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Within this page you are going to see the entire week’s slate of games, which will turnover after the final game of the week. This page will show you all of the Vegas numbers and help you research whether you are looking for fantasy or betting purposes. Starting with the Vegas numbers, you will see the team totals that show the implied total for each team. The opening line is shown to bring you the first look at the odds that were put out. The live odds are going to be the current odds, and also show you what has changed since opening. The over/under is the set total that you can either bet the over or under on. The moneyline is the straight up bet whether a team is going to win or lose. This is different from the spread where a team will have to win or lose by a certain amount of points for the wager to be considered a success.
Our own exclusive ratings will show you how a team is built. The overall rating will be a complete rating with offense and defense included. Each formula is built out with various stats. You can see if a team struggles offensively but are very good defensive, or vice versa. See if teams dominate on both sides of the ball or just struggle all together. Each week these numbers will changed based on what is happening around the league. When clicking the line movement chart, you will see a graph that showcases how the line has moved for the spread, totals, and moneyline.
When clicking the stats tab, you will get the projected starters for the week and some quick stats and ratings. You can also go into a team’s depth chart. Clicking see matchup will bring you a more in-depth look at the matchup you have selected. You will see the odds comparison, where you have historical data on all current odds and team’s records against things like the over/under and the spread. There are also betting splits that showcase how teams do on the road, as favorites, and also after a win. You can see how teams score and what they allow by quarter and also by location. While not every team plays each other often, you can see the last five meetings, and also the last five matchups no matter the opponent.
How Oddsmakers Create NFL Lines
Before we dive into how the lines are created, you need to understand that oddsmakers are trying to create a line to attract bettors on both sides. The goal there is to balance things out, as they are trying to profit of course. They are going to look for edges and react to the public as well. Because of their goal they might add a point or two to a betting line to attract the other side a bit more or they know the public will be betting heavy. With that, oddsmakers use an advanced formula that is filled with a ton of historical and predictive data to help get an idea of what the line will be. Then they will adjust.
Now throughout the week you might see odds change. There are a few reasons for why things change. An obvious indicator is that there is an injury. If the starting quarterback goes down mid-week you will see the line move away from them and also the total drop down. If there is a major injury that we don’t know the outcome of yet, the line might be held out until there is more news. The other reason a line will move is because of public money, they will begin to adjust to try and balance things out a bit as mentioned above. There is money that is broken out into sharp and public money. Sharp money can influence a line quite a bit as they will bet the opposite line which pushes the line the other way.
Our Unique Lineups Team Ratings
The offensive, defensive, and team ratings on this page and around the site are our own unique ratings we have generated. Each one is made up of team statistics and data that give us a weekly updating look at where teams rate in comparison to others and around the league. Every week that new numbers come it, it will be updating to the new data and providing you with a new rating each week. If a team is struggling early on, the ratings will reflect that. Now if they are a solid offense or defense, things will even out over time. This is a way we can track how teams are doing week to week as well. Now this is not fantasy related, as it is solely based on team stats and not fantasy points.
This page can be one to kick off your fantasy football research, which is one of the many pit stops you can take for fantasy football research. Starting off the week looking at lines and totals can give you an early indicator on what Vegas believes will happen. If an over/under is sitting at 52.5, you are looking at a projected shootout style game with both offenses producing. The next thing is going to look at the spread, which can point you in the direction of how they believe things will go in the game. Running backs on teams with that have a spread of a touchdown or more are projected to be in a more favorable spot as their team leads. Teams projected to trail will have a game script likely to pass the ball more, which can help out receivers, tight ends, and quarterbacks in fantasy points.
Dive into the stats page to see how players are performing, as well as the quick depth chart that will show you an updated look at who is starting. Running backs and wide receivers are always going to have competition. Each week things can change as well, so staying on top of the depth chart is much needed. You can also use the defensive ratings and offensive ratings to choose a defense or pickup players for the week. While it is general, you can see what defense struggles or what offense struggles to pick a defense against. Targeting teams with a low team total is a favorable way to find strong fantasy defenses.
Using Matchup For Sports Betting
Now with all the Vegas data here, you can track line movement with opening and live odds. You are going to want to shop around for the best odds still, but here is a look at what has opened up for each game. Line movement is important to follow as it can indicate where money is going but also if there is an injury or weather that will impact the game. You will also see trends for popular teams, as the Dallas Cowboys and New England Patriots are always draw more money in comparison to the rest of the league. Oddsmakers will know this and that is when the lines will be adjusted more. As you look each week at the matchups, you will notice more and more trends and be able to keep track of data for yourself. Clicking into an individual matchup will give you a deeper dive of betting data.
The moneyline is going to be a straight up win or lose bet, and here you might have a more straightforward bet to win, but odds might not always be a great value. When the Patriots are ten point favorites against the New York Jets, then you are going to have the moneyline be very high, and often not profitable unless you are betting a large amount. This means you can look to the spread, which will have a better odds, but of course they would have to win by ten. Now looking for teams to cover the spread, you can get more value on odds, but it comes with the twist of the team winning by whatever the spread is. You can also bet on the underdog to cover the spread, which means they need to win or just within the spread amount.
Looking at the over/under and team totals, you can bet either the over or the under here for certain odds. This is a fun way to bet on the game as a whole instead of worrying about who is going to win or lose. Now the over/under is set on what oddsmakers predict will happen, but also their goal is still to get action on both sides. You will often see these numbers lie pretty close to what you would predict for an outcome. These numbers can also move throughout the week but they won’t stray too far away from opening unless a major injury occurs.
What Is Line Movement?
Line movement is when a point spread or money line moves in either direction up until the start of a game. They can indicate a shift in public money and also give you information on how to bet on the game.
What Is Reverse Line Movement?
Reverse line moment means that the line moved against the public’s money. If more money is on a team, the line will move against the team with the most money. This usually has to do with some sharp money coming in.
What Is Over/Under?
A total is presented, which is the number set by an oddsmaker for the total points scored in a game. You can either bet the over or the under, which will have their own odds. This number can change throughout the week.
What Is A Moneyline?
A moneyline is the odds for a team winning outright. This has nothing to do with the spread, where a team needs to win or lose by a specific amount of points. Moneyline is just the odds for an outright win.
What Is A Point Spread?
A point spread is a set number of points that is made by an oddsmaker to give teams a handicap. It helps even out the game to bet on. A team with a six point spread needs to win by that amount for you to win the bet.
What Are Team Totals?
Team totals are a number implied by the total over/under and the moneyline. It breaks down the over/under into team totals where you can also bet the over or the under. It is another way of looking at who is favored as well.
What Are Team Ratings?
The team ratings are broken out into team, defense, and offense. The ratings are our unique formula that break out teams into a numerical rating. It helps break out teams for you to see the rating compared to others and their strengths and weaknesses.
Why Do Vegas Numbers Change?
Vegas numbers will change for a number of reasons. For the NFL, injuries are what often can change a line or over/under throughout the week. Weather could also do the same where an over/under drops down because it is not favorable.
What Is The Difference Between Open And Live Odds?
The opening lines are going to be the first release by the oddsmakers, and every movement after that is going to be listed under live. This helps you track the line to see where it has moved from when it first opened.