Chicago Cubs at Pittsburgh Pirates Matchup 5/28/26

31-26, 5th NL Central
at

CHC 7 @ PIT 2

Final

29-28, 2nd NL Central

CHC 7 @ PIT 2

Final

30-26, 2nd NL Central

CHC 7 @ PIT 2

Final

Pittsburgh Pirates Pirates Projected
Projected

29-27, 5th NL Central

Game Spread Team Totals Over/Under Moneyline Charts
Game Hitters Rating Pitchers Rating Open Current Open Current Open Current Open Current Line Moves
Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs Cubs 0 0 +1.5 (-149) +1.5 (-149) 2.5 3.5 7.5 runs 7.5 runs +145 +145 line-movement
Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates Pirates 0 0 -1.5 (+125) -1.5 (+125) 3.5 4.5 -173 -173

Odds Comparison

Vegas vs. Lineups.com Odds
Vegas Difference Vegas Difference
Moneyline +145 145 -173 173
Totals 3.5 3.5 4.5 4.5
Win Probability 40% 40% 63% 63%
Over/Under
Vegas Difference
Over/Under 7.5 7.5
Against the Spread(ATS) History
ATS Home Away
28-27 17-12 11-15
30-26 15-14 15-12
Over/Under History
Over/Under Home Away
11-5-2 6-3-1 5-2-1
11-9-0 6-5-0 5-4-0
Line Overall Home Away Overall Home Away
7 or less 3-2-0 3-2-0 0-0-0 4-1-0 2-0-0 2-1-0
8 or 8.5 4-2-1 1-0-0 3-2-1 5-6-0 4-3-0 1-3-0
9 or 9.5 1-0-1 0-0-1 1-0-0 1-2-0 0-2-0 1-0-0
10 or 10.5 2-1-0 1-1-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
11 and over 1-0-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 1-0-0

Bet Splits

Record Win % Cover Spread % Avg Point Totals
Away 12-15 44.4% 37 4.8
Underdog 6-6 50% 40 4.3
After Win 20-9 69% 48.3 5.2
Record Win % Cover Spread % Avg Point Totals
Home 15-14 51.7% 51.7 5.4
Favorite 15-14 51.7% 41.7 5.5
After Losses 12-7 63.2% 63.2 6.2

Chicago Cubs Last 6 Matchups

Game Opponent
Date Score Team ML Opp ML Over/Under Total Starting Pitcher OPS Avg Total Starting Pitcher OPS Avg
5/27/26 CHC 10 @ PIT 4 +104 -124 8.5 runs 4.0 runs Jameson Taillon (R) .021 .341 4.5 runs Bubba Chandler (R) .744 .219
5/26/26 CHC 1 @ PIT 12 +117 -140 8 runs 3.5 runs Jordan Wicks (L) .594 .229 4.5 runs Braxton Ashcraft (R) .034 .385
5/25/26 CHC 1 @ PIT 2 -125 +105 8.5 runs 4.5 runs Ben Brown (R) .538 .188 3.9 runs Carmen Mlodzinski (R) .669 .250
5/24/26 CHC 5 vs HOU 8 -170 +143 7 runs 4.2 runs Shota Imanaga (L) .730 .226 2.8 runs Peter Lambert (R) .900 .273
5/23/26 CHC 0 vs HOU 3 -147 +124 7 runs 4.0 runs Colin Rea (R) .311 .111 3.0 runs Kai-Wei Teng (R) .705 .194
5/22/26 CHC 2 vs HOU 4 -147 +124 7 runs 4.0 runs Jameson Taillon (R) .550 .125 3.0 runs Spencer Arrighetti (R) .658 .250

Pittsburgh Pirates Last 6 Matchups

Game Opponent
Date Score Team ML Opp ML Over/Under Total Starting Pitcher OPS Avg Total Starting Pitcher OPS Avg
5/27/26 PIT 4 vs CHC 10 -124 +104 8.5 runs 4.5 runs Bubba Chandler (R) .744 .219 4.0 runs Jameson Taillon (R) .021 .341
5/26/26 PIT 12 vs CHC 1 -140 +117 8 runs 4.5 runs Braxton Ashcraft (R) .034 .385 3.5 runs Jordan Wicks (L) .594 .229
5/25/26 PIT 2 vs CHC 1 +105 -125 8.5 runs 3.9 runs Carmen Mlodzinski (R) .669 .250 4.5 runs Ben Brown (R) .538 .188
5/24/26 PIT 4 @ TOR 1 +147 -177 7.5 runs 2.9 runs Mitch Keller (R) .766 .188 4.5 runs Dylan Cease (R) .542 .161
5/23/26 PIT 2 @ TOR 5 -147 +123 7.5 runs 4.3 runs Paul Skenes (R) .438 .156 3.2 runs Patrick Corbin (L) .020 .344
5/23/26 PIT 2 @ TOR 6 +139 -167 8 runs 3.2 runs Bubba Chandler (R) .500 .219 4.8 runs Kevin Gausman (R) .606 .161