Davante Adams Fantasy Football Outlook & Value 2019

Remember when everyone bashed Davante Adams because his catch rates were so poor? Yeah, well he is over 60% the last three seasons and in that span has 35 receiving touchdowns. This also comes at the expensive of the Packers offense being merely average in the last few seasons. Adams is well in the mix for WR1 potential this season, and his durability is also something to mention. He should be one of the first wideouts off the board heading into the season.

2018 Fantasy Recap

Tier FPTS 2018 Rating GP SNPS/G TGT REC TGT/G YDS 100+ YDS YDS/REC TD Yahoo PTS/G
1 218.6 94 15 63.6 169 111 11.3 1,386 5 12.5 13 18.3

Davante Adams was WR5 in scoring last season, and I am expecting a higher finish this year. He was tied for second in targets, and had over 110 receptions. Adams was on par with Julio Jones and Antonio Brown in scoring, and was second to Brown in receiving touchdowns. Adams has been one of the more consistent fantasy wideouts over the last few seasons. 2018 was the first year where Adams was over 1,000 yards and also over 80 receptions. Averaging 92.4 receiving yards and 8.2 yards per target were both career highs. Adams was the clear go-to option for Aaron Rodgers, and will be once again.

2019 Fantasy Outlook

Position Ranking ADP Auction Value Bye Week Receptions Receiving Yards Touchdowns
WR3 1.07 $31 11 111.2 1,407.0 12.0

You can make a real case for Adams being the WR1 on the year, but he sits as WR3 behind Julio Jones and DeAndre Hopkins. Banking 150+ targets is a safe bet here, and another 1,000 yard season is likely in the works. Hovering around the same touchdown production is reasonable, especially given the lack of bigger wideout options in Green Bay. When looking at how he can improve his WR5 score from last season, you have to think Antonio Brown has some touchdown regression coming, and Tyreek Hill is also a major question mark. Adams should jump into the WR3+ category, and will be drafted as one. The touchdown production is amazing, and his red zone presence is one of the best in the league.

While Adams will draw top cornerback coverage, and in the division that means Darius Slay and Xavier Rhodes most of the time, Adams still holds the advantage. He has scored three touchdowns on Rhodes over the last two seasons. The combination of him and Aaron Rodgers is very Jordy Nelson like. Flushed from the pocket, eyes go towards Adams. There is a definite reason why Adams was the top dog in targets per game. Anything less than WR5 barring injury would be a complete surprise and likely letdown in the Packers offense overall.

Draft & Auction Value

There is no doubt about Davante Adams being a top ten pick this season, and even with a slight jump in ADP, he is fully worth it. The auction price is up there, but once again deservingly so. You should feel comfortable with Adams, given he has one of the safest floors and his WR1 upside is worthy of an early draft pick. Adams will be one of my early WR targets in most drafts and auctions.

  
Jason Guilbault has been writing and podcasting in the fantasy sports world for over five years. You can find his work at Daily Fantasy Cafe. He is an avid Tottenham fan, and follows the Boston sports teams. When he isn’t diving into stats, he is enjoying the outdoors or down at the local brewery.

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