New England Patriots at Denver Broncos Matchup 12/25/23

4-13, 16th AFC East
at

NE 26 @ DEN 23

Empower Field at Mile High, Final

8-9, 12th AFC West

NE 26 @ DEN 23

Empower Field at Mile High, Final

Matchup

Game Spread Over/Under Moneyline Charts
Teams Team Rating Defense Rating Offense Rating Open Closing Open Closing Open Closing Line Moves
New England Patriots New England Patriots Patriots
84
90
81
+2 (-110)
+7 (-110)
36 pts
37.5 pts
-
+270
line-movement
Denver Broncos Denver Broncos Broncos
75
69
78
-2 (-110)
-7 (-110)
-
-345
36 pts
37.5 pts

Odds Comparison

Vegas Odds
Moneyline +270 -345
Spread +7 -7
Totals 15.2 22.2
Win Probability 23% 77%
Over/Under
Over/Under 37.5
Over/Under History
Over/Under Home Away Grass Turf
5-9-0 3-5-0 2-4-0 2-2-0 3-7-0
6-8-0 3-4-0 3-4-0 5-5-0 1-3-0
Line Overall Home Away Overall Home Away
36 or less 1-2-0 0-0-0 1-2-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
36.1 to 39 0-2-0 0-2-0 0-0-0 2-0-0 2-0-0 0-0-0
39.1 to 43 2-4-0 2-2-0 0-2-0 1-2-0 1-2-0 0-0-0
43.1 to 46 1-0-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 0-3-0 0-2-0 0-1-0
46.1 and over 1-1-0 0-1-0 1-0-0 3-3-0 0-0-0 3-3-0
Against the Spread(ATS) History
ATS Home Away Grass Turf
3-10-1 1-6-1 2-4-0 1-3-0 2-7-1
5-8-1 3-4-0 2-4-1 3-6-1 2-2-0
Line Overall Home Away Overall Home Away
-10.1 or More 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
-7 to -10 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
-3.1 to -6.9 0-1-0 0-0-0 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-0-0
-0.1 to -3 1-2-0 0-2-0 1-0-0 2-3-1 2-3-0 0-0-1
0 to 3 0-3-0 0-2-0 0-1-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 1-0-0
+3.1 to +6.9 1-3-0 0-2-0 1-1-0 0-3-0 0-0-0 0-3-0
+7 to +10 1-1-1 1-0-1 0-1-0 2-0-0 1-0-0 1-0-0
10.1 or more 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-1-0 0-0-0 0-1-0

Bet Splits

Record Win % Cover Spread % Avg Point Totals
Away 2-4 33.3% 33.3 13.3
Underdog 2-8 20% 20 14.7
After Loss 3-7 30% 21.4 9.2
Record Win % Cover Spread % Avg Point Totals
Home 4-3 57.1% 42.9 23.3
Favorite 4-3 57.1% 28.6 24.3
After Loss 3-3 50% 14.3 9.6

Scoring

Offense Scoring (Home)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
13.2 1.6 5.5 0.8 5.4
23.3 6.7 6.6 1.9 8.1
Defense Scoring Allowed (Away)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
30 3.9 12 5.9 8.3
21.3 3.8 9.2 2.2 6.2
Offense Scoring (Away)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
13.3 3.3 4 3.3 2.7
20.1 3.4 3.4 4.4 8.9
Defense Scoring Allowed (Home)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
21.4 5.4 6.4 4.5 5.1
20.1 2.6 5.6 5.7 6.3

Last 5 Meetings

Game
Date Score Spread Over/Under Total Yds Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs Total Yds Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs
10/18/20 DEN 18 @ NE 12 NE -7 44.5 points 288 117 171 1 0 299 135 164 0 0
11/13/17 NE 41 @ DEN 16 NE -7 45 points 396 99 297 1 3 339 118 221 0 1
11/29/15 NE 24 @ DEN 30 NE -2 43 points 301 39 262 0 3 433 179 254 3 1
11/2/14 DEN 21 @ NE 43 NE -3 53 points 398 66 332 0 4 472 43 429 1 2
11/24/13 DEN 31 @ NE 34 NE -1 54 points 440 116 324 1 3 412 280 132 1 2

New England Patriots Last 5 Matchups

Game Opponent
Date Score Spread Over/Under Total Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs Total Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs
12/17/23 NE 17 vs KC 27 KC -10.0 39.5 points 206 52 154 1 1 326 43 283 0 3
12/8/23 NE 21 @ PIT 18 PIT -5.5 30.5 points 303 81 222 0 3 264 82 182 1 1
12/3/23 NE 0 vs LAC 6 LAC -4.5 38.5 points 257 148 109 0 0 241 29 212 0 0
11/26/23 NE 7 @ NYG 10 NE -4.5 36 points 283 147 136 1 0 220 58 162 0 1
11/12/23 NE 6 vs IND 10 IND -1.5 42.5 points 340 167 173 0 0 264 70 194 1 0

Denver Broncos Last 5 Matchups

Game Opponent
Date Score Spread Over/Under Total Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs Total Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs
12/17/23 DEN 17 @ DET 42 DET -5.5 49 points 287 83 204 1 1 448 185 263 1 5
12/10/23 DEN 24 @ LAC 7 LAC -3.0 45.5 points 322 106 216 1 2 283 76 207 1 0
12/3/23 DEN 17 @ HOU 22 HOU -3.0 47 points 282 118 164 1 1 353 89 264 1 1
11/26/23 DEN 29 vs CLE 12 DEN -2.0 37.5 points 294 169 125 2 1 269 107 162 0 1
11/20/23 DEN 21 vs MIN 20 DEN -2.5 43 points 295 46 249 0 1 385 175 210 1 1