Dolphins-Bills TNF Parlay Predictions, Picks, Odds: NFL Week 3 SGP Best Bets (Thursday, September 18)
The Miami Dolphins look for their first win of the season, traveling to Highmark Stadium to face the AFC East-leading Buffalo Bills () on Thursday night. The Dolphins are coming off losses to the Colts and Patriots in the first two games, while the Bills have jumped out to a 2-0 start after beating the Ravens and Jets.
Let’s take a look at the best Dolphins vs. Bills same-game parlay below, analyzing several top bets for this division battle. Click any odds below to place a bet. For more sportsbook promos, we highly recommend checking out the best sports betting sites.
Bills vs. Dolphins Odds: NFL Week 3 Spread, Moneyline, Total
Dolphins vs. Bills: TNF Same-Game Parlay (+525 at DraftKings)
Miami Dolphins +12.5 (-110)
It’s been a disastrous start for Mike McDaniel’s team, as his hot seat is burning up by the week. However, there is value in Miami at this number after losing as a short underdog to the Colts and a small favorite to the Patriots.
Last season, the Dolphins hung with the Bills in Orchard Park in a 30-27 defeat as 6-point underdogs. That marked the biggest underdog spot for Miami in 2024, while Miami is 3-0 against the spread under McDaniel as a ‘dog of six points or more.
Meanwhile, the Bills are in the midst of a 3-9 ATS run since 2022 as a double-digit favorite.
Josh Allen Over 2 Touchdown Passes (-153)
Allen has dominated the Dolphins throughout his career, winning 13 of 15 starts. Last season, he threw three touchdown passes against Miami, including a pair in a home victory.
Dating back to the start of last season, the 2024 MVP has compiled at least two TD tosses in eight of 11 home games. Allen already has thrown a pair of TD passes at home, coming in the overtime comeback against Baltimore in Week 1.
The Dolphins allowed two touchdown passes to New England’s Drake Maye last week, marking the fourth time in the last six games Miami’s defense has yielded at least two touchdowns to opposing quarterbacks.
Tyreek Hill Over 70 Receiving Yards (+107)
Hill finally busted out last week against the Patriots, racking up 109 yards on 6 catches. In Hill’s previous matchup with Buffalo in the three-point loss last November, he picked up 80 yards, including a 28-yard reception.
The Bills were lit up by Baltimore’s Zay Flowers in the season opener for 143 yards, marking the fourth time in the last five home games that Buffalo has allowed an opposing receiver to amass at least 70 yards.
Buffalo has improved to 18th in the NFL in PFF grade for coverage on receivers, which is an uptick after ranking 31st in that category last season.
Final Dolphins-Bills TNF Same-Game Parlay (SGP) Prediction
These picks are a combined (+525) SGP odds as of this publication. Remember to wager responsibly on these plays given the volatility of same-game parlays.
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