2027 Oscars Odds, Predictions, Category Rankings & Information

The 2027 Oscars, also known as the Academy Awards, will be held on Sunday, March 14, 2027 and is the 99th edition of the prestigious entertainment event. On this page, you will find everything you need to know about wagering on the Oscars. Whether you are trading predictive markets on Kalshi, playing in party pools or just traditional betting on the event – we’ve got you covered!

Below, you will find betting odds, prediction markets, important dates, category rankings and more. As it is with most novelty markets, be sure to check your jurisdiction for legal Oscars betting methods.

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2027 Oscars Odds

Below are the updated 2027 Oscars odds and betting markets available in association with the 99th Academy Awards.

2027 Oscars Best Picture Odds

2027 Oscars Category Predictions

Below are rankings for 21 of the categories for the 2027 Oscars. Category rankings are ONLY for reviewed films, as movies are ranked following expert analysis.

Films Reviewed: 61

2027 Oscars Best Picture Rankings

The Odyssey and Project Hail Mary are the two Best Picture locks right now — both have cleared enough categories (Picture, Director, acting, craft) across these rankings to greenlight a nomination with confidence. I Swear is the wild card: it played overseas last year, so despite the buzz its inclusion hinges entirely on a qualifying U.S. release date to even be eligible for this year’s race. Obsession, Tony, and The Invite look like likely nominees too, but aren’t locked yet — hold those for now. The dark horses to watch are Coyote vs. Acme, Tuner, and Pressure, all three with a real shot at sneaking into the field.

2027 Oscars Best Director Rankings

Christopher Nolan is the only Best Director lock right now — The Odyssey’s scale and his own track record (three prior nominations, one win) have him sitting at the top of nearly every odds board. Olivia Wilde, Matt Johnson, and the Project Hail Mary duo of Phil Lord and Christopher Miller are all trending toward nominations but aren’t locked yet — hold those for now. The biggest wild card is Curry Barker: the 26-year-old, first-time director broke out with Obsession, which holds a 96% on Rotten Tomatoes and turned into one of the year’s biggest profit-multiple horror hits relative to budget. If the Academy wants a populist/critical-crossover surprise in the category, Barker’s the name to watch.

2027 Oscars Best Actor Rankings

Best Actor is a genuine toss-up right now, but Matt Damon and Ryan Gosling look like the best bets — Damon’s odds got slashed after The Odyssey’s reception, and Gosling’s campaign is already in full swing chasing his fourth nomination. Both still need to wait for precursor confirmation, though. Ian McKellen has the pedigree and an elite performance, but the film itself isn’t landing with audiences the way a contender needs to. Seth Rogen is the wild card — of the film’s four lead performers, he’s the longest shot for a nomination, but still has a real path to a surprise nod if the ensemble buzz holds.

2027 Oscars Best Actress Rankings

Best Actress is a three-way race between Olivia Wilde, Inde Navarrette, and Anne Hathaway. Navarrette is the least likely of the three on pedigree alone, but she’s easily the most engaging and audience-popular of the group, with Focus Features mounting a real campaign behind her. Hathaway carries the biggest name value as Penelope — we’re treating her as lead here, though her team could ultimately push her into Supporting the way Daniel Kaluuya ran in Judas and the Black Messiah, which would pull her out of this race entirely. Wilde could make history directing herself into a nomination for The Invite — flowers that feel overdue given her performance. Sally Field is the wild card: the performance and pedigree are there (she already won the Emmy for TV Movie for Remarkably Bright Creatures), but the film’s limited theatrical release is a real hurdle — though its Netflix home means a massive eyeball count that could offset that.

2027 Oscars Best Supporting Actor Rankings

Best Supporting Actor is another genuine toss-up, but The Odyssey’s ensemble will be the group to beat. Robert Pattinson, Tom Holland, John Leguizamo, and Dev Patel are all part of Nolan’s massive ensemble cast, giving the film multiple paths into the category from a single release — voters could easily split their support across more than one of the four, which actually works in the film’s favor as a bloc. Edward Norton and Colman Domingo are both tough to beat on performance and pedigree alone: Domingo in particular is generating “give him his Oscar already” buzz for vanishing into Joe Jackson, the Jackson family patriarch, in the Michael biopic — a full transformation role that’s exactly the kind of showy, awards-friendly part that tends to cut through a crowded field. Antonio Banderas rounds out that tier as a sleeper, riding the same film’s overall Best Picture momentum. For the surprise-nominee slot, watch Devon Bostick and Jerod Haynes — a Bryan Tyree Henry-for-Causeway path, where a quieter, less-hyped performance in a smaller film sneaks past the bigger names once precursor nominations (SAG, Critics Choice, Golden Globes) start narrowing the real field.

2027 Oscars Best Supporting Actress Rankings

Best Supporting Actress has a clear top tier forming, but it hinges on where Hathaway lands. If her team does end up campaigning her in Supporting for The Odyssey (as reported), she’s a near-lock nomination given the film’s box office run (nearing $1 billion globally) and the overall Odyssey wave lifting its cast. Samantha Morton’s intimate supporting work in that same film has already surged in the odds alongside John Leguizamo’s as it cleared $1B — and Morton’s type of performance fits the “Supporting Actress” mold more naturally than Hathaway’s showier Penelope turn would. If Hathaway does run Supporting, Morton could get squeezed out by her own film’s narrative rather than lose to an outside contender. Penélope Cruz, Gretchen Mol, and Michaela Coel round out the others to watch — all with real cases on performance, but all still waiting on more of the season to play out before we can call any of them locks.

2027 Oscars Best Original Screenplay Rankings

2027 Oscars Best Adapted Screenplay Rankings

2027 Oscars Best Cinematography Rankings

2027 Oscars Best Animated Film Rankings

2027 Oscars Best International Film Rankings

2027 Oscars Best Documentary Rankings

2027 Oscars Best Production Design Rankings

2027 Oscars Best Costume Design Rankings

2027 Oscars Best Makeup & Hairstyle Rankings

2027 Oscars Best Sound Rankings

2027 Oscars Best Score Rankings

2027 Oscars Best Song Rankings

2027 Oscars Best Film Editing Rankings

2027 Oscars Best Visual Effects Rankings

2027 Oscars Film Review Rankings

Here are the overall rankings for 2027 Oscars contenders, based on the film as a whole rather than individual categories.

2027 Oscars Prediction Markets

Below are the updated prediction market insights for everything related to the 2027 Oscars.

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2027 Best Picture Winner Prediction Market

• The Odyssey (49%)
• Dune: Part Three (16%) ⬆️
• Wild Horse Nine (7%)
• Digger (6%) ⬇️
• Project Hail Mary (5%) ⬇️
• The Black Ball (5%) ⬇️
• Fjord (3%) ⬇️
• Behemoth (2%) ⬆️
• Obsession (2%) ⬆️
• Elsinore (2%) ⬇️
• The Adventures of Cliff Booth (1%) ⬇️
• The Social Reckoning (1%) ⬇️

2027 Best Director Winner Prediction Market

• Christopher Nolan for The Odyssey (67%) ⬇️
• Denis Villeneuve for Dune: Parth Three (22%) ⬆️
• Alejandro G. Inarritu for Digger (10%) ⬇️
• Martin McDonagh for Wild Horse Nine (5%) ⬇️
• David Fincher for The Adventures of Cliff Booth (3%) ⬇️

2027 Best Actor Winner Prediction Market

• Matt Damon for The Odyssey (37%) ⬆️
• Tom Cruise for Digger (31%) ⬇️
• Andrew Scott for Pressure (12%) ⬇️
• John Malkovich for Wild Horse Nine (10%) ⬆️
• Ryan Gosling for Project Hail Mary (6%) ⬇️
• Jeremy Strong for The Social Reckoning (5%) ⬆️
• Josh O’Connor for Jack of Spades (1%)
• Brad Pitt for The Adventures of Cliff Booth (1%) ⬇️
• Sebastian Stan for Fjord (1%)

2027 Best Actress Winner Prediction Market

• Inde Navarrette for Obsession (31%) ⬆️
• Julianne Moore for The Debut (29%) ⬆️
• Renate Reinsve for Fjord (16%) ⬇️
• Sandra Huller for Rose (10%) ⬆️
• Anne Hathaway for The Odyssey (6%) ⬇️
• Cynthia Erivo fro Prima Facie (6%) ⬆️
• Mikey Madison for The Social Reckoning (1%)
• Scarlett Johansson for Paper Tiger (1%)

2027 Best Supporting Actor Winner Prediction Market

• Paul Giamatti for The Statement (32%) ⬆️
• Robert Pattinson for Dune: Part Three (21%)
• John Goodman for Digger (13%) ⬇️
• Jeremy Strong for The Social Reckoning (10%) ⬇️
• Sam Rockwell for Good Luck, Have Fun, Don’t Die (10%) ⬆️
• Steve Buscemi for Wild Horse Nine (7%)
• Tom Holland for The Odyssey (6%) ⬇️
• Jesse Plemons for Digger (3%)
• Adam Scott for The Whisper Man (1%)
• Himesh Patel for The Odyssey (1%)
• James Ortiz for Project Hail Mary (1%) ⬇️
• Robert De Niro for The Whisper Man (1%)

2027 Best Picture Nomination Prediction Market

• Project Hail Mary (89%) ⬆️
• The Odyssey (87%) ⬇️
• The Black Ball (78%) ⬆️
• Dune: Part Three (75%) ⬇️
• Wild Horse Nine (73%)
• Fjord (70%) ⬆️
• Digger (64%) ⬇️
• The Debut (53%) ⬆️
• Obsession (51%) ⬆️
• Behemoth (35%)
• Being Heumann (34%)
• The Invite (34%) ⬆️
• Disclosure Day (42%) ⬇️
• The Adventures of Cliff Booth (33%)
• The Social Reckoning (31%) ⬇️
• Artificial (30%) ⬆️
• All of a Sudden (29%)
• Rose (29%)
• Jack of Spades (27%)
• Saturn Return (24%)
• Josephine (24%) ⬇️
• Sense and Sensibility (22%) ⬇️
• 1949/Fatherland (21%) ⬇️
• Werwulf (18%) ⬆️
• Cry to Heaven (17%)
• Disclosure Day (16%) ⬆️
• Paper Tiger (16%)
• The Entertainment System is Down (14%)
• Backrooms (11%)
• Hope (11%) ⬇️
• Michael (11%) ⬇️
• The Drama (10%) ⬇️
• I Love Boosters (10%)
• Avengers: Doomsday (9%) ⬆️
• Minotaur (7%) ⬇️
• Possible Love (7%)
• The Death of Robin Hood (6%)
• Ink (6%)
• Parallel Tales (5%) ⬇️
• The Whisper Man (4%)
• Narnia (3%) ⬇️

2027 Best Director Nomination Prediction Market

• Christopher Nolan for The Odyssey (81%) ⬆️
• Martin McDonagh for Wild Horse Nine (61%) ⬆️
• Javier Calvo for The Black Ball (60%) ⬇️
• Denis Villeneuve for Dune: Part Three (59%) ⬇️
• Cristian Mungiu for Fjord (58%)
• David Fincher for The Adventures of Cliff Booth (27%) ⬆️
• Pawel Pawlikowski for 1949/Fatherland (26%) ⬇️
• Phil Lord for Project Hail Mary (25%)
• Ryusuke Hamaguchi for All of a Sudden (25%)
• Joel Coen for Jack of Spades (24%) ⬇️
• Tony Gilroy for Behemoth (22%) ⬆️
• Steven Spielburg for Disclosure Day (21%) ⬆️
• Christopher Miller for Project Hail Mary (19%) ⬇️
• Curry Barker for Obsession (19%) ⬇️
• Andrew Haigh for A Long Winter (19%)
• Janus Metz Pedersen for UNABOMBER (16%)
• Olivia Wilde for The Invite (14%) ⬇️
• Ben Affleck for Animals (11%)
• Danny Boyle for Ink (11%) ⬆️
• James Ashcroft for The Whisper Man (6%)
• Na Hong-jin for Hope (4%)

2027 Best Actor Nomination Prediction Market

• Tom Cruise for Digger (73%) ⬇️
• John Malkovich for Wild Horse Nine (70%) ⬇️
• Ryan Gosling for Project Hail Mary (62%) ⬆️
• Sebastian Stan for Fjord (55%) ⬇️
• Matt Damon for The Odyssey (54%) ⬆️
• Andrew Scott for Pressure (34%) ⬆️
• Brad Pitt for The Adventures of Cliff Booth (28%)
• Javier Bardem for The Beloved (28%)
• Andrew Garfield for Artificial (27%)
• Pedro Pascal for The Mandalorian & Grogu (25%) ⬇️
• Dominic Sessa for Tony (24%) ⬇️
• Timothee Chalamat for Dune: Part Three (24%) ⬇️
• Jaafar Jackson for Michael (21%) ⬇️
• Jeremy Strong for The Social Reckoning (21%) ⬇️
• Charles Melton for Saturn Return (19%)
• Adam Scott for The Whisper Man (18%) ⬆️
• Channing Tatum for Joesphine (18%) ⬆️
• Hanns Zischler for 1949/Fatherland (16%)
• Adam Driver for Paper Tiger (12%) ⬇️
• John Turturro for The Only Living Pickpocket in New York (11%) ⬇️
• Josh O’Connor for Jack of Spades (9%)
• Robert Aramayo for I Swear (6%) ⬆️
• Robert DeNiro for The Whisper Man (6%)
• Jeremy Allen White for The Mandalorian & Grogu (6%) ⬇️
• Sacha Baron Cohen for Ladies First (5%)
• Sam Rockwell for Wild Horse Nine (4%) ⬇️
• Keanu Reeves for The Entertainment System Is Down (4%) ⬇️

2027 Best Actress Nomination Prediction Market

• Inde Navarrette for Obsession (66%) ⬆️
• Renate Reinsve for Fjord (52%) ⬇️
• Sandra Huller for Rose (48%) ⬆️
• Anne Hathaway for The Odyssey (28%) ⬆️
• Mikey Madison for The Social Reckoning (27%) ⬇️
• Penelope Cruz for The Invite (25%) ⬇️
• Ruth Madeley  for Being Heumann (25%) ⬇️
• Cynthia Erivo fro Prima Facie (24%) ⬇️
• Daisy Edgar-Jones for Sense and Sensibility (23%)
• Emily Blunt for Disclosure Day (20%) ⬇️
• Joan Collins for The Duchess and I (20%)
• Natalie Portman for Photograph 51 (18%)
• Scarlett Johansson for Paper Tiger (17%) ⬇️
• Lily Gladstone for Lone Wolf (16%)
• Zendaya for Dune: Part Three (14%) ⬇️
• Kristen Dunst for The Entertainment System is Down (6%)
• Michelle Williams for A Place in Hell (5%) ⬇️
• Shailene Woodley for UNABOMBER (5%) ⬇️
• Dakota Johnson for Verity (4%) ⬇️
• Michelle Monaghan for The Whisper Man (1%)

2027 Best Supporting Actor Nomination Prediction Market

• John Goodman for Digger (58%) ⬆️
• Paul Giamatti for The Statement (51%)
• Jeremy Strong for The Social Reckoning (45%) ⬇️
• Tom Holland for The Odyssey (43%) ⬆️
• Sam Rockwell for Good Luck, Have Fun, Don’t Die (40%) ⬆️
• Robert Pattinson for Dune: Part Three (37%) ⬆️
• Steve Buscemi for Wild Horse Nine (25%) ⬇️
• Colman Domingo for Michael (25%) ⬇️
• Charles Melton for Saturn Return (23%)
• Channing Tatum for Josephine (22%)
• Riz Ahmed for Hamlet (21%)
• Miles Teller for Paper Tiger (20%)
• Michael Fassbender for Hope (20%) ⬆️
• Jesse Plemons for Digger (19%)
• Travis Scott for The Odyssey (8%)
• Adam Scott for The Whisper Man (6%)
• Robert De Niro for The Whisper Man (6%)
• Daniel Craig for Narnia (3%)

2027 Best Supporting Actress Nomination Prediction Market

• Penelope Cruz for The Bride! (62%) ⬆️
• Anne Hathaway for Verity (58%) ⬆️
• Mariana di Girolamo for Wild Horse Nine (41%) ⬇️
• Parker Posey for Wild Horse Nine (39%) ⬆️
• Sandra Huller for Digger (34%) ⬇️
• Gemma Chan for Josephine (24%) ⬆️
• Betty Gilpin for The Social Reckoning (24%)
• Tao Okamoto for All of a Sudden (23%) ⬇️
• Zendaya for The Odyssey (22%) ⬇️
• Danielle Deadwyler for Average Height, Average Build (16%)
• Isabella Rossellini for The Duchess and I (19%)
• Margaret Qualley for The Dog Stars (19%)

2027 Best Original Screenplay Nomination Prediction Market

• Fjord (69%) ⬇️
• Wild Horse Nine (64%)
• Digger (62%)
• Obsession (57%)
• Club Kid (26%)
• Josephine (24%)
• Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma (24%)
• 1949/Fatherland (21%)
• Forgotten Island (15%)
• The Drama (12%)
• The Invite (9%)
• The Adventures of Cliff Booth (7%)
• A Place in Hell (7%)
• The Black Ball (7%)

2027 Best Adapted Screenplay Nomination Prediction Market

• The Odyssey (90%) ⬆️
• The Black Ball (76%)
• Project Hail Mary (73%)
• The Invite (69%)
• The Social Reckoning (40%)
• Dune: Part Three (37%)
• All of a Sudden (36%)
• The Adventures of Cliff Booth (33%)
• Toy Story 5 (17%)
• Cry to Heaven (16%)
• Wildwood (14%)
• Clarissa (10%)
• The Whisper Man (6%)
• Saturn Return (3%)

2027 Best Cinematography Nomination Prediction Market

• The Odyssey (91%)
• Obsession (83%)
• Dune: Part Three (76%)
• Digger (63%)
• 1949/Fatherland (50%)
• Project Hail Mary (46%)
• Werwulf (44%)
• The Adventures of Cliff Booth (31%)
• Josephine (15%)
• The Whisper Man (7%)

2027 Best Animated Film Nomination Prediction Market

• Toy Story 5 (94%)
• Wildwood (82%)
• Hoppers (79%)
• Tangles (57%)
• Shaun the Sheep: The Beast of Mossy Bottom (51%)
• Forgotten Island (50%)
• Ray Gunn (40%)
• Minions & Monsters (25%)

2027 Best Documentary Nomination Prediction Market

• Once Upon a Time in Harlem (65%)
• American Doctor (64%)
• Nuisance Bear (39%) ⬆️
• One in a Million (31%)
• Musk (25%) ⬆️
• Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Part (24%) ⬆️
• Tutu (19%)

2027 Best International Film Nomination Prediction Market

• 1949/Fatherland (89%)
• Fjord (86%)
• The Black Ball (80%)
• All of a Sudden (65%)
• Minotaur (44%)
• Coward (37%)
• Rose (25%)
• The Dreamed Adventure (21%)
• Possible Love (19%)
• Hope (16%)
• Bitter Christmas (11%)
• The Man I Love (9%)
• The Beloved (8%)
• Parallel Tales (8%)
• Sheep in the Box (2%)

2027 Best Makeup & Hairstyle Nomination Prediction Market

• Digger (66%)
• Werwulf (55%)
• Dune: Part Three (48%) ⬇️
• The Odyssey (47%) ⬇️
• Clayface (36%)
• Michael (33%)
• Madden (25%)
• Cry to Heaven (16%)
• The Social Reckoning (11%)
• Rose (9%)
• I Love Boosters (9%)
• UNABOMBER (9%)

2027 Best Score Nomination Prediction Market

• The Odyssey (86%) ⬆️
• Disclosure Day (66%) ⬇️
• The Black Ball (62%)
• Dune: Part Three (57%)
• The Adventures of Cliff Booth (47%) ⬆️
• Project Hail Mary (46%) ⬇️
• Wild Horse Nine (44%)
• The Social Reckoning (29%)
• Whalefall (19%)
• Cry to Heaven (14%)
• The Mandalorian and Grogu (12%)
• The Drama (11%)

2027 Best Visual Effects Nomination Prediction Market

• Dune: Part Three (95%)
• Project Hail Mary (75%)
• Godzilla Minus Zero (71%) ⬆️
• Spider-Man: Brand New Day (43%)
• Avengers: Doomsday (38%)
• Narnia (6%)

2027 Oscars Schedule & Important Dates

Here are the important dates coming up this year that relate to the Oscars, along with other important Academy Awards events.

• Jan. 1, 2026 – Oscars Eligibility Begins
• Nov. 12, 2026 – Final Submission Deadline
• Nov. 15, 2026 – Governors Awards
• Dec. 7, 2026 – Preliminary Voting Begins
• Dec. 11, 2026 – Preliminary Voting Ends
• Dec. 15, 2026 – Shortlists Announced
• Dec. 31, 2026 – Oscars Eligibility Ends
• Jan. 11, 2027 – Nomination Voting Begins
• Jan. 15, 2027 – Nomination Voting Ends
• Jan. 21, 2027 – Oscars Nominations Announced
• Feb. 16, 2027 – Oscars Nominees Lucheon
• Feb. 25, 2027 – Final Voting Begins
• Mar. 4, 2027 – Final Voting Begins
• Mar. 14, 2027 – 99th Academy Awards (Oscars)

How Can You Bet on the Oscars?

Betting on the Oscars is no different than group betting in sports, such as golf or motorsports. Bettors can wager on each category such as Best Actor or Best Actress, typically a field of five or more. There are only five nominations per category at the Oscars, besides Best Picture which sees 10. So once nominations are announced, bettors can wager on which nominees will win each category.

Before nominations are announced, however, only popular categories such as Best Director or Best Actress will see offered odds with much more in the field to wager on. This is why wagering on the Oscars as early as possible is so important, because the odds and markets is as much of a moving target as anything offered on sportsbooks.

Some books have recently added total markets at the Oscars, with 2026 seeing Over/Under markets for both Sinners and One Battle After Another based on the number of awards won. Bettors can wager on whether a film will win over or under a certain number of awards for the night. As this market is still very new to the American industry, it will continue to grow with time – already proven with the prediction markets available on platforms such as Kalshi.

What are the 2027 Oscars Categories?

There is one new category at the 2027 Oscars which will recognize stunts, as the ‘Achievement in Stunt Design’ will make its debut – long overdue. It’s nice to see the stunt teams get recognition, albeit very late with technology and CGI these days, but in 2026 we also saw ‘Achievement in Casting’ added to the Oscars. Below is a list of the categories at the 2027 Oscars.

1. Best Picture
2. Best Director
3. Best Actor
4. Best Actress
5. Best Supporting Actor
6. Best Supporting Actress
7. Best Original Screenplay
8. Best Adapted Screenplay
9. Best Cinematography
10. Best Casting
11. Best Animated Film
12. Best International Film
13. Best Documentary
14. Best Stunt Design
15. Best Production Design
16. Best Costume Design
17. Best Makeup & Hairstyle
18. Best Sound
19. Best Score
20. Best Song
21. Best Film Editing
22. Best Visual Effects
23. Best Live Action Short Film
24. Best Documentary Short Film
25. Best Animated Short Film

As the bolded categories are new to the Oscars, there are no voting patterns for proper analysis of the voting process and patterns. Therefore, those two categories (along with the short films) are not among our ranked categories above and will not be part of the yearly analyzation of 2027 Oscars contenders.

Who Votes on the Oscars Winners?

The short answer is that the Academy votes on each category at the Oscars. Not every member votes on every category, however, as voters are regulated to their own categories when voting. For example, Tom Hanks can vote on Best Actor because he won Best Actor in the past giving him automatic entry into the Academy. Since he is A) an actor and B) a Best Actor winner, he votes on the Best Actor category.

This is true for each department of moviemaking recognized at the Academy Awards, as hairdressers and makeup artists in the Academy vote on the Makeup & Hairstyle category and animators in the Academy vote on the Best Animated Film category. Directors vote for directors, costume designers vote for costumes, etc…

The Best Picture category is the only category in which every member of the Academy can vote on the award, which is a different process than all the other categories. When voting on the Best Picture, members vote using a ranking system – submitting a list from best to worst of the 10 nominated films. Once a movie hits 50% of the votes it wins. If no film hits 50% of the votes then the film with the fewest No. 1 votes is eliminated and re-voting begins.

This is repeated until a film hits 50%. The process is in place to avoid a film that has the most No. 1 votes but also many last place votes.

What are the Academy Award Branches?

There are 19 branches in the Academy, each branch consisting of members eligible to vote in specific categories.

• Acting
• Animation
• Casting
• Cinematography
• Costumes
• Directors
• Documentary
• Executives
• Film Editing
• Makeup & Hairstyle
• Marketing & PR
• Music
• Producers
• Production & Technology
• Production Design
• Short Films
• Sound
• Visual Effects
• Writing