UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi DFS Picks & Prop Market Predictions for Saturday, June 20, 2026

The UFC follows up last Sunday’s well-received UFC Freedom 250 event with a Fight Night card on Saturday, headlined by Manel Kape and Kyoji Horiguchi. Sportsbooks continue to expand their offerings as mixed martial arts grows in popularity. Saturday’s card takes place at the Meta Apex in Las Vegas, with prelims starting at 5 p.m. ET.

Sportsbooks now offer markets covering virtually every aspect of a UFC fight, from total rounds to fighter props like takedown differentials. Finding value in specific fighter props can be tricky, but reviewing data and fight history can help you make more informed decisions heading into fight night. Predicting a fighter’s method of victory (KO/TKO, submission, or DQ) can offer strong value, and parlaying it with a specific round can make it even more lucrative. For example, Allan Nascimento, who has submitted two of his last three opponents, is +900 to record back-to-back second-round submission victories on Saturday.

DraftKings is one of several platforms offering DFS contests for every UFC card, including Saturday’s Kape vs. Horiguchi Fight Night. You start with a $50,000 salary cap and build a lineup of fighters who score points based on their in-fight performance. Undefeated Brazilian André Lima enters as the card’s heaviest favorite (-650) and is also the priciest option at $9,700 of your salary cap.

Fighters earn points for strikes, significant strikes, control time, takedowns, reversals, sweeps, and knockdowns, and receive bonus points for finishes depending on when they occur. Kape, who has won by KO/TKO in three consecutive fights, is worth considering in your lineup given his finishing ability and slight favorite status (-165) over the 35-year-old Japanese fighter.

With that in mind, here are the best prop market picks UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi along with DFS plays for Saturday.

UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi Prop Market Picks

Shane Collins vs. Otari Tanzilovi – Fight to Not Go the Distance

Shane Collins makes his UFC debut as a featherweight at 26 years old, having gone undefeated through the first seven fights of his career at A1 Combat MMA. He faces fellow debutant Otari Tanzilovi, who arrives with a 10-1 record, his only loss coming on Dana White’s Contender Series. Tanzilovi has competed primarily in the Georgian Fighting Championship, finishing seven of his 10 wins there by KO/TKO.

Between them, the two fighters have finished 12 of their 18 combined bouts by knockout or submission. Expect an aggressive start from both men as they look to make an immediate impression in the UFC.

André Lima vs. Kevin Borjas – André Lima To Win By Decision

Lima enters as the card’s heaviest favorite, looking to pick up his 12th career win and remain undefeated. The Brazilian is fighting in his sixth UFC bout, having won three of his first five by decision. He faces Kevin Borjas, a Peruvian fighter who has been finished twice in the UFC. Borjas has shown durability and heart throughout his UFC career, proving difficult to finish even against superior opposition.

He has survived finish attempts from current Flyweight Champion Joshua Van and Sumudaerji, one of the division’s most prolific finishers with 14 stoppages in 19 career wins. Expect Lima to pile up significant strikes and control time en route to a unanimous decision victory.

Manel Kape vs. Kyoji Horiguchi – Manel Kape by KO, TKO, or DQ

We’re backing Kape in Saturday’s main event as he looks to extend his KO/TKO streak to four consecutive fights. The two have met once before, earlier in their careers, with Horiguchi submitting Kape in a result that remains one of his seven career losses.

Kape, three years younger than Horiguchi, is in the prime of his career and could be in line for a title shot with a win on Saturday. The world’s No. 2 flyweight contender has won seven of his last eight fights, five of them by knockout. Horiguchi has been stopped just twice in his career, but has been considerably less active than Kape, fighting only twice since the start of 2025.

UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi DFS Picks

Shane Collins headlines our DFS lineup, with the UFC debutant expected to make an immediate impression in his first promotional appearance. Expect an entertaining back-and-forth between two young fighters, with Collins edging Tanzilovi in overall output and potentially getting the finish. Collins has finished three of his last four fights in the first round, and another stoppage on Saturday would more than justify his $8,500 price tag.

Levan Chokheli is also making his UFC debut on Saturday, crossing over from Bellator. He faces Leon Shahbazyan, who made his promotional debut on Dana White’s Contender Series in 2019. Shahbazyan holds a 12-4 record with all four losses coming by knockout, and now faces a Georgian fighter who has knocked out 11 of his 17 opponents. Like Collins, 10 of Chokheli’s 11 knockouts have come in the first round, which bodes well for DFS points.

Veteran featherweight Vinícius Oliveira will look to bounce back from his first UFC loss, suffered in February of this year. The 30-year-old had won five of his first six fights in the promotion before being submitted by Mario Bautista. He now faces Andre Fili, who has been inconsistent in the latter stages of his career. The 35-year-old has not won consecutive fights since 2019 and has alternated between wins and losses over his last nine outings. Oliveira should have the opportunity to generate a healthy striking output and potentially find a finish against Fili.

Hyder Amil enters Saturday’s Fight Night as a slight underdog after dropping his last two fights. The 36-year-old had won his first four UFC bouts and entered last year undefeated before consecutive losses derailed his momentum. After more than seven months away, Amil returns to the octagon against Christian Rodriguez, who has also lost his last two fights. Expect Amil to bounce back with a strong performance and potentially upset the 28-year-old.

We’re backing Borjas as the card’s most affordable option at $6,500. As previously mentioned, Borjas has shown a warrior mentality despite losing four of his last five fights. While a win seems unlikely, Borjas should pick up valuable points at his price point through his striking output and possibly control time against the highly talented Lima. The value Borjas provides allows us to allocate more salary toward other top options on the card.

Our final selection is Navajo Stirling. The New Zealand-born fighter will look to improve his record to 10-0 in the co-main event against veteran Ion Cutelaba. Two of his first five UFC fights have ended by knockout, while the other three have gone to unanimous decision in Stirling’s favor. He enters as one of the card’s biggest favorites and should produce a dominant striking performance with a knockout finish against the 32-year-old well within reach.

Photo Credit: AP/Frank Franklin II