NFL Prediction Model Accuracy

Overview

Total Bets Made Win Loss Push Bet Win % Bet Units Bet Amount Net Profit ROI
2598 1129 535 578 16 47%
$12,870.00 $808.53 6.28%

Detailed Results

Date Model Game Bet Type Bet Probability% EV Bet Units Result Bet Amount Net Profit ROI
9/8/17 Random Forest KC @ NE Over Over (48) 44% -13.93
Win $0.00 - -
9/8/17 Logistic Regression KC @ NE Under Under (48) 53% +6.84
Loss $7.19 -$7.19 -100%
9/8/17 Random Forest KC @ NE Under Under (48) 52% +5.71
Loss $5.99 -$5.99 -100%
9/8/17 Logistic Regression KC @ NE Moneyline NE (-450) 62% -24.48
Loss $0.00 - -
9/8/17 Random Forest KC @ NE Spread KC +9 (-115) 62% +19.66
Win $22.61 $19.66 86.96%
9/8/17 Logistic Regression KC @ NE Spread KC +9 (-115) 63% +21.25
Win $24.43 $21.25 86.96%
9/8/17 Logistic Regression KC @ NE Moneyline KC (+325) 38% +62.39
Win $19.20 $62.39 325%
9/8/17 Logistic Regression KC @ NE Over Over (48) 44% -15.14
Win $0.00 - -
9/8/17 Random Forest KC @ NE Moneyline KC (+325) 36% +53.73
Win $16.53 $53.73 325%
9/8/17 Random Forest KC @ NE Moneyline NE (-450) 64% -21.99
Loss $0.00 - -
9/8/17 Random Forest KC @ NE Spread NE -9 (-105) 35% -29.44
Loss $0.00 - -
9/8/17 Logistic Regression KC @ NE Spread NE -9 (-105) 34% -31.13
Loss $0.00 - -
9/10/17 Logistic Regression PHI @ WAS Spread WAS -1 (-105) 51% +3.07
Loss $3.22 -$3.22 -100%
9/10/17 Logistic Regression PHI @ WAS Under Under (47.5) 54% +4.04
Win $4.45 $4.04 90.91%
9/10/17 Logistic Regression JAX @ HOU Spread HOU -5 (-110) 39% -22.48
Loss $0.00 - -
9/10/17 Random Forest OAK @ TEN Spread OAK +1 (+100) 62% +26.11
Win $26.11 $26.11 100%
9/10/17 Logistic Regression NYJ @ BUF Over Over (41) 47% -8.51
Loss $0.00 - -
9/10/17 Random Forest NYJ @ BUF Moneyline BUF (-420) 63% -21.51
Win $0.00 - -
9/10/17 Random Forest ATL @ CHI Moneyline ATL (-290) 73% -1.81
Win $0.00 - -
9/10/17 Logistic Regression OAK @ TEN Over Over (51.5) 42% -21.46
Loss $0.00 - -
9/10/17 Random Forest ATL @ CHI Under Under (51) 62% +21.91
Win $24.11 $21.91 90.91%
9/10/17 Logistic Regression PIT @ CLE Spread PIT -9 (-110) 58% +12.84
Loss $14.13 -$14.13 -100%
9/10/17 Random Forest NYJ @ BUF Moneyline NYJ (+310) 37% +50.09
Loss $16.16 -$16.16 -100%
9/10/17 Random Forest JAX @ HOU Spread HOU -5 (-110) 39% -24.01
Loss $0.00 - -
9/10/17 Logistic Regression NYJ @ BUF Moneyline BUF (-420) 63% -21.72
Win $0.00 - -
9/10/17 Random Forest OAK @ TEN Moneyline OAK (+110) 61% +27.29
Win $24.81 $27.29 110%
9/10/17 Random Forest JAX @ HOU Under Under (40) 53% +5.42
Win $5.96 $5.42 90.91%
9/10/17 Random Forest JAX @ HOU Moneyline JAX (+200) 49% +48.15
Win $24.08 $48.15 200%
9/10/17 Logistic Regression NYJ @ BUF Under Under (41) 51% -0.36
Win $0.00 - -
9/10/17 Random Forest PHI @ WAS Moneyline PHI (-120) 41% -24.19
Win $0.00 - -
9/10/17 Logistic Regression ATL @ CHI Spread ATL -7 (-110) 55% +7.14
Loss $7.86 -$7.86 -100%
9/10/17 Random Forest PHI @ WAS Over Over (47.5) 47% -11.02
Loss $0.00 - -
9/10/17 Logistic Regression ATL @ CHI Under Under (51) 59% +15.58
Win $17.14 $15.58 90.91%
9/10/17 Logistic Regression PIT @ CLE Under Under (47) 58% +15.67
Win $17.24 $15.67 90.91%
9/10/17 Logistic Regression OAK @ TEN Spread OAK +1 (+100) 61% +23.78
Win $23.78 $23.78 100%
9/10/17 Logistic Regression PIT @ CLE Over Over (47) 37% -24.37
Loss $0.00 - -
9/10/17 Logistic Regression NYJ @ BUF Spread NYJ +7 (-110) 57% +11.11
Loss $12.22 -$12.22 -100%
9/10/17 Logistic Regression ATL @ CHI Moneyline ATL (-290) 75% +0.4
Win $1.15 $0.40 34.48%
9/10/17 Logistic Regression PIT @ CLE Spread CLE +9 (-110) 40% -21.78
Win $0.00 - -
9/10/17 Random Forest PIT @ CLE Moneyline CLE (+325) 20% -14.75
Loss $0.00 - -
9/10/17 Random Forest ATL @ CHI Over Over (51) 34% -30.66
Loss $0.00 - -
9/10/17 Random Forest PIT @ CLE Under Under (47) 60% +18.37
Win $20.20 $18.37 90.91%
9/10/17 Logistic Regression PIT @ CLE Moneyline CLE (+325) 20% -14.92
Loss $0.00 - -
9/10/17 Random Forest ATL @ CHI Spread ATL -7 (-110) 52% +1.41
Loss $1.55 -$1.55 -100%
9/10/17 Logistic Regression JAX @ HOU Moneyline HOU (-240) 55% -21.89
Loss $0.00 - -
9/10/17 Logistic Regression PIT @ CLE Moneyline PIT (-450) 80% -2.24
Win $0.00 - -
9/10/17 Logistic Regression JAX @ HOU Spread JAX +5 (-110) 58% +13.58
Win $14.94 $13.58 90.91%
9/10/17 Logistic Regression JAX @ HOU Moneyline JAX (+200) 45% +34.59
Win $17.30 $34.59 200%
9/10/17 Random Forest ARI @ DET Under Under (48) 62% +23.77
Loss $24.96 -$24.96 -100%
9/10/17 Random Forest NYJ @ BUF Spread BUF -7 (-110) 44% -12.16
Win $0.00 - -
9/10/17 Logistic Regression PHI @ WAS Over Over (47.5) 46% -13.13
Loss $0.00 - -
9/10/17 Logistic Regression JAX @ HOU Over Over (40) 45% -9.21
Loss $0.00 - -
9/10/17 Logistic Regression PHI @ WAS Spread PHI +1 (-115) 46% -11.51
Win $0.00 - -
9/10/17 Logistic Regression NYJ @ BUF Spread BUF -7 (-110) 40% -19.92
Win $0.00 - -
9/10/17 Random Forest JAX @ HOU Spread JAX +5 (-110) 60% +15.05
Win $16.55 $15.05 90.91%
9/10/17 Random Forest JAX @ HOU Moneyline HOU (-240) 51% -28.3
Loss $0.00 - -
9/10/17 Random Forest JAX @ HOU Over Over (40) 43% -14.2
Loss $0.00 - -
9/10/17 Random Forest OAK @ TEN Under Under (51.5) 59% +14.78
Win $15.52 $14.78 95.24%
9/10/17 Logistic Regression OAK @ TEN Moneyline TEN (-130) 41% -27.47
Loss $0.00 - -
9/10/17 Random Forest PHI @ WAS Spread PHI +1 (-115) 43% -16.09
Win $0.00 - -
9/10/17 Logistic Regression ARI @ DET Over Over (48) 34% -33.52
Win $0.00 - -
9/10/17 Logistic Regression ATL @ CHI Moneyline CHI (+245) 25% -12.56
Loss $0.00 - -
9/10/17 Logistic Regression NYJ @ BUF Moneyline NYJ (+310) 37% +50.78
Loss $16.38 -$16.38 -100%
9/10/17 Random Forest NYJ @ BUF Under Under (41) 54% +6.65
Win $7.32 $6.65 90.91%
9/10/17 Logistic Regression OAK @ TEN Spread TEN -1 (-120) 37% -30.01
Loss $0.00 - -
9/10/17 Logistic Regression ARI @ DET Moneyline ARI (-130) 46% -18.15
Loss $0.00 - -
9/10/17 Logistic Regression PHI @ WAS Moneyline WAS (+100) 55% +10.83
Loss $10.83 -$10.83 -100%
9/10/17 Random Forest PHI @ WAS Moneyline WAS (+100) 59% +17.3
Loss $17.30 -$17.30 -100%
9/10/17 Random Forest ARI @ DET Over Over (48) 35% -31.28
Win $0.00 - -
9/10/17 Random Forest NYJ @ BUF Spread NYJ +7 (-110) 52% +3.41
Loss $3.75 -$3.75 -100%
9/10/17 Logistic Regression ARI @ DET Under Under (48) 63% +26.08
Loss $27.39 -$27.39 -100%
9/10/17 Random Forest ARI @ DET Moneyline ARI (-130) 43% -24.7
Loss $0.00 - -
9/10/17 Logistic Regression OAK @ TEN Under Under (51.5) 58% +13.22
Win $13.88 $13.22 95.24%
9/10/17 Random Forest OAK @ TEN Moneyline TEN (-130) 39% -30.32
Loss $0.00 - -
9/10/17 Random Forest OAK @ TEN Spread TEN -1 (-120) 36% -32.1
Loss $0.00 - -
9/10/17 Random Forest OAK @ TEN Over Over (51.5) 41% -22.95
Loss $0.00 - -
9/10/17 Logistic Regression OAK @ TEN Moneyline OAK (+110) 59% +23.91
Win $21.73 $23.91 110%
9/10/17 Random Forest PHI @ WAS Under Under (47.5) 53% +1.93
Win $2.12 $1.93 90.91%
9/10/17 Logistic Regression PHI @ WAS Moneyline PHI (-120) 45% -18.26
Win $0.00 - -
9/10/17 Random Forest ARI @ DET Moneyline DET (+110) 57% +20.62
Win $18.75 $20.62 110%
9/10/17 Random Forest NYJ @ BUF Over Over (41) 43% -15.47
Loss $0.00 - -
9/10/17 Logistic Regression ATL @ CHI Over Over (51) 38% -24.32
Loss $0.00 - -
9/10/17 Random Forest PIT @ CLE Moneyline PIT (-450) 80% -2.29
Win $0.00 - -
9/10/17 Random Forest ATL @ CHI Spread CHI +7 (-110) 45% -10.22
Win $0.00 - -
9/10/17 Random Forest PIT @ CLE Spread PIT -9 (-110) 56% +9.79
Loss $10.77 -$10.77 -100%
9/10/17 Logistic Regression ARI @ DET Moneyline DET (+110) 54% +12.85
Win $11.68 $12.85 110%
9/10/17 Random Forest PIT @ CLE Over Over (47) 36% -27.12
Loss $0.00 - -
9/10/17 Logistic Regression ATL @ CHI Spread CHI +7 (-110) 42% -15.97
Win $0.00 - -
9/10/17 Random Forest PIT @ CLE Spread CLE +9 (-110) 41% -18.61
Win $0.00 - -
9/10/17 Logistic Regression JAX @ HOU Under Under (40) 50% +0.49
Win $0.54 $0.49 90.91%
9/10/17 Random Forest PHI @ WAS Spread WAS -1 (-105) 54% +7.9
Loss $8.30 -$8.30 -100%
9/10/17 Random Forest ATL @ CHI Moneyline CHI (+245) 27% -6.9
Loss $0.00 - -
9/10/17 Logistic Regression IND @ LAR Moneyline LAR (-190) 51% -22.83
Win $0.00 - -
9/10/17 Random Forest IND @ LAR Moneyline IND (+165) 55% +44.54
Loss $26.99 -$26.99 -100%
9/10/17 Logistic Regression IND @ LAR Under Under (47) 54% +6.26
Loss $6.89 -$6.89 -100%
9/10/17 Logistic Regression IND @ LAR Spread LAR +3 (-105) 57% +14.19
Win $14.90 $14.19 95.24%
9/10/17 Logistic Regression IND @ LAR Moneyline IND (+165) 49% +31.01
Loss $18.79 -$18.79 -100%
9/10/17 Logistic Regression IND @ LAR Spread IND -3 (-115) 40% -22.15
Loss $0.00 - -
9/10/17 Random Forest IND @ LAR Over Over (47) 40% -20.39
Win $0.00 - -
9/10/17 Logistic Regression IND @ LAR Over Over (47) 43% -15.03
Win $0.00 - -
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