2026 WM Phoenix Open Odds & Preview: Everything You Need To Know, Early Bets Including Si Woo Kim
It’s another week of golf action on the PGA Tour. The next stop is the 2026 WM Phoenix Open at TPC Scottsdale. Compare WM Phoenix Open odds at the best sports betting sites to increase your potential PGA Tour golf betting payouts. Scottie Scheffler, Xander Schauffele, and Hideki Matsuyama project as the top favorites for this upcoming tournament.
The party gets going on the PGA Tour this weekend. Highly anticipated odds for the 2026 WM Phoenix Open at TPC Scottsdale are now out. Not only is the field full, but the crowd will be packed, too, as the WM Phoenix Open attracts the masses — and breeds a golf environment — like no other. With a seating capacity of up to 350,000, this event is third all-time in terms of attendance for a US sporting event, peaking with over 216,000 fans in attendance in 2018.
Don’t expect the traditional golf clap this week. This will be the most energized golf viewing experience of the year. It rarely disappoints with its exciting risk/reward holes down the finish.
If you have friends who usually don’t care for golf, consider getting them on board this week, starting with this WM Phoenix Open odds guide. It’s a very entertaining watch; the best tour players are here, and it usually produces some fun Sunday Super Bowl crossover props. Last year, you could have cashed on the Scottie Scheffler longest drive > Patrick Mahomes passing yards prop with just a little bit of golf research. And we all know there’s about to be a big Sunday void in every sports fan’s life after this week. So, gather ’round for some golf!
Here’s a look at everything you can expect to help navigate 2026 Waste Management Phoenix Open odds.
2026 Opening WM Phoenix Open Odds: The Favorites
Nine of the last 11 winners also won either a major championship or The Players. With another loaded field in store, we should expect another high-octane event, the perfect precursor to Super Bowl Sunday.
Click on the odds in the table to bet now. For more sportsbook promos, we highly recommend checking out the best sports betting sites.
WM Phoenix Odds: The Field At A Glance
The WM Phoenix Open never has a hard time attracting the game’s best. That was exacerbated in 2023 when it was upgraded to a Signature Event, attracting the likes of Rory McIlroy and Tommy Fleetwood for the first time. While those same names will not be back this year without proper Signature Event status this time around, it’s still a field to get very excited for.
A total of 11 OWGR top-20 players will tee it up in Scottsdale. Two-time winner Scottie Scheffler headlines the field fresh off a victory in his first start of the 2026 season at The American Express. With four top-10 finishes in six career WM Phoenix Open appearances, there’s no reason to expect the best player in the world won’t be a factor this week.
In addition to Scheffler, Xander Schauffele, J.J. Spaun, Ben Griffin, Cameron Young, Viktor Hovland, Hideki Matsuyama, Collin Morikawa, Sam Burns, and Matt Fitzpatrick represent a deep field of headliners in the desert this week. Hovland will notably make his PGA TOUR debut this week, fresh off of a T14 finish at the Hero Dubai Desert Classic two starts ago.
Thomas Detry will not be in the field this week to defend his surprising runaway victory. He sold his stock high and jumped to LIV after picking up his first lone career professional win at the 2025 WM Phoenix Open.
Past winners of this event returning to the field this week include Nick Taylor, Scottie Scheffler, Brooks Koepka, Webb Simpson, Rickie Fowler, Gary Woodland, and Hideki Matsuyama.
- Join Lineups.com’s free sports betting Discord, with more than 4,000 community members and our staff sharing betting ideas every day. Go to the #roles server to get push notifications to the Discord app from TheLines.com staff when they lock in a bet.
Introduction To TPC Scottsdale
After two straight weeks of course rotations, we’re back to a normal golf setup. We have a full arsenal of historical strokes gained data to project success at the 2026 WM Phoenix Open.
Course history at TPC Scottsdale is the third-most predictive of any course on tour, behind Augusta National and Waialae CC. Players who have seen success here are more likely to repeat it compared to most other courses. For placement betting in particular, it’s become a sound strategy to rely on a repeatable floor of the top course history players. However, debutants like Patrick Cantlay, Sahith Theegala, and Matt Fitzpatrick have shown that a lack of prior experience doesn’t mean you can’t compete.
It would seem the sticky course history has more to do with the unique atmosphere than course fit. You’re stepping into the arena at TPC Scottsdale with the most raucous crowds all year. Some relish the spotlight and feed off of the crowds; others struggle to reconcile it. A history of excelling in high-adrenaline competitions like The Players, majors, or the Ryder and Presidents cups has proven to be a consistent through line in contenders over the years and a subjective narrative worth considering before placing your 2026 WM Phoenix Open bets.
In short, TPC Scottsdale is not a “specialist’s course.” One-dimensional players can’t lean on a particular strength of their game to gain on the field. To contend at the WM Phoenix Open — like at majors — it takes players whose ball striking is the strength of their game and who can confidently scramble for pars under pressure.
Event History & Course Comps
The Waste Management Phoenix Open has seen equal shares of success from both short and long hitters, but the prevailing trend has always been Ball Striking. With ample water and desert hazards, consistent players off the tee with elite approach skills rise to the top.
Scottie Scheffler
Truly putting the “Scot” in Scottsdale, Scheffler has strung together one of the most dominant runs of course history we’ve seen from a player at any course over the last five years. In that span, Scheffler has finished T25, T3, 1st, 1st, and T7. It’s safe to assume Scheffler will be a factor in this tournament yet again in 2026, and it may not be a bad idea to consider the “winner without” market or placing some dual forecast outrights with Scheffler considering his dominance in the desert.
The Rest
After Scheffler, the rest of the top 10 in event history rounds out with Xander Schauffele, Hideki Matsuyama, Brooks Koepka, Jordan Spieth, Rickie Fowler, Sahith Theegala, Daniel Berger, Webb Simpson, and Maverick McNealy. There are few real surprises here. Top players with strong histories in majors rise to the top of leaderboards. Three of the top 10 in course history here (Scheffler, Simpson, and Fowler) also won The Players.
Looking at recent finishes, six players in this field delivered multiple T10 finishes over the last five years: Scottie Scheffler, Sam Burns, Xander Schauffele, Jordan Spieth, Sahith Theegala, and Nick Taylor.
There are 11 players who have avoided missing the cut over the last five years (min. three appearances): Scottie Scheffler, Cameron Young, Xander Schauffele, Si Woo Kim, Kurt Kitayama, Jordan Spieth, Sahith Theegala, Hideki Matsuyama, Brian Harman, Corey Conners, and Tom Kim.
Comp Courses
Water hazards, stadium setups, and risk/reward par 4s are common across TPC courses. While there are plenty of scoring opportunities on this course, the winning score has not surpassed 20 under par since Tom Weiskopf’s 2014 renovation until Nick Taylor’s playoff win here in 2024. Thomas Detry went on to annihilate this course last year, but no other player in the field shot better than 17-under-par. In terms of comp courses, I’m looking closely at other events with firm and fast, moderate scoring conditions.
If I could pick one comp to TPC Scottsdale, I would probably side with TPC Sawgrass. Both TPC courses are similar in length and feature a similar closing stretch. They emphasize ball striking and scrambling and have produced overlapping winners in Scottie Scheffler, Rickie Fowler, Webb Simpson, and Phil Mickelson.
I’m also looking closely at desert golf courses as comps. Many desert-style courses share the same look and feel, with similar green complexes. There’s also a skill to understanding distance control in thin desert air. TPC Summerlin, Black Desert Resort, and Stadium Course stand out as top desert comps. The Summit Club and Shadow Creek are other interesting courses to reference.
I’m also looking at courses like TPC Twin Cities, PGA National, Southern Hills, and Silverado Resort as strong non-desert style comps that place a particular emphasis on elite ball striking.
Lastly, some of the recent British links courses like The Renaissance Club, St. Andrews, Royal Liverpool, and Royal St. George’s have shown crossover results. The firm and fast conditions and oversized greens reward a similar skillset of control off the tee and elite approach play that is needed at TPC Scottsdale.
Looking across each of those comp courses, the top 10 players in SG: TOT are Scottie Scheffler, Xander Schauffele, Sahith Theegala, Matt Fitzpatrick, Kurt Kitayama, Nick Taylor, Wyndham Clark, Sepp Straka, J.J. Spaun, and Sam Burns.
Key Stats To Consider For The 2026 WM Phoenix Open
- SG: APP / SG: BS
- SG: OTT
- Birdie or better gained
- Bogey avoidance
- Scrambling gained
- Prox: 150-200
- P4: 400-500
- P5: 550-600
- SG: P (L36, firm and fast greens)
- Course history and comp course history
The argument can be made that SG: OTT is less important with a mitigated distance advantage. I don’t necessarily agree, however. Elite OTT players thrive in both avoiding hazards and generating scoring opportunities with added distance. The top 10 in terms of SG: OTT entering this week are Chris Gotterup, Pierceson Coody, Jake Knapp, Marco Penge, Keith Mitchell, Michael Brennan, Scottie Scheffler, Si Woo Kim, Kevin Yu, and Kurt Kitayama.
SG: Approach will be even more crucial than usual. The top 10 players in SG: APP in this field are Scottie Scheffler, Si Woo Kim, Rico Hoey, Austin Smotherman, Viktor Hovland, Max Homa, Hideki Matsuyama, Akshay Bhatia, Mac Meissner, and Austin Eckroat.
Focusing on the most elite ball strikers in the field this week, 10 players rank inside the top 25 in terms of both SG: APP and SG: OTT: Scottie Scheffler, Si Woo Kim, Rico Hoey, Austin Smotherman, Kurt Kitayama, Rasmus Neergaard Petersen, Collin Morikawa, Nicolai Hojgaard, Patrick Rodgers, and Xander Schauffele.
Putting
This event is usually set up as a “Team No Putt” week. Greens roll flat and true, absent of the skilled greens reading that was necessary at recent Poa events. Players like Scheffler, Matsuyama, Kyle Stanley, and Kevin Stadler have won here despite ranking near last in SG: P leading in. This is not a week I’ll be looking to place much weight on putting.
Scrambling
With dry and firm desert conditions, there’s an added emphasis on scrambling. Greens won’t be as receptive as other recent courses we’ve seen. While I’m not emphasizing putting stats, scrambling is a combo stat that I’ll be using to work around that. Nine players rank top-50 in SG: OTT, SG: APP, and scrambling: Scottie Scheffler, Si Woo Kim, Mac Meissner, J.J. Spaun, Rasmus Neergaard Petersen, Chris Kirk, Pierceson Coody, Davis Thompson, and Chris Gotterup.
The ideal player for TPC Scottsdale should be elite in SG: ball striking (top 30), and above average in scrambling gained, comp course history, birdies or better gained, and bogey avoidance. Nine players in this week’s field fit that criteria: Scottie Scheffler, Si Woo Kim, Mac Homa, J.J. Spaun, Chris Kirk, Cameron Young, Matt McCarty, Pierceson Coody, and Davis Thompson.
Correlation And TPC Scottsdale
The correlation stats are fairly on par with the tour average. That tends to be a sign that favors the best overall players. Scrambling gained, SG: P, and SG: short game make the biggest jump compared to the tour average, each falling inside the top 11. In terms of stats to deprioritize, prox: 125-175 and prox: 200+ have proven to be the least correlated.
Six players rank above average in each of this week’s top-10 correlated stats with success at TPC Scottsdale: Scottie Scheffler, Max Homa, Ben Griffin, Matt McCarty, Chris Kirk, and Thorbjorn Olesen.
Player Spotlight: Si Woo Kim
The WM Phoenix Open is one of the select few weeks of the PGA Tour season where the stat model can only go so far in predicting how players are going to fare. TPC Scottsdale is an arena, and subjectively, I always look for players who are battle-tested in high-octane environments like Ryder Cups and Presidents Cups, or simply players who have proven they can deliver on the biggest stage, as prerequisites when filling out my outright card. While those characteristics are not exactly conducive to finding longshots, it’s that same methodology that could have led you to Nick Taylor at 170-1 odds in 2024.
In the case of Si Woo Kim, I can’t help but ride with the hot hand in an environment so fitting for him. Si Woo has been the heart and soul of the Presidents Cup team over the last decade, relishing the crowd atmosphere and consistently rising to the occasion. With a win this week, he would continue in the footsteps of Rickie Fowler, Webb Simpson, and Scottie Scheffler as players to win both The Players and the WM Phoenix Open.
As much as Si Woo is known to be an approach marksman who capitalizes on setups that reward accuracy over distance, he has always been an aggressive player who takes risks and isn’t afraid to attack tight pin locations. That’s been a successful formula for him at this event lately, stacking top-25 finishes in each of his last four appearances. And with five consecutive top-12 finishes leading into this week, I don’t see that trend stopping any time soon.
2026 WM Phoenix Open: DFS Player Pool
With all the course-fit profiles in mind, I’m leaning early toward the below player pool. Naturally, I’m looking their way in the 2026 WM Phoenix Open odds as well. I’ve broken the list down by actualized pricing/odds tier for DraftKings with odds and pricing released earlier this week.
Model Results & Breakdown
For my model this week, I’m prioritizing SG: APP, course history and comp course history, par-4 scoring, and SG: OTT followed by a more balanced mix of BoB gained, scrambling gained, good drives gained, SG: P, and SG: TOT (L24 rounds).
Model Favorites
As validation for any model being run this week, world No. 1 Scottie Scheffler remains on top. Unsurprisingly, he ranks No. 1 in SC: OTT, SG: APP, SG: T2G, and course history. Scheffler once again will be the top threat on a course that has historically rewarded the top ball-strikers and leveled the playing field for less-skilled putters.
After Scheffler, my model’s top 10 is rounded out by Si Woo Kim, Kurt Kitayama, Max Homa, Cameron Young, J.J. Spaun, Ben Griffin, Xander Schauffele, Matt McCarty, and Mac Meissner.
Initial WM Phoenix Open odds arrived early. I’ll wait until all sportsbooks release refreshed odds Monday, and will look to build my card around Si Woo Kim, Chris Gotterup, and Kurt Kitayama as Each Way bets or in the “Without Scottie Scheffler” market.
Thanks for reading, and good luck navigating 2026 WM Phoenix Open odds!
