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The streets of Seattle have barely been cleared of Seahawks victory parade confetti, but DraftKings Sportsbook has already released its initial set of projected 2026 win totals for all 32 NFL teams. First-look futures always present an intriguing opportunity for bettors to lock down wagers they have a high degree of confidence in, and in the process, potentially gain an edge, especially if a team’s roster changes significantly via free agency and the draft as the offseason unfolds.With that in mind, let’s examine five teams whose initial win total prop is worth considering from either an Over or Under perspective.
2026 NFL Win Total Best Bets
Baltimore Ravens Under 10.5 Wins (+120)
The Ravens’ rare non-playoff season in 2025 was bound to spur some changes, but it was still surprising to see John Harbaugh jettisoned after 18 seasons in Baltimore. Jesse Minter, widely thought of as one of the league’s ascendant offensive minds, is now at the helm, and he could well prove to be an excellent fit while filling some very big shoes.Nevertheless, coaching staff overhauls are the quintessential dart throw, Mike Vrabel’s success in New England this past season notwithstanding. Even in cases where a coaching change takes, an acclimation period is very much within the realm of possibility, and the bottom line is the Ravens were a sub-.500 team (8-9) a year ago operating in schemes they were well-versed in. Derrick Henry is still an elite back, but it’s fair to question Lamar Jackson’s ability to consistently deliver against upper-echelon defenses at this point in his career. The receiver corps is woefully inadequate outside of Zay Flowers, and the defense underperformed significantly as a whole last season. Ultimately, there’s plenty to fix and adapt to for the current roster, making even a 10-win season a potential uphill battle in a talented conference.
Chicago Bears Over 9.5 Wins (+100)
In contrast to the Ravens, the Bears may have overachieved in their first season under Ben Johnson in 2025. Chicago finished 11-6 despite a two-game losing streak to finish out the campaign, but it was clear Caleb Williams and his offensive teammates were increasingly comfortable in their head coach’s highly effective scheme by season’s end. Williams now has a full offseason to really dial into things, and given Johnson’s coaching style, it’s safe to assume he’ll ensure the 2024 first overall pick maximizes that opportunity. Rome Odunze and Colston Loveland will be back to full health beginning with OTAs, the defense was already one of the league’s most opportunistic a year ago, and there’s still plenty Chicago could do to fortify both sides of the ball in coming months.The Bears do have some salary cap issues that will likely make them rely much more on the draft than free agency for any upgrades, but given Johnson’s acumen and the likelihood the offense takes another step forward next season, a second straight double-digit campaign is worth considering at even money.
Denver Broncos Over 9.5 Wins (-110)
Another 2025 postseason participant that should have a very good chance at another successful season in 2026 is the Broncos, who ran away with the AFC West thanks to a 14-win campaign a year ago. An argument could certainly be made it would have been Sean Payton’s squad, and not the Patriots, representing the AFC in the Super Bowl had Bo Nix not suffered a freak ankle injury in overtime during the divisional-round win against the Bills. The Broncos therefore went into the offseason wondering what might have been, but they’ll have a chance to get the frustration out of their system in just a few short months. Nix is expected to be back to full health by OTAs to begin that process, and Denver is projected to be in fairly solid salary cap shape to upgrade the receiver and tight-end rooms for the third-year signal-caller through free agency if that’s the route they opt to take. Then, promising running back RJ Harvey could make a big Year 2 leap, while an already elite defense could be upgraded even further through the draft and/or free agency. With Nix, Harvey and potential-laden wideout Pat Bryant having another offseason to work on their craft and likely to be joined by some new skill-position weapons, the Broncos could have a fairly solid path to another double-digit win season even while dealing with the Chiefs and Chargers in their division.
Jacksonville Jaguars Over 9.5 Wins (+100)
Much like Williams and the Bears’ offense did under Johnson in the NFC, another first overall pick, Trevor Lawrence, and his teammates seemed to really click with Liam Coen’s schemes down the stretch in 2025. That helped Jacksonville to a season-ending eight-game winning streak that left the Jags with a 13-4 record and secured them an AFC South crown. The Jaguars’ defense did more than its fair share as well in a season that ultimately ended with a razor-thin wild-card loss to the Bills, but one area where it fell short frequently was the pass rush. Jacksonville’s 32 regular-season sacks were fifth fewest in the league, making it an offseason priority. Meanwhile, on the other side of the ball, Jacksonville appears to have found itself a keeper in trade acquisition Jakobi Meyers, while Parker Washington looks like a star on the rise and Brian Thomas has the talent to bounce back from an uneven second season.As with the case of the Bears, another offseason absorbing one of the most effective offensive systems in the league should do wonders for Jacksonville’s unit as a whole, making Lawrence and company a strong candidate for another double-digit win campaign when factoring in what might be an improved defense.
Tennessee Titans Under 6.5 Wins (+115)
This was one of the most eye-catching totals on the initial leaderboard, due to a number of factors. To begin with, there’s no prettying up Tennessee’s 3-14 mark from a year ago, even as there are plenty of reasons for it. Brian Callahan’s ineffectiveness as head coach might be first and foremost, and he was unsurprisingly shown the door after six games. There was also the matter of a rookie quarterback, Cam Ward, being thrown into the fire from Day 1, and a defense that started the season off on particularly shaky footing. The hiring of Robert Saleh as head coach will presumably build on the defense’s more positive second-half trend last season, and Brian Daboll, who ultimately flamed out as a head coach in New York but worked wonders with Josh Allen in Buffalo, has been brought in to develop Ward. While that decision could certainly pay off nicely over time, Ward begins his work under Daboll still rehabbing the shoulder injury that knocked him out of the regular-season finale. Some general growing pains should be expected for him and the offense as a whole as they essentially start fresh.There’s no questioning there’s some promising young talent on either side of the ball for the Titans, and Tennessee does have the most projected salary cap room in the league at this early stage of the offseason. However, the combination of Saleh’s track record as a head coach and the fact this was a three-win team with plenty of holes last season makes it feasible the most they do in a best-case scenario is double up their victory tally from 2025, which would be quite the accomplishment in a tough division and conference.
