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MLB Game Betting Trends: Friday, September 25, 2026

Thom Cunningham
Written by: Thom Cunningham
Last Updated:

Check out the latest MLB betting trends for games scheduled on Friday, September 25, 2026.

Cubs at Red Sox Betting Trends

Venue Stats: Fenway Park – 8.3 runs per game; 34-41-3 O/U

  • Boston has won 6 straight home games on the first of a doubleheader but is the underdog despite this, given a 49.5% chance to beat Chicago.
  • Boston has covered the run line in 5 straight games when facing the NL as the underdog. Boston is the underdog against Chicago with a 64.9% chance to cover +1.5-runs.
  • Boston Under 7 straight games.

 

Pirates at Tigers Betting Trends

Venue Stats: Comerica Park – 8.1 runs per game; 30-44-4 O/U

  • Pittsburgh has won 8 straight games vs the AL Central but is the underdog despite this, given a 49.8% chance to beat Detroit.
  • Pittsburgh has covered the run line in 5 of 7 games when facing Detroit and is given a 71.4% chance to cover +1.5-runs.
  • Pittsburgh Under 4 straight games.

 

Rays at Phillies Betting Trends

Venue Stats: Citizens Bank Park – 9.4 runs per game; 40-33-5 O/U

  • Tampa Bay has lost 10 straight games when facing Philadelphia and coming off a loss. Tampa Bay is the underdog given a 41.7% chance to win.
  • The road team has covered the run line in 9 of 11 games between Tampa Bay and Philadelphia. Tampa Bay is the road team with a 61.9% chance to cover +1.5-runs.
  • Philadelphia Over 4 straight home games vs the AL East.

 

Mets at Nationals Betting Trends

Venue Stats: Nationals Park – 10.8 runs per game; 45-30-3 O/U

  • New York has won 8 straight divisional games when facing a team under .500 and is the favorite, given a 57.4% chance to beat Washington.
  • Washington has covered the run line in 5 of 6 games when facing New York and is given a 60% chance to cover +1.5-runs.
  • New York Over 6 of 7 divisional games.

 

Orioles at Yankees Betting Trends

Venue Stats: Yankee Stadium – 8.8 runs per game; 39-36-3 O/U

  • New York has won 9 straight home games when facing Baltimore and is the favorite, given a 59.2% chance to win.
  • New York has covered the run line in 4 of 5 games against Baltimore and is given a 37% chance to cover -1.5-runs.
  • New York Over 9 straight games vs the AL at night.

 

Reds at Blue Jays Betting Trends

Venue Stats: Rogers Centre – 8.3 runs per game; 39-36-3 O/U

  • Cincinnati has lost 8 straight games when playing at night and coming off a win. Cincinnati is the underdog given a 46.5% chance to beat Toronto.
  • Toronto has covered the run line in 5 of 7 games when facing Cincinnati and is given a 37.7% chance to cover -1.5-runs.
  • The Over has hit in 7 straight meetings.

 

Braves at Marlins Betting Trends

Venue Stats: LoanDepot Park – 8.4 runs per game; 36-41-1 O/U

  • Atlanta has won 12 straight game when facing Miami at night and coming off a loss. Atlanta is the favorite given a 55.6% chance to win.
  • Atlanta has covered the run line in 6 straight games against Miami and is given a 42.6% chance to cover -1.5-runs.
  • Miami Over 6 straight home games vs Atlanta.

 

Rockies at White Sox Betting Trends

Venue Stats: Rate Field – 9 runs per game; 44-33-1 O/U

  • Colorado has lost 10 straight road games and is the underdog against Chicago, given a 35.1% chance to win.
  • Chicago has failed to cover the run line in 8 straight games when facing the NL and faces Colorado, given a 53.5% chance to cover +1.5-runs.
  • Chicago Over 4 straight games.

 

Guardians at Royals Betting Trends

Venue Stats: Kauffman Stadium – 9.8 runs per game; 38-38-2 O/U

  • Kansas City has won 9 of 10 divisional home games when coming off a home loss but is the underdog despite this, given a 45.5% chance to beat Cleveland.
  • The underdog has covered the run line in 5 of 6 games between Cleveland and Kansas City. Kansas City is the underdog given a 60% chance to cover +1.5-runs.
  • Kansas City Over 5 straight divisional games.

 

Cardinals at Brewers Betting Trends

Venue Stats: American Family Field – 9 runs per game; 33-41-3 O/U

  • Milwaukee has won 8 straight games when playing on a back-to-back at night and is the favorite, given a 64.9% chance to beat St. Louis.
  • St. Louis has covered the run line in 4 of 6 games against Milwaukee and is given a 58.3% chance to cover +1.5-runs.
  • St. Louis Under 4 straight games.

 

Rangers at Twins Betting Trends

Venue Stats: Target Field – 9.2 runs per game; 38-35-4 O/U

  • Texas has lost 7 of 8 road games when facing the AL as the favorite and coming off a win. Texas is the favorite given a 52.8% chance to beat Minnesota.
  • Minnesota has covered the run line in 9 straight games when facing the AL West as the underdog. Minnesota faces Texas as the underdog given a 64.9% chance to cover +1.5-runs.
  • Texas Over 8 of 9 games vs the AL as a favorite.

 

Astros at Athletics Betting Trends

Venue Stats: Sutter Health Park – 11.4 runs per game; 45-24-3 O/U

  • Houston has lost 6 straight games when coming off a win but is the favorite despite this, given a 63.6% chance to beat West Sacramento.
  • The road team has covered the run line in 4 of 5 games between Houston and West Sacramento. Houston is the road team with a 49.5% chance to cover -1.5-runs.
  • West Sacramento Over 10 straight divisional games.

 

Diamondbacks at Padres Betting Trends

Venue Stats: Petco Park – 7.8 runs per game; 33-40-5 O/U

  • Arizona has won 7 of 8 games when playing on a back-to-back as the underdog. Arizona is the underdog given a 46.5% chance to beat San Diego.
  • Arizona has covered the run line in 5 straight games and faces San Diego, given a 66.1% chance to cover +1.5-runs.
  • San Diego Over 11 of 12 games as the favorite.

 

Angels at Mariners Betting Trends

Venue Stats: T-Mobile Park – 7.8 runs per game; 38-33-7 O/U

  • Seattle has lost 9 straight games when facing the AL on a Friday but is the favorite despite this, given a 57.4% chance to beat Los Angeles.
  • Los Angeles has covered the run line in 6 straight road games when playing as the underdog. Los Angeles faces Seattle as the underdog given a 67.2% chance to cover +1.5-runs.
  • Los Angeles Over 5 straight road games.

 

Dodgers at Giants Betting Trends

Venue Stats: Oracle Park – 8.6 runs per game; 36-38-4 O/U

  • San Francisco has lost 12 straight games when facing the NL on a Friday night and is the underdog, given a 25% chance to beat Los Angeles.
  • Los Angeles has covered the run line in 5 straight games when facing San Francisco and is given a 68.3% chance to cover -1.5-runs.
  • San Francisco Over 5 straight divisional games at night.

 

MLB Hit Trends

  • Ceddanne Rafaela 12 straight games vs NL as underdog
  • Michael Busch 8 straight road games vs AL
  • Coby Mayo 8 straight games vs AL
  • George Lombard Jr 8 straight games vs AL
  • Kevin McGonigle 12 straight games vs NL Central
  • Riley Greene 9 straight games as underdog
  • Trea Turner 8 straight games vs TMB
  • Justin Crawford 7 straight divisional games
  • Francisco Lindor 9 straight games vs WSH
  • Marcus Semien 8 straight games as favorite
  • George Springer 11 straight home games
  • Eugenio Suarez 8 straight games vs TOR
  • Mauricio Dubon 12 straight games
  • Xavier Edwards 10 straight divisional home games as underdog
  • Connor Norby 8 straight games vs AL Central as underdog
  • TJ Rumfield 5 straight road games vs AL Central
  • Salvador Perez 11 straight home games vs AL
  • Bobby Witt Jr 10 straight home games vs AL
  • Joey Ortiz 10 straight games vs NL
  • William Contreras 9 straight games as favorite
  • Josh Bell 8 straight games vs AL West
  • Brooks Lee 8 straight games
  • Jackson Merrill 11 straight games vs NL as favorite
  • Nolan Arenado 10 straight games
  • Zach Neto 11 straight divisional road games
  • Julio Rodriguez 10 straight divisional games as favorite
  • Andy Pages 7 straight road games
  • Andrew Knizner 5 straight home games

MLB RBI Trends

  • Pete Alonso 4 of 5 road games
  • George Lombard Jr 3 straight games
  • Brandon Lowe 8 of 10 games
  • Spencer Horwitz 4 of 5 games vs DET
  • Edmundo Sosa 4 of 5 games vs AL
  • Juan Soto 7 of 8 divisional games as favorite
  • Bo Bichette 4 of 5 road games vs NL as favorite
  • Alejandro Kirk 5 of 6 home games
  • Drake Baldwin 5 of 6 divisional games as favorite
  • Munetaka Murakami 5 straight games
  • Miguel Vargas 5 of 6 games
  • Salvador Perez 7 of 8 divisional games
  • Vinnie Pasquantino 5 of 6 games
  • Jake Bauers 4 straight home games vs team under .500
  • Josh Bell 4 straight games vs TEX
  • Shea Langeliers 4 of 5 home games
  • Christian Walker 4 of 5 road games vs WSC
  • Gabriel Moreno 5 straight games vs NL
  • Fernando Tatis Jr 4 straight home games

MLB Run Trends

  • Jose Caballero 4 straight home games vs BAL
  • Ernie Clement 4 of 5 games vs CIN
  • Chase Meidroth 8 of 10 games
  • Ezequiel Tovar 3 straight road games
  • Bobby Witt Jr 7 straight home games vs CLE
  • David Fry 6 of 7 games
  • Jackson Chourio 7 of 8 home games
  • Walker Jenkins 7 of 8 games
  • Brandon Nimmo 4 of 5 games
  • JP Crawford 4 of 5 games vs LAA
  • Josh Naylor 4 of 5 home games vs LAA

MLB HR Trends

  • Ian Happ 4 of 5 road games vs AL
  • Mickey Gasper 3 straight home games vs NL team over .500
  • Kyle Schwarber 3 of 4 home games vs TMB
  • George Springer 4 of 5 games vs CIN
  • Michael Harris 3 of 4 games in Miami as favorite
  • William Contreras 3 straight home games
  • Isaac Paredes 4 of 5 road games
  • Zack Gelof 3 of 4 home games
  • Nolan Arenado 3 of 4 games
  • Will Smith 3 of 4 games vs SFO

MLB Strikeout Trends

  • Gavin Williams 7+ 4 straight games
  • Joe Ryan 7+ 3 straight games vs TEX
  • Andrew Alvarez 5+ 6 straight games
  • Noah Cameron 5+ 3 straight games vs CLE

MLB YRFI/NRFI Trends

* all odds listed below are YRFI prices

  • CHC YRFI 6 straight road games vs the AL
  • NYY YRFI 9 of 10 home games vs BAL
  • PIT NRFI 10 of 11 road games vs AL Central
  • PHI NRFI 6 straight home games as favorite
  • WSH YRFI 5 straight games vs NL
  • TOR YRFI 4 straight home games vs CIN
  • MIA NRFI 10 straight games vs NL on Fridays
  • COL YRFI 7 straight games at night
  • KNC YRFI 7 straight home games vs AL
  • MIL YRFI 10 straight home games at night
  • MIN YRFI 7 straight games vs TEX
  • SND YRFI 8 straight divisional games as favorite
  • SFO YRFI 7 straight home games vs NL
About the Author
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Thom Cunningham is the Lineups.com News Editor and has been involved with sports media for almost two decades at Spectrum, VegasInsider.com, Oddschecker, VSiN and much more as a content producer - focused on the betting and gaming space over the last decade tracking insights, data analytics and covering various markets from the NFL to the Oscars. 

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