On our Matchups page, will find a list of games and critical Vegas data to help you analyze each game. From Sunday to Sunday, there are many changes to team matchups and vegas odds. This page is continuously updating and the matchups page will keep all the elements stored for your reference. We offer unique team ratings that breakdown into defense, offense, and overall team rating. We track the opening and live team totals, over/unders, and moneylines. With NFL DFS in mind, you can't set a lineup without considering what Vegas has to say. Team totals are a predictor in offensive performances, and we often look for both good and bad. Spreads can dictate how a game flows. If a team sits as huge favorite, a running back might get some more carries due to them being ahead in the second half. If you look into an individual game matchup, our odds comparison shows Vegas and Lineups numbers based on our algorithm. We have been tracking prior games, and historical data can help you with fantasy or betting. The interesting thing with NFL is digging into teams scoring tendencies. Bad teams will tend to rack up points in the second half, and if you are live betting or playing half over/unders, this can help.
+3.5 (-115) LAR @ NO -3.5 (-105)
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We are in for a real treat with how the Conference round setup this postseason. Both games have an over/under of 55+ points, and the spread is just by three for each game. These are also rematches of games from earlier this season, and both were fantastic watches. Kansas City lost to the Patriots 43-40 in Foxboro. They will welcome the Patriots in Arrowhead, and the Pats were subpar on the road this season. The Rams will go back to New Orleans, where they lost 45-35 in very offensive game. If we get anything like those two games, this will go down as one of the best conference championship weekends of all-time. Weather is expected to be brutally cold in Kansas City, as temperatures at kick off are expected to be below ten degrees. This has caused the total to drop from 59 to 55 at the moment.
With the Patriots and Chiefs total still fairly high and on par with the game in New Orleans, we can look to see how those teams have done. 60% of Chiefs games have hit the over, while New England is 6-11 trying to hit the over this season. With their duds on the road it makes sense why they have struggled. The over is 4-7-1 in 12 conference championship games for Bill Belichick. The last four meetings between these two teams have hit the over. Kansas City is favored by three points this weekend, which makes the Patriots rare underdogs, and also it is rare to see them go on the road. New England is 1-3 ATS in their last four playoff games as an underdog. In their last five road playoff games they are 1-4 straight up and ATS. With Patrick Mahomes under center, this is a completely different team historically from the prior Chiefs seasons. We are giving the Patriots a bump in win probability this week, and have this game slightly hitting the under as well.
The Rams were shredded through the air by Michael Thomas last time these two met, where he went for 211 yards. Marcus Peters was torched, and there is that narrative heading into the week. If anything the passing attacks should be hitting here, especially for the Rams if the Saints rush defense can limit Todd Gurley and now C.J. Anderson again. The Saints were up 35-17 at halftime in that regular season game, which led Jared Goff to airing it out. New Orleans offensive line is beaten up and that is the concern for the offense. The Saints are favored by three, and are 7-9 ATS this season, and 2-5 at home. In this spread, the Saints have covered over 50% of the time. We have the Rams getting a better shot than Vegas is of winning, but are hovering around the same odds for the game to hit the over.