2026 RBC Canadian Open Odds: Four Longshots & PGA Tour Golf DFS Picks

The PGA Tour heads north of the border as many of the game’s best converge at TPC Toronto at Osprey Valley for the 2026 RBC Canadian Open. This event has crowned its fair share of longshot winners recently, with each of its last three champions – Ryan Fox, Robert MacIntyre, Nick Taylor – closing at longer than 60/1 pre-tournament outright odds. Will we see another surprise longshot winner shake Jake Nicklaus’ hand at the end of this week?

There are a variety of ways to attack TPC Toronto, as the leaderboard showed in its inaugural 2025 event. The prevailing path seemed to favor those with distance, who were able to generate a high volume of wedge approaches from these generous fairways and negligible rough. There are many sleepers who fit that profile in the 2026 RBC Canadian Open field.

We’ll look to dig for some diamonds in the rough in this article ahead of the RBC Canadian Open.

RBC CANADIAN OPEN ODDS

RBC CANADIAN OPEN INTRODUCTION

It’s refreshing to see a new golf course on the PGA TOUR schedule, and TPC Toronto at Osprey Valley will be up to the task after Ian Andrew completed his renovation work in 2024. The renovation project took inspiration from other PGA TOUR courses in the TPC network, with the goal of creating a fan-friendly viewing experience while offering more of a challenge to the PGA TOUR’s best. As part of those efforts to challenge the professionals, Andrew installed deeper greenside bunkers and pushed back fairway hazards to ensure players would have to think twice before bombing past them off the tee.

By simply featuring only two par-5s, we can expect the score relative to par to remain in check this week. The North Course at TPC Toronto at Osprey Valley will play as a 7,389-yard par-70. As far as par-70s go, TPC Toronto is certainly on the longer side, getting its length from the six par-4s measuring over 480 yards. The par-3s are likely to average above par this week as well, with two of the four measuring over 225 yards. Depending on the tee boxes used each day, bombers will have a chance to give it a go at the green on two short par-4s. Overall, this course offers an advantage to longer hitters and will be decided by those who can convert the most wedges inside 150 yards into birdies.

Read my 2026 RBC Canadian Open preview for a deeper dive into the course. Let’s get to our 2026 RBC Canadian Open  picks, focusing on longshots and PGA Tour golf sleepers for your DFS lineups.

FINDING VALUE IN GOLF DFS PICKS: RBC CANADIAN OPEN

To identify “value” any given week on the PGA Tour, I find it’s best first to understand the consensus key stat profile. Then, take a stance on the elements of the tournament that may go overlooked. At TPC Toronto at Osprey Valley, Recent Form, SG: APP, and Event History are consensus key areas factored into each player’s price.

From a golf DFS picks perspective, I will take a stance primarily on the importance of Comp Course History and Approach Proximity from inside 15o yards and beyond 200 yards. These areas, in particular, were a deciding factor at last year’s RBC Canadian Open, the first time TPC Toronto hosted a PGA Tour event. The lack of approaches from the 150-200 yard range is unique to this course, and presents a great opportunity to buy low on the best wedge players and long-iron approach marksmen.

Below, find my favorite value PGA golf Fantasy picks and longshots for 2026 RBC Canadian Open odds. Stats pulled across the last 36 rounds unless otherwise noted.

Jordan Smith

Jordan Smith, unfortunately, found himself on the wrong end of an 8-for-3 U.S. Open qualifying event nearby in Toronto on Monday. That comes with its fair share of silver linings as he shifts his focus to the RBC Canadian Open. He’ll be motivated to play himself into the Shinnecock Hills field with a win now, and if his two rounds of 65-69 at the Lambton qualifying event are any indication, the game continues to look sharp.

Leading into this week, Smith has sustained excellent form, ranking top-10 in SG: T2G, SG: Ball Striking, and SG: OTT over his last 36 rounds. While putting is not his strong suit, he’s proven he can contend whenever he is able to putt to field-average. His T13 finish in his most recent start at the Charles Schwab Challenge marked his fourth top-16 finish over his last 12 starts. Profiling as one of the longer hitters in this field, TPC Toronto should be an excellent fit for Smith’s game as he sets out for his first career RBC Canadian Open start.

Zach Bauchou

The 30-year-old rookie is the latest bloomer to come out of the 2018 Oklahoma State class that famously boasted the loaded cast of Viktor Hovland, Matthew Wolff, Sam Stevens, Austin Eckroat, and Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen. There’s an argument to be made that it is, in fact, Bauchou who has the hottest hand out of that group at the moment.

Bauchou has finished in the top 30 in each of his last five starts leading into this week, including a career-best T6 finish at the CJ Cup Byron Nelson. Throughout this stretch, Bauchou has leaned on his hot iron play, ranking 10th in SG: APP over that span. Like Smith, Bauchou also ranks top-15 in SG: T2G and SG: Ball Striking, proving that this run of top-30s is sustainable. Profiling as an accurate driver with average distance, high-level approach play, and reliable short game, I believe Bauchou is an underrated talent worth keeping an eye on for the second half of 2026, as he continues to improve with each passing week.

Jackson Suber

The most popular longshot you’ll hear about this week is Jackson Suber, and he’s only continued to gain steam since shooting a region-best 10-under-par on golf’s longest day in Rockville, Maryland. It was a forgettable start to the season for Suber, who posted just one top-50 finish over his first eight starts. He’s found something recently, though, with a T19 and 4th place finish over his last three starts.

Suber is a volatile player, but is one of the streakiest iron players on Tour when he’s on. He ranks 9th in SG: APP leading into this week, and ranked 3rd in SG: APP at the CJ Cup Byron Nelson two starts ago. He’ll make his return to TPC Toronto with good vibes, finishing T18 in his RBC Canadian Open debut here last year.

Mark Hubbard

Speaking of elite approach upside, Mark Hubbard profiles similarly as an accurate player who can spike on courses that produce a high volume of wedge shots. He was a notch better than Suber on approach at the CJ Cup Byron Nelson, ranking 2nd in the field, and has seen a similar uptick in form recently, ranking top-20 in the field in SG: TOT and SG: APP over the last 36 rounds.

Hubbard is one of the biggest longshots in the field, but has a fairly high ceiling when it comes to the RBC Canadian Open. He’s made the cut in six consecutive appearances at this event, highlighted by a career-best T6 finish in 2023. His outright potential may be capped here, but from a DFS standpoint, he’s one of the most appealing salary-saver options on the board.

Best of luck if you bet or play any of these golf DFS picks for the RBC Canadian Open!

Photo Credit: AP/Tony Gutierrez