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Best Bet: LVA +1.5 (-115) at DraftKings
Best Bet: Over 183.5 (-110)
Score Prediction: Aces 93, Fever 91
The Pick: Aces 93, Fever 91
We’ll take Vegas and the Over based on head-to-head trends along with playoff data for the Aces.
Game Betting Analysis
It’s hard to go against the Aces here, winning Game 1 in convincing fashion for their eighth straight victory. Vegas has also covered the spread in seven straight games when facing Indiana as an underdog, and five of eight meetings overall. The underdog has also covered four of six meetings – so all the data points in the direction of the Aces here. In terms of the total, the Over has hit in four of six meetings which includes Game 1 – the seventh straight Over Vegas has hit in the playoffs.
WNBA Game Trends & Betting Data
Aces vs. Fever Odds (Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under)
Deciding Factor: A’ja Wilson’s Efficiency vs. Indiana’s Doubling Dilemma
Las Vegas won Game 1, 102-85, because A’ja Wilson could not be guarded one-on-one — 38 points on 15-of-19 shooting (79%), her 11th career 30-point playoff game, an all-time WNBA record — and the Aces shot 59% as a team while blowing the game open with a 13-2 run that turned a 36-36 tie into a 62-47 halftime lead. That leaves Stephanie White with the same dilemma that broke Game 1: leave Wilson single-covered and live with historic efficiency in the post, or send a second defender and open the floor for Jackie Young (21 points, 10 assists) and Chelsea Gray (14 points, 8 assists) to pick apart the weak side.
Indiana got a genuine positive in Aliyah Boston’s return from injury (18 points, 8 rebounds, 4 assists in 25 minutes), but Caitlin Clark struggled to control the game (15 points, 10 assists, 6 turnovers on 6-of-17 shooting) and Kelsey Mitchell was nearly invisible, scoring just 12 on a night she’s averaged 24.7 all season. Indiana has to win Tuesday to force a Game 3, and that likely means finding a hybrid look — physical, early digs at Wilson without fully committing a second defender — while getting Mitchell back to form so the Aces’ perimeter shooters aren’t the release valve every time Wilson draws help.
Game Information
- Date: Tuesday, September 29, 2026
- Kickoff: 6:30 p.m. ET
- Network: APVO
- Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse – 189.6 ppg; 13-9 O/U
- Series Score: Aces 1-0
Key Players
Las Vegas Aces
- A’ja Wilson — Last Game: 38 points, 16 rebounds
- Jackie Young — Last Game: 21 points, 10 assists
Indiana Fever
- Caitlin Clark— Last Game: 15 points, 10 assists
- Kelsey Mitchell — Last Game: 12 points
Photo Credit: REUTERS
