AFL Week 21 Betting Trends, Player Props, Game Odds & Data

AFL Betting Trends, Player Props, Game Odds & Data for Week 21

Cats vs. Magpies Game Trends

Venue Stats: Melbourne Cricket Grounds – 171.3 ppg; 14-24 O/U

  • Collingwood is on a 6-match winning streak but the underdog despite this, given a 46.5% chance to beat Geelong.
  • Collingwood has covered the spread in 6 straight matches when facing a team on a winning streak and faces Geelong, given a 53.5% chance to cover +4.5-points.
  • Geelong Over 4 straight matches at night.

 

Western Bulldogs vs. Dockers Game Trends

Venue Stats: Optus Stadium – 166.2 ppg; 9-10 O/U

  • Fremantle has won 10 straight matches inside Optus Stadium and is the favorite, given a 90.9% chance to beat Western Bulldogs.
  • Fremantle has dropped the spread in 9 of 10 matches when coming off a 60-plus point win and faces Western Bulldogs, given a 51.5% chance to cover -38.5-points.
  • The Over has hit in 7 straight meetings.

 

Swans vs. Saints Game Trends

Venue Stats: Marvel Stadium – 175.4 ppg; 14-22 O/U

  • Sydney has won 21 of 22 matches when playing as the favorite. Sydney is the favorite against St. Kilda with a 69.2% chance to win.
  • St. Kilda has covered the spread in 8 of 9 matches when facing Sydney and is given a 53.5% chance to cover +14.5-points.
  • St. Kilda Under 5 straight matches inside Marvel Stadium.

 

Kangaroos vs. Hawks Game Trends

Venue Stats: University of Tasmania Stadium – 177 ppg; 1-2 O/U

  • North Melbourne has lost 27 straight road matches with rest disadvantage and is the underdog, given a 16.7% chance to beat Hawthorn.
  • Hawthorn has covered the spread in 7 straight matches when facing North Melbourne and is given a 53.5% chance to cover -39.5-points.
  • North Melbourne Under 6 of 7 matches.

 

Giants vs. Power Game Trends

Venue Stats: Adelaide Oval – 165.9 ppg; 10-13 O/U

  • GWS has lost 4 straight matches when facing a team ranked lower on the ladder and is the underdog, given a 47.6% chance to beat Port Adelaide.
  • Port Adelaide has seen the home team cover the spread in 8 straight matches. Port Adelaide is home with a 53.5% chance to cover -6.5-points.
  • FWS Under 8 of 9 matches when playing inside Adelaide Oval at night.

 

Blues vs. Lions Game Trends

Venue Stats: Marvel Stadium – TBD

  • Brisbane is on a 7-match winning streak and the favorite, given an 81% chance to beat Carlton.
  • Brisbane has covered the spread in 8 straight matches when playing inside Marvel Stadium with rest disadvantage and faces Carlton, given a 53.5% chance to cover -25.5-points.
  • Carlton Under 7 straight matches at night.

 

Eagles vs. Tigers Game Trends

Venue Stats: Melbourne Cricket Grounds – TBD

  • Richmond has lost 8 straight matches and is the underdog against West Coast, given a 49.5% chance to win.
  • West Coast has covered the spread in 9 of 11 matches and faces Richmond, given a 53.5% chance to cover -2.5-points.
  • Richmond Under 18 of 22 matches inside Melbourne Cricket Grounds.

 

Demons vs. Suns Game Trends

Venue Stats: People First Stadium – 188.8 ppg; 5-3 O/U

  • Gold Coast is on a 9-match losing streak and the underdog against Melbourne, given a 44.4% chance to win.
  • Gold Coast has dropped the spread in 10 straight matches and faces Melbourne, given a 51.5% chance to cover +8.5-points.
  • The Over has hit in 6 straight meetings.

 

Crows vs. Bombers Game Trends

Venue Stats: Marvel Stadium – TBD

  • Adelaide has won 6 straight matches when playing in Melbourne and is the favorite against Essendon, given a 94.7% chance to win.
  • Adelaide has failed to cover the spread in 13 of 15 matches as a favorite. Adelaide is the favorite against Essendon given a 51.5% chance to cover -45.5-points.
  • Adelaide Over 6 straight matches inside Marvel Stadium

 

AFL Goal Scoring Trends

  • Charlie Curnow 3+ 11 straight matches inside Marvel Stadium as favorite
  • Jack Gunston 3+ 10 of 11 home matches
  • Nick Watson 3+ 5 straight matches
  • Mitch Georgiades 3+ 3 of 4 home matches vs team on losing streak
  • Kai Lohman 3+ 4 straight matches
  • Eric Hipwood 3+ 4 of 5 matches inside Marvel Stadium
  • Charlie Cameron 3+ 3 straight road matches vs Carlton
  • Ben King 3+ 3 straight matches vs MEL
  • Riley Thilthorpe 3+ 3 straight matches inside Marvel Stadium
  • Tim Membrey 2+ 6 straight matches
  • Oliver Henry 2+ 5 straight matches inside MCG
  • Daniel McShay 2+ 4 straight matches
  • Shai Bolton 2+ 5 straight home games vs Western Bulldogs
  • Josh Treacy 2+ 3 straight matches vs Western Bulldogs
  • Aaron Naughton 2+ 3 straight matches vs FRE at night
  • Cooper Sharman 2+ 4 of 5 home matches as underdog
  • Jack Darling 2+ 4 of 5 matches
  • Aaron Cadman 2+ 4 straight matches at night
  • Todd Marshall 2+ 3 straight home matches vs GWS
  • Zac Bailey 2+ 7 of 8 matches inside Marvel Stadium
  • Tom Lynch 2+ 7 straight home matches vs WC
  • Jake Waterman 2+ 4 of 5 matches vs team ranked lower
  • Seth Campbell 2+ 3 straight matches vs WC
  • Harrison Petty 2+ 4 straight matches
  • Kysaiah Pickett 2+ 4 of 5 road matches vs GC
  • Oliver Dempsey 1+ 9 of 10 road matches inside MCG
  • Angus Anderson 1+ 5 straight matches
  • Shaun Mannagh 1+ 4 straight matches inside MCG at night
  • Patrick Lipinski 1+ 4 of 5 matches
  • Angus Anderson 1+ 5 straight matches inside MCG
  • Arthur Jones 1+ 9 straight matches
  • Marcus Bontempelli 1+ 4 straight matches vs team on winning streak
  • Michael Frederick 1+ 7 straight matches vs Western Bulldogs
  • Rhylee West 1+ 7 straight matches at night
  • Isaiah Dudley 1+ 6 straight matches on Friday
  • Ed Richards 1+ 3 straight matches
  • Chad Warner 1+ 8 straight matches as favorite
  • Isaac Heeney 1+ 13 of 14 road matches
  • Hayden McLean 1+ 6 straight matches in Victoria
  • Jake Lloyd 1+ 5 straight road matches as favorite
  • Tom De Koning 1+ 4 straight home matches
  • Errol Gulden 1+ 11 of 13 matches inside Marvel Stadium
  • Max Hall 1+ 5 of 6 matches as underdog
  • Jack Ginnivan 1+ 5 straight matches vs NM
  • Connor Macdonald 1+ 5 straight matches vs MEL
  • Dylan Moore 1+ 5 straight home matches vs NM
  • Will Day 1+ 5 straight interstate matches
  • Charlie Spargo 1+ 5 of 6 matches vs team on winning streak
  • Callum Brown 1+ 5 straight matches
  • Harry Rowston 1+ 4 straight interstate matches
  • Dante Visentini 1+ 3 straight matches
  • Cam Rayner 1+ 11 straight matches in Victoria
  • Ben Ainsworth 1+ 7 straight matches
  • Conor McKenna 1+ 4 of 5 interstate matches
  • Will Hayward 1+ 6 straight matches vs Brisbane
  • Patrick Cripps 1+ 7 of 8 home matches inside Marvel Stadium
  • Sam Lalor 1+ 7 straight matches inside MCG
  • Bailey Williams 1+ 5 of 6 matches vs RIC
  • Elliott Yeo 1+ 4 of 5 matches vs team ranked lower
  • Christian Petracca 1+ 13 straight home matches
  • Matthew Jefferson 1+ 6 straight matches vs team on losing streak
  • Leo Lombard 1+ 3 straight home matches
  • Izak Rankine 1+ 15 straight matches in Victoria
  • Zach Merrett 1+ 4 straight matches vs ADE
  • ISaac Cumming 1+ 4 of 5 matches in Victoria
  • Hussien El Achkar 1+ 5 of 6 matches in Victoria

AFL Disposal Trends

  • Nick Daicos 35+ 4 straight matches inside MCG
  • Bradley Hill 34+ 4 straight matches inside Marvel Stadium
  • Caleb Serong 33+ 4 straight home matches vs Western Bulldogs
  • Lachie Whitfield 33+ 3 straight matches inside Adelaide Oval
  • Bailey Smith 31+ 7 straight matches on Thursday
  • Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera 31+ 7 straight matches inside Marvel Stadium
  • Marcus Bontempelli 30+ 3 straight matches vs FRE
  • Clayton Oliver 30+ 6 straight matches at night
  • Will Ashcroft 30+ 6 straight matches
  • Sam Walsh 30+ 4 straight home matches
  • Patrick Cripps 30+ 4 straight matches vs team on winning streak
  • John Noble 30+ 6 of 7 home matches
  • Zach Merrett 30+ 4 straight home matches vs ADE
  • Josh Dunkley 28+ 4 straight road matches vs CAR
  • Kysaiah Pickett 28+ 3 straight road matches vs team on losing streak
  • Hugo Garcia 27+ 3 straight home matches
  • Dayne Zorko 27+ 9 of 10 matches in Victoria
  • Tanner Bruhn 26+ 3 straight matches vs team ranked higher
  • Murphy Reid 26+ 5 straight home matches
  • Callum Mills 26+ 3 straight interstate matches
  • Luke Davies-Uniacke 26+ 11 straight matches in Tasmania
  • Tom McCarthy 26+ 4 of 5 matches vs team on losing streak
  • Matt Rowell 26+ 4 straight matches
  • Tom Sparrow 26+ 3 straight road matches
  • Jordan De Goey 25+ 4 straight home matches
  • Josh Daicos 25+ 5 of 6 matches vs GEE
  • Andrew Brayshaw 25+ 5 straight home matches
  • Ed Richards 25+ 4 straight matches vs team ranked higher
  • Isaac Heeney 25+ 8 straight matches
  • Jai Newcombe 25+ 8 of 9 interstate matches
  • Connor Macdonald 25+ 4 of 5 matches
  • Caleb Daniel 25+ 5 of 6 road matches vs HAW
  • Jy Simpkin 25+ 3 straight matches
  • Lachie Ash 25+ 19 of 20 road matches
  • Darcy Wilmot 25+ 6 of 7 road matches
  • Jagga Smith 25+ 6 of 7 matches as underdog
  • Tim Taranto 25+ 8 of 9 home matches vs team on losing streak
  • Jayden Short 25+ 4 of 5 matches vs team on losing streak inside MCG
  • Dion Prestia 25+ 3 of 4 home matches
  • Noah Anderson 25+ 4 straight home matches vs MEL
  • Jake Bowey 25+ 3 straight matches
  • Archie Roberts 25+ 6 straight matches inside Marvel Stadium
  • Andrew McGrath 25+ 4 of 5 matches vs ADE inside Marvel Stadium
  • Bodhi Uwland 23+ 9 straight home matches
  • Jake Lloyd 22+ 3 straight matches in Victoria
  • James Sicily 22+ 9 of 10 home matches vs team on losing streak
  • Connor Idun 22+ 4 straight matches
  • Tom Liberatore 21+ 13 straight interstate matches
  • Luke Ryan 21+ 11 straight home matches vs team on winning streak
  • Callum Wilkie 21+ 8 straight home matches
  • Trent Rivers 21+ 7 straight road matches vs team on losing streak
  • Will Setterfield 21+ 6 of 7 home matches inside Marvel Stadium
  • Jake Soligo 21+ 4 of 5 matches inside Marvel Stadium
  • Jack Crisp 20+ 9 straight matches inside MCG on Thursday night
  • Scott Pendlebury 20+ 24 of 25 matches on Thursday
  • Ryley Sanders 20+ 11 straight matches as underdog
  • Jordan Clark 20+ 7 straight matches vs Western Bulldogs
  • Darcy Wilson 20+ 8 straight matches
  • Will Day 20+ 10 straight matches inside University of Tasmania Stadium
  • Jase Burgoyne 20+ 10 of 11 matches
  • Zac Bailey 20+ 8 straight matches
  • Blake Acres 20+ 7 of 8 matches
  • Ryan Maric 20+ 8 of 9 matches in Victoria
  • Liam Duggan 20+ 4 of 5 matches inside MCG
  • Max Gawn 20+ 5 straight road matches vs team on losing streak
  • Ed Langdon 20+ 5 straight matches vs team on losing streak
  • Josh Worrell 20+ 11 straight matches as favorite
  • Jacob Farrow 20+ 5 straight matches in Victoria
  • Isaac Cumming 20+ 5 of 6 matches vs ESS

 

Photo Credit: REUTERS

Post
Thom Cunningham is the Lineups.com News Editor and has been involved with sports media for almost two decades at Spectrum, VegasInsider.com, Oddschecker, VSiN and much more as a content producer - focused on the betting and gaming space over the last decade tracking insights, data analytics and covering various markets from the NFL to the Oscars. 

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