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Saturday night of NFL Wild Card Weekend wraps up with one of the longest-running rivalries in sports as the Chicago Bears host the Green Bay Packers.
The Bears were one of the biggest surprises of the season. New head coach Ben Johnson led Chicago to 11 wins and the No. 2 seed in the NFC after the team missed the postseason entirely last year. The Packers entered the season with high expectations and played well early, but a wave of injuries late in the year slowed them down.
Fortunately for Green Bay, many of those injured players are expected to be available for this matchup, though it remains to be seen how effective they will be in their returns. This should be a competitive game with enough scoring to create opportunities in the anytime touchdown market. Let’s find some winners.
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NFL Wild Card Touchdown Picks: Packers vs. Bears (Saturday, January 10)
The total is set at , with the total touchdowns line at 5.5, shaded to the under. These numbers are close to league averages for these markets.
Divisional games often trend lower scoring, but both defenses finished in the bottom 10 in the NFL this season. I expect at least four touchdowns with upside beyond that. Below are the current odds, followed by my best anytime touchdown bets.
Packers at Bears: Anytime Touchdown Odds
Packers at Bears: First Touchdown Odds
NFL Anytime Touchdown Pick: D.J. Moore
While Green Bay has been roughly league average in terms of targets and receptions allowed to opposing wide receivers, the Packers have surrendered the fifth-most receiving touchdowns to the position this season.
Chicago spreads the ball around, but one player consistently draws attention near the goal line. D.J. Moore leads the Bears in red zone targets and end zone targets. He has developed strong chemistry with Caleb Williams and is the primary option when Chicago needs to finish drives.
At this price, D.J. Moore is an excellent anytime touchdown scorer bet.
NFL Anytime Touchdown Pick: Romeo Doubs
Like Green Bay, the Bears are near league average at limiting wide receiver targets and receptions, but they have allowed the second-most receiving touchdowns to the position. Opponents have also attacked Chicago vertically, as the Bears have faced the fourth-highest average depth of target in the NFL.
Romeo Doubs ranks second on the Packers in average depth of target and leads the team in both red zone targets and end zone targets. Despite that usage, he is priced behind Christian Watson in the anytime touchdown market.
I would flip those prices and gladly take Romeo Doubs to score a touchdown in this matchup.
Good luck with your NFL touchdown picks and the rest of your Wild Card Weekend bets.
