New England Patriots at Denver Broncos Matchup 1/25/26

14-3, 0 AFC East
at

NE 10 @ DEN 7

Empower Field at Mile High, Final

Updated: 4:37 am GMT

14-3, 0 AFC West

NE 10 @ DEN 7

Empower Field at Mile High, Final

Updated:

Updated: 4:37 am GMT
Updated: 4:37 am GMT, 2/15

Matchup

Game Spread Over/Under Moneyline Charts
Teams Team Rating Defense Rating Offense Rating Open Closing Open Closing Open Closing Line Moves
New England Patriots New England Patriots Patriots
74
75
74
-5.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-115)
40.5 pts
43 pts
-265
-205
line-movement
Denver Broncos Denver Broncos Broncos
87
92
82
+5.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-105)
+215
+175
40.5 pts
43 pts

Odds Comparison

Vegas Odds
Moneyline -205 +175
Spread -3.5 +3.5
Totals 23.2 19.8
Win Probability 64% 36%
Over/Under
Over/Under 43
Over/Under History
Over/Under Home Away Grass Turf
11-6-0 7-3-0 4-3-0 3-0-0 8-6-0
8-9-0 5-4-0 3-5-0 7-6-0 1-3-0
Line Overall Home Away Overall Home Away
36 or less 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
36.1 to 39 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-2-0 0-1-0 0-1-0
39.1 to 43 5-1-0 2-1-0 3-0-0 5-3-0 2-2-0 3-1-0
43.1 to 46 2-3-0 2-2-0 0-1-0 0-5-0 0-2-0 0-3-0
46.1 and over 4-2-0 2-0-0 2-2-0 2-0-0 2-0-0 0-0-0
Against the Spread(ATS) History
ATS Home Away Grass Turf
12-5-0 5-4-0 7-1-0 4-0-0 8-5-0
7-10-0 5-4-0 2-6-0 6-7-0 1-3-0
Line Overall Home Away Overall Home Away
-10.1 or More 3-0-0 2-0-0 1-0-0 1-1-0 1-0-0 0-1-0
-7 to -10 2-1-0 2-0-0 0-1-0 1-5-0 1-3-0 0-2-0
-3.1 to -6.9 3-1-0 1-1-0 2-0-0 1-2-0 1-1-0 0-1-0
-0.1 to -3 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-0-0 0-1-0 0-0-0 0-1-0
0 to 3 2-2-0 0-2-0 2-0-0 2-1-0 1-0-0 1-1-0
+3.1 to +6.9 1-0-0 0-0-0 1-0-0 2-0-0 1-0-0 1-0-0
+7 to +10 1-0-0 0-0-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
10.1 or more 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0

Bet Splits

Record Win % Cover Spread % Avg Point Totals
Away 8-0 100% 87.5 29.5
Favorite 12-1 92.3% 76.9 29
After Win 13-2 86.7% 57.9 22
Record Win % Cover Spread % Avg Point Totals
Home 9-1 90% 60 26.3
Underdog 4-1 80% 80 23
After Win 12-2 85.7% 38.9 19.2

Scoring

Offense Scoring (Home)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
28.2 7.7 10.1 5.8 4.7
25.6 4.4 7.2 4.3 9.6
Defense Scoring Allowed (Away)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
18.9 3.5 6.4 3.9 4.4
19.5 4.1 6.1 3.2 6
Offense Scoring (Away)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
29.5 6.6 10.4 6.5 6
21.4 4.1 6 4.8 5.6
Defense Scoring Allowed (Home)
Total 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter
18.2 4.6 4.2 3.4 6
17.8 4 5.3 4.9 3.6

Last 5 Meetings

Game
Date Score Spread Over/Under Total Yds Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs Total Yds Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs
12/25/23 NE 26 @ DEN 23 DEN -7 37.5 points 289 59 230 0 2 276 83 193 1 2
10/18/20 DEN 18 @ NE 12 NE -7 44.5 points 288 117 171 1 0 299 135 164 0 0
11/13/17 NE 41 @ DEN 16 NE -7 45 points 396 99 297 1 3 339 118 221 0 1
11/29/15 NE 24 @ DEN 30 NE -2 43 points 301 39 262 0 3 433 179 254 3 1
11/2/14 DEN 21 @ NE 43 NE -3 53 points 398 66 332 0 4 472 43 429 1 2

New England Patriots Last 5 Matchups

Game Opponent
Date Score Spread Over/Under Total Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs Total Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs
1/18/26 NE 28 vs HOU 16 NE -3.5 41 points 248 105 143 0 3 241 48 193 0 1
1/12/26 NE 16 vs LAC 3 NE -3.5 45.5 points 381 146 235 0 1 207 87 120 0 0
1/4/26 NE 38 vs MIA 10 NE -14.0 44.5 points 457 243 214 4 1 180 63 117 0 1
12/28/25 NE 42 @ NYJ 10 NE -13.0 42 points 440 155 285 1 5 307 164 143 1 0
12/22/25 NE 28 @ BAL 24 BAL -3.5 48.5 points 453 79 374 1 2 330 171 159 3 0

Denver Broncos Last 5 Matchups

Game Opponent
Date Score Spread Over/Under Total Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs Total Rush Yds Pass Yds Rush TDs Pass TDs
1/17/26 DEN 33 vs BUF 30 DEN -1.5 45.5 points 349 70 279 0 3 449 183 266 0 3
1/4/26 DEN 19 vs LAC 3 DEN -14.5 38 points 240 116 124 0 0 217 113 104 0 0
12/26/25 DEN 20 @ KC 13 DEN -13.5 38 points 303 128 175 1 1 139 82 57 0 1
12/21/25 DEN 20 vs JAX 34 DEN -3.5 46.5 points 445 101 344 1 1 346 81 265 1 3
12/14/25 DEN 34 vs GB 26 GB -1.5 42.5 points 391 89 302 1 4 362 115 247 1 1