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The NFL Divisional Round of the playoffs wraps up with the Chicago Bears hosting the Los Angeles Rams. Both teams exceeded expectations this season, and the winner of this matchup will be in prime position to represent the NFC in the Super Bowl. Despite finishing with a worse regular-season record than the Rams, the Bears earned the No. 2 seed in the NFC, which is why they are hosting this game.
The Rams have been among the Super Bowl favorites for much of the season and currently sit near the top of the odds to win the big game. That said, the Bears are comfortable in the underdog role and have a legitimate chance to pull off a win. It should be an exciting way to close out the weekend. Most importantly, there will be touchdowns, which means opportunities to cash in on anytime touchdown scorer bets. Let’s break down the odds, identify value, and find some winners.
NFL Divisional Round Touchdown Picks: Rams vs Bears (Sunday, January 18)
The total is set at 48.5, while the line for total touchdowns sits at 5.5. Both numbers are higher than we typically see in these markets and are the highest of the Divisional Round weekend. That is not surprising given the offensive talent on both sides. The Rams boast one of the league’s most explosive offenses, while the Bears rank among the NFL’s more productive scoring teams.
Both teams feature offensive-minded head coaches, capable quarterbacks, and playmakers at the skill positions. Even cold temperatures and potential wind should not be enough to keep these offenses from finding the end zone. Let’s look to capitalize by betting on who will score those touchdowns. Below is the full odds board, followed by my best bets.
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Rams at Bears: Anytime Touchdown (ATD) Odds
Rams at Bears: First Touchdown Odds
NFL Anytime Touchdown Picks: Caleb Williams
Last week, the Chicago Bears lost their left tackle, Ozzy Trapilo, for the remainder of the season. Losing a key offensive lineman is never ideal, especially when facing a strong run defense and pass rush like the Los Angeles Rams. I expect Caleb Williams to face more pressure than usual and to see that pressure arrive more quickly.
That should force Williams to rely on his mobility to extend plays, and it also creates opportunities for him to run the ball himself. He is an elite athlete and has already rushed for three touchdowns this season. With so much on the line, Williams may be more willing to use his legs near the goal line. At these odds, Caleb Williams as an anytime touchdown scorer is well worth a wager.
NFL Anytime Touchdown Picks: Blake Corum
The Chicago Bears have struggled against the run for much of the season, ranking among the weaker run defenses in the NFL. The Los Angeles Rams lean heavily on the ground game as a foundation of their offense. Early in the season, Kyren Williams handled the majority of the workload, but that changed beginning in Week 12.
Since then, Blake Corum has accounted for more than 42% of the Rams’ rushing attempts. Sportsbooks have been slow to adjust Corum’s anytime touchdown odds to reflect his increased role. His price is nearly double that of Williams this week, making Blake Corum an appealing value as an anytime touchdown scorer.
Good luck with your NFL touchdown picks and the rest of your bets for the NFL Playoffs.
