time.
The closing total for that Rams-Patriots Super Bowl was 57.5 points, so the game went under by 41.5 points. It’s incredibly rare to see sportsbooks be that far off on a points total, especially in the most wagered-on game of the year. The Rams’ offense has improved considerably since that game, especially as Cooper Kupp is now healthy and playing at an MVP level. Matthew Stafford has provided a significant upgrade over Jared Goff.
The Rams are one of nine teams this season who have hit the over at a profitable rate - the points total has gone over the closing total in ten of their twenty games (with one push) for 52.6%. However, the Rams’ games have gone under the closing total by 0.6 points per game this year. The Bengals, meanwhile, have seen the under hit in eight of their twenty games, a success rate of 60%. Their games have gone over the closing total by 1.6 points per game.
Los Angeles’s three playoff games this year have seen an average of 46.3 points per game scored, while Cincinnati’s three postseason outings have had 43.6 points per game scored. The Bengals scored 27.1 points per game and allowed 22.1 points per game during the regular season, a total of 49.2 points per game. The Rams scored 27.1 points per game and allowed 21.9 points per game, a combined 49 points per game.
There’s reason to think the under is the better play as far as the matchup goes. The Rams’ pass rush can disrupt Joe Burrow all afternoon, and while he only took one sack against the Chiefs, I don’t expect that to be the case against Aaron Donald and Von Miller after the Titans got to him nine times in the divisional round. On the other side, the Bengals were shockingly good on defense in the second half against the Chiefs, and I don’t think either team gets to 30 points in this game.
As you can expect from the all-time Super Bowl record on over/unders, the line here is pretty sharp, and I wouldn’t say there’s a ton of value in betting it either way. These teams’ results from the regular season would push you towards a slight over, but their playoff games have been lower-scoring. I would lean towards a slight under on the total, with my projection landing between 45 and 48 points. There are likely better ways to get action on this game than betting on an incredibly sharp market.
So just what are Super Bowl over/under odds? In sports betting, there are three primary ways to bet on a game. These include the moneyline (picking a team to win the game outright), point spread (picking a team to cover a points line set by the sportsbook), and over/unders. Over/under plays involve betting on whether or not the combined total score for the game will land over or under a set line. It is important to remember that this is not a single team’s total points for the game, but rather the combined total points scored by both teams.
Over/under bets are commonly referred to as totals bets thanks to the nature of the wager. Where totals wagers differ greatly from the moneyline and spread is that the outright winner of the game does not matter. A massive underdog can score an upset, or the market favorite can win convincingly. In either case, all an over/under wager is concerned with is the total amount of points scored in the game.
The over/under odds for the game are found in the third column, to the right of the point spread odds. While it is necessary to look at the individual team lines to decipher the moneyline and point spread, notice that the over/under number remains the same on both lines. This makes sense given that it is a bet on the total combined points and not those of one individual team.
The set over/under line of 52.5 is the point total around which a wager is based. Like the point spread, standard over/under wagers carry a -110 price. As money comes in on one side or the other, sportsbooks might adjust the juice or even the over/under line itself to help maintain balance. For this reason, the number is listed twice, with the price for the over on top and the under on the bottom.
Given that the Super Bowl is the culmination of the entire NFL season, the two teams participating will already have played at least 18 games. While having a season’s worth of stats, data, and film can be helpful for bettors in deciphering where to fire on the Super Bowl, one must also remember that the oddsmakers also have access to those same resources. As a result, Super Bowl odds have the chance of being that much more accurate.
When calculating Super Bowl over/under odds, it is important to project how each team’s respective offense and defense will matchup up against the opponent’s. If a high-scoring offense finds itself facing off against the league’s top defense in the Super Bowl, there is a chance that points might not be as easy to come by. On the flip side, the offense could steal the show and the highly-rated defense may wind up surrendering far more points than was typical throughout the season sample size.
Looking back on each teams’ totals throughout the season can aid in calculating Super Bowl odds as well. While it’s impossible to project the future outcome ahead of time, tracking a team’s total points in games across a season, as well as how they fared against the over/under betting market all season can yield vital information.
Finally, the injury status of individual players can play a role. With the Super Bowl coming at the very end of the season, most teams are likely to have a full complement of players, minus those who suffered some sort of season-ending injury. The presence or absence of a few key stars in the lineup can alter the outlook on the number of points a team figures to score or allow.
As is the case with point spread or moneyline handicapping, it is necessary to distinguish an expected game script when considering over/under wagers. Teams with high-flying offenses could be running up and down the field and scoring points at will over four quarters. On the contrary, a stifling defense has the potential to dictate the course of an entire game. Placing over/under bets blindly is not advised. Spend time watching the teams in question for any insight you might be able to glean on how their games tend to unfold.
Knowing how the teams in question matchup against one another is very important for over/under handicapping. Matchups should be considered at both the broad level of offense vs. defense and at the more specific level of individual player battles. For instance, a team might not be known for putting up a ton of points, but scoring could come easier in a game where their polished receivers and strong-armed quarterback will be going up against a banged-up and vulnerable secondary.
Believe it or not, studying the trends and decision-making of coaches is one of the most important parts of a sound over/under handicapping strategy. Oddsmakers know what they are doing when they create the lines on a game. With this in mind, it is fair to expect many games to finish right around the over/under. The decisions of coaches could be what ultimately sways the bet. An aggressive coach who isn’t afraid to go for it on fourth and short or take a shot at a 2-point conversion gives his team a greater chance of scoring more points than a passive coach who never considers going for 2 after a score and is content to settle for a field goal when a drive stalls. Being familiar with the tendencies of each coach in question has the potential to prove invaluable.
Fading the pubic and betting with a contrarian attitude is not a bad strategy in general. When it comes to over/under wagering, especially in the Super Bowl, there’s a lot to be said for going against the grain. The public will almost always be on the over of a game total. Everyone likes to see points scored. Recreational bettors who aren’t wagering with an opinion are prone to betting with their hearts. Just as a public bettor might back his/her team to win because they want it to happen, so to will they back the over on a game total. Heavy traffic in one direction can lead to inflated lines and provide even better value for those who choose to fade the public market.
There is a long list of betting trends that have been recorded specifically for the Super Bowl. Among them are over/under trends. The only Super Bowl that is not a part of the data is Super Bowl I, as there was no total posted for the game between the Green Bay Packers and Kansas City Chiefs.
General handicapping knowledge states to never bet solely on the back of any trend. For those who might be tempted to do so anyway, there is a silver lining in that neither the over nor the under has gained any substantial edge when it comes to the Super Bowl. After 53 editions of the Big Game for which an over/under line was created, the over has hit 27 times and the under 26, an equal success rate for both sides.
The past 20 seasons have been a microcosm of the overall equal success rate for both the over and under in the Super Bowl. Each has cashed 10 times apiece over that span. In the last ten Super Bowls, the over has hit 6 times, while the under has cashed in each of the last two seasons (2019, 2020) and three of the last five. Refer to the images below for a look at how the points total played out in each Super Bowl.
Super Bowl over/under odds will be available at any sportsbook taking action on the NFL’s championship game. Once you decide on a book, the odds will be easy to find. Look for them to be listed right along with the moneyline and point spread odds for the game.
While jumping on the opening line ensures that you get the purest form of the number, it may not yield the most value. With many people betting on the Super Bowl, there is a real chance that line movement could create a number with better value than the initial odds.
Remember that you should never bet just to bet. A wager on the Super Bowl game total should only be made after conducting thorough research on the game, teams, and other relevant factors. Try to visualize in your mind how the game will play out when taking a betting position.
Yes! If you are confident in your over/under bet, there are bound to be other bets on the board to consider. The endless list of Super Bowl props allows a real opportunity to exploit a strong lean on the game in multiple ways.
In the 53 Super Bowls for which a points total line has been set, the game has gone over the total 27 times.
The over holds a one-game lead in the overall standings, but the under holds the longest winning streak in the Super Bowl points total battles. From 1969-1975, Super Bowls III-IX all went under the total, a run of 7 straight.