2026 NFL Draft Round 1 Final Mock Update, Top 32 Picks Odds & Analysis
It’s 2026 NFL Draft Day Eve, and with that, I present to you my final 2026 NFL Mock Draft with odds and picks for No. 1 to 32.
2026 NFL Mock Draft
1. Las Vegas Raiders: Fernando Mendoza (QB – Indiana)
2. New York Jets: Arvell Reese (LB – Ohio State)
3. Kansas City Chiefs: David Bailey (ED – Texas Tech)
4. Tennessee Titans: Jeremiyah Love (HB – Notre Dame) | Player Draft Analysis
5. New York Giants: Carnell Tate (WR – Ohio State)
6. Cleveland Browns: Francis Mauigoa (T – Miami (FL))
7. Washington Commanders: Sonny Styles (LB – Ohio State)
8. New Orleans Saints: Makai Lemon (WR – USC)
9. Arizona Cardinals: Spencer Fano (T – Utah)
10. New York Giants: Caleb Downs (S – Ohio State)
11. Philadelphia Eagles: Rueben Bain Jr. (ED – Miami (FL))
12. Dallas Cowboys: Mansoor Delane (CB – LSU)
13. Los Angeles Rams: Monroe Freeling (T – Georgia)
14. Baltimore Ravens: Jordyn Tyson (WR – Arizona State)
15. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Olaivavega Ioane (G – Penn State)
16. New York Jets: Denzel Boston (WR – Washington)
17. Detroit Lions: Kadyn Proctor (T – Alabama)
18. Minnesota Vikings: Emmanuel McNeil-Warren (S – Toledo)
19. Carolina Panthers: Kenyon Sadiq (TE – Oregon) | Player Draft Analysis
20. Dallas Cowboys: Dillon Thieneman (S – Oregon)
21. Pittsburgh Steelers: Blake Miller (T – Clemson)
22. Los Angeles Chargers: Kayden McDonald (DI – Ohio State)
23. Miami Dolphins: KC Concepcion (WR – Texas A&M)
24. Cleveland Browns: Omar Cooper Jr. (WR – Indiana)
25. Chicago Bears: Peter Woods (DI – Clemson)
26. Buffalo Bills: Jermod McCoy (CB – Tennessee)
27. San Francisco 49ers: Caleb Lomu (T – Utah)
28. Houston Texans: Max Iheanachor (T – Arizona State)
29. Arizona Cardinals: Ty Simpson (QB – Alabama) | Player Draft Analysis
30. Miami Dolphins: Chris Johnson (CB – San Diego State)
31. New York Giants: Caleb Banks (DI – Florida)
32. Seattle Seahawks: Colton Hood (CB – Tennessee)
2026 NFL Draft Pick Odds
No. 1 Pick Odds
Nothing to see here; it’ll be Mendoza, but does anyone want to wager $20,000 to win $100?
Pick: Fernando Mendoza
No. 2 Pick Odds
I’ve gone back and forth on this pick, but ultimately settle on Reese as the pick.
Bailey is the more ready-to-go pass rusher, but Reese’s upside and athleticism are rare. The Jets have a defensive-minded head coach in Aaron Glenn, and he’ll have a great time finding a role for Reese in this defense.
Pick: Arvell Reese
No. 3 Pick Odds
With Reese off the board, I’m going with Bailey at No. 3. In this scenario, the Chiefs trade up to get him. Even if the Chiefs don’t trade up, the Cardinals could also very well take him or another team may trade up.
Bailey has been a productive pass rusher throughout college, including at Stanford and Texas Tech.
Pick: David Bailey
No. 4 Pick Odds
There’s been a lot of noise around the Titans’ pick, whether that’s Sonny Styles, a wide receiver, or Love. Ultimately, it’ll be Love.
He’s Jahmyr Gibbs-like in terms of how dynamic he is, but not only that, he’s bigger than Gibbs.
He’ll be a great asset, helping take some pressure off Cam Ward and being extremely marketable as the Titans move into their new stadium.
Pick: Jeremiyah Love
No. 5 Pick Odds
Styles is a possibility here, and I love the idea of him pairing with Tremaine Edmund. However, I’m going with a curveball looking at the odds and going with Carnell Tate.
Ahead of Tate and after Styles are Jordyn Tyson, Love, and Francis Mauigoa.
I’m opting not to buy into Tyson’s resurgence narrative. He’s very talented, but the injuries really worry for inside the top five.
Mauigoa makes sense, but they do have Jermaine Eluemunor as a stopgap. With Tate, they get a safe player who will complement Malik Nabers.
Pick: Carnell Tate
No. 6 Pick Odds
While Mauigoa doesn’t fit an immediate need with Howard on the roster, Mauigoa is a safe pick. He was a consistent right tackle at Miami, and the Browns could reshuffle the offensive line enough to make it work.
The pick could be Spencer Fano or Monroe Freeling, but I’m settling on Mauigoa.
Pick: Francis Mauigoa
No. 7 Pick Odds
This is where the fall of Styles ends. His combine was so sensational that it wouldn’t shock me to see him go sooner. The Commanders are thrilled not to have to call around to trade down. Rather, they can sit and pick the heir apparent to Bobby Wagner.
Head coach Dan Quinn will have a field day deploying Styles.
Pick: Sonny Styles
No. 8 Pick Odds
Out of all of the mock drafts I’ve seen, I think I’m the highest on Lemon. I may look back at this and think, “Yeah, it was obvious they’d take Delane or Bain Jr. in hindsight,” but Lemon in this offense alongside Chris Olave would be phenomenal.
The odds are great, too.
Pick: Makai Lemon
No. 9 Pick Odds
With the Cardinals trading down, they have this No. 9 overall pick. I went with Fano. What’s nice about this pick? Evven if the Chiefs stay at No. 9, it’s not unlikely they themselves would draft Fano.
In this scenario, though, the Cardinals trade down and still get a versatile offensive lineman.
Pick: Spencer Fano
No. 10 Pick Odds
With Tate on the roster, the Giants double-up on Buckeyes players here at No. 10 and get another “easy win” with Downs. They need a guy on the back end of their defense who’s going to bring an easygoing, Earl Thomas-like presence, and Downs will do just that.
Pick: Caleb Downs
No. 11 Pick Odds
Here’s where things get a bit whacky. The Dolphins are trading down here and accumulating either more picks, or (given the player the Eagles would acquire in this trade) a 2027 pick. We’ve seen Howie Roseman get aggressive in the past, and with Bain Jr. falling, they swoop in and get the most powerful edge rusher in recent memory.
Pick: Rueben Bain Jr.
No. 12 Pick Odds
The Cowboys need help in their secondary, so who better than Mansoor Delane? If not for the injury concerns, McCoy would be the pick here. Delane is safer and excels in press-man coverage.
Pick: Mansoor Delane
No. 13 Pick Odds
The Rams are another team I could see getting aggressive and moving up,. In this scenario, an offensive lineman for the future falls into their lap with Freeling, whose athleticism turned many heads at the combine.
They still have Alaric Jackson for a bit, and Steve Avila has been solid, but he’ll find a spot along the offensive line in time as he develops more.
Pick: Monroe Freeling
No. 14 Pick Odds
This is another pick I was at a crossroads with. I was between Olaivavega Ioane, Kenyon Sadiq, and Tyson. Although Sadiq is the one player that I might be kicking myself about after, because the fit makes so much sense, I opted for Tyson.
Tyson is an extremely talented player. There is his injury history, but a pick of Tyson would give Lamar Jackson a bonafide stud to throw to, and this would also appease a fan base who was expecting Maxx Crosby instead of picking in this spot.
Pick: Jordyn Tyson
No. 15 Pick Odds
With Ioane on the board, he’s just too good to pass up on here. Yes, Baker Mayfield needs more weapons and Sadiq would be a great option. Still, Mayfield also dealt with numerous injuries last season, and the Buccaneers desperately need to upgrade their offensive line.
As a bonus, if Sadiq is the pick by the Ravens, we’d lose that prop bet, but that would mean Ioane is even more likely here.
Pick: Olaivavega Ioane
No. 16 Pick Odds
The Jets need a receiver opposite Garrett Wilson and Denzel Boston, while he may not be the best separator ever, is a big-bodied and contest-catch receiver that’ll be great for Geno Smith and the future quarterback of the team. He’s somewhat reminiscent, athletically, of Tetairoa McMillan. The Jets could use a receiver with his skillset.
Pick: Denzel Boston
No. 17 Pick Odds
The Lions have lost a lot of offensive line talent, and here at No. 17, they get a massive offensive lineman who could play left tackle or kick inside to left guard and let Larry Borom start at tackle. Listed at 6′ 6⅝” and 350 pounds, Dan Campbell will love Proctor.
Pick: Kadyn Proctor
No. 18 Pick Odds
The Vikings are a sneaky landing spot for Sadiq, but here, I have them taking the big and long safety in Emmanuel McNeil-Warren. He’s a guy who’s not afraid to get physical, and he would thrive in this Brian Flores defense.
Pick: Emmanuel McNeil-Warren
No. 19 Pick Odds
Sadiq finally comes off the board here. The Panthers’ receiving corps is full of big-bodied weapons for Bryce Young, and Sadiq is no exception. He’ll step in right away as their starter.
Pick: Kenyon Sadiq
No. 20 Pick Odds
At No. 20, I was a bit hesitant because I know the Cowboys would like to get an edge rusher. However, Thieneman (paired with Delane on the back end of the defense) seems too good to pass up. He was 94th percentile in vertical jump and 97th percentile in the 40-yard dash. His range and versatility will provide a lot to this defense.
Pick: Dillon Theieneman
No. 21 Pick Odds
I thought long and hard about someone like KC Concepcion here for the Steelers. I ultimately decided to go with Miller. He played a lot of right tackle over his career at Clemson. With how abysmal Broderick Jones has been, I’d chance when the time is right, moving Troy Fautanu to the left side and sliding in Miller to right.
Pick: Blake Miller
No. 22 Pick Odds
The Chargers are another team that could go receiver, but with McDonald on the board and Dalvin Tomlinson still on the roster, this is an immediate upgrade. McDonald isn’t fantastic at rushing the passer yet, but he’ll help stop the run in a big way. Over the final three games of last season, the Chargers allowed 126.7 rushing yards per game, which was nearly in the bottom third of all teams.
Pick: Kayden McDonald
No. 23 Pick Prediction
* pick odds TBD
This pick originally belonged to the Eagles, but after the trade, it’s now the Dolphins. This team desperately needs somebody for newly signed Malik Willis to throw to, and they get a fantastic but slightly volatile option in Concepcion.
He can separate better than anyone in this class and is explosive with the ball in his hands.
Also, if the Eagles were to pick here, Concepcion isn’t a bad pick for them either, especially with an impending A.J. Brown deal.
Pick: KC Concepcion
No. 24 Pick Prediction
* pick odds TBD
At No. 24, the Browns, using the pick they acquired from the Jacksonville Jaguars last year in exchange for Travis Hunter, get a receiver to go opposite Jerry Jeudy, and that’s Cooper Jr.
The lack of production overall in college is somewhat worrisome, but he’s a tough, gritty receiver who will be a yards after the catch monster.
Pick: Omar Cooper Jr.
No. 25 Pick Prediction
* pick odds TBD
The Bears were 26th in run defense last season, and a big part of that was their interior defensive line.
Woods had a down season compared to 2024, but he’s shown to be solid against the run, and his power and explosiveness will help this defense.
Pick: Peter Woods
No. 26 Pick Prediction
* pick odds TBD
Due to the medicals, McCoy slips to No. 26, and the Bills cannot pass him up. McCoy was phenomenal in 2024, allowing just 31 catches and had four interceptions, and six pass breakups.
No, he didn’t play in 2025, but his testing numbers were great, and now, the Bills get an excellent corner to help their defense.
Pick: Jermod McCoy
No. 27 Pick Prediction
* pick odds TBD
The 49ers will say goodbye to Trent Williams at some point, and when that happens, Lomu will be ready to step in. He’s a bit raw right now as a prospect, but he’s athletic and has a lot of room to grow.
He’ll be a long-time tackle in the NFL, especially under Kyle Shanahan’s tutelage.
Pick: Caleb Lomu
No. 28 Pick Prediction
* pick odds TBD
The Texans are a potential trade-down team with the Cardinals, should the events in this mock not play out, but here, they’re taking the best offensive lineman on the board, and that’s the raw Iheanachor.
He’s a powerful, hulking tackle who needs to work more on his overall technique, but here, he goes to a team that needs offensive line help and a more than capable coaching staff.
Pick: Max Iheanachor
No. 29 Pick Prediction
* pick odds TBD
At the start of the draft, No. 29 is the Chiefs’ pick, but again, it is another potential trade-down spot. I’d say, really, any pick from No. 24 on has a chance to be a spot where the Cardinals come in.
Here, the Cardinals traded No. 3 overall to get this pick and more, and with it, it’s Ty Simpson.
The odds on this pick provide a lot of value, since it’s the Chiefs’ pick here, but remember, a trade-down is possible.
Pick: Ty Simpson
No. 30 Pick Prediction
* pick odds TBD
Sticking here at No. 30 in a deal that saw Jaylen Waddle go to the Denver Broncos, the Dolphins drafted one of my favorite players in the draft in Johnson.
This guy is so versatile and can play inside or outside. The Dolphins need some talent on their roster in general, and now, they not only get that, but they get versatility for Jeff Hafley’s defense.
Pick: Chris Johnson
No. 31 Pick Prediction
* pick odds TBD
The Patriots hold this pick, but after losing Dexter Lawrence in a trade to the Cincinnati Bengals, the Giants trade back in to ensure they get his heir apparent in Banks.
There are some injury concerns with Banks, but in a “gets off the bus” eye test, Banks is a specimen. He’s 6’ 6 ¼”, 327 pounds, and has 35” arms.
These were his measureables and testing scores at the combine:
- Height: 6′ 6¼” (98th percentile)
- Weight: 327 lbs (89th percentile)
- Wingspan: 85¾” (98th percentile)
- Arm Length: 35″ (94th percentile)
- Hand Size: 10⅞” (94th percentile)
- 10 Yard Split: 1.76s (39th percentile)
- 40 Yard Dash: 5.04s (60th percentile)
- Vertical Jump: 32″ (79th percentile)
- Broad Jump: 114″ (92nd percentile)
The Giants don’t need to move up far to ensure they get him.
Pick: Caleb Banks
No. 32 Pick Odds
* pick odds TBD
To close out the first round, the Seahawks lost some secondary talent in free agency,y and they replenish it here with Hood.
I thought about Malachi Lawrence a lot in this spot, but ultimately decided to go with Hood, a player who will fit Mike Macdonald’s attitude perfectly with his press-man bully-ball mentality.
Pick: Colton Hood
Photo Credit: AP/John Locher
