Green Bay Packers at Kansas City Chiefs Matchup Preview 10/27/19: Analysis, Depth Chart, Daily Fantasy
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The Green Bay Packers are flying out to one of the toughest places to play in the NFL, Arrowhead stadium. Two of the best teams in the NFL matchup for primetime on Sunday night. The Chiefs are without the former MVP due to an injury suffered last week against the Broncos. Matt Moore will be stepping up to face this Green Bay Packers team under the lights. It is not just the Chiefs without one of their stars, the Packers are still missing star receiver Davonte Adams for the 4th week in a row. Rodgers won’t let that stop him, putting up a stat line you seemingly only see in college last week, Rodgers is on a rampage. Achieving a perfect passer rating last week against the Raiders, he is looking for another perfect week against this Chiefs defense who has been playing pretty well so far this year. Facing Aaron Rodgers is a task within itself. Moore is going to have to step up his game this week. Click here for more details and betting information on the Green Bay Packers vs Kansas City Chiefs matchup.
Date: October 27, 2019
Time: 8:20 PM EST
Location: Arrowhead Stadium – Kanas City, Missouri
Green Bay Packers: Davante Adams WR (Q), Adrian Amos S (Q), Tony Brown CB (Q), Bryan Bulaga T (Q), Oren Burks LB (Q), Kenny Clark DL (Q), BJ Goodson LB (Q), Jimmy Graham TE (Q), Allen Lazard WR (Q), Marcedes Lewis TE (Q), Blake Martinez LB (Q), Will Redmond S (Q), Aaron Rodgers QB (Q), Darnell Savage S (Q), Robert Tonyan TE (Q), Marquez Valdes-Scantling WR (Q), Tramon Williams CB (Q), Corey Linsley C (Q)
Kansas City Chiefs: Frank Clarke DE (Q), Chris Jones DL (Q), Tanoh Kpassagnon DE (Q), Darron Lee LB (Q), Kendall Fuller CB (Q), Andrew Wylie G (Q), Patrick Mahomes QB (Q), Eric Fisher T (Q), Martinas Rankin T (Q), Anthony Sherman FB (Q), Sammy Watkins WR (Q)
Green Bay Packers Analysis:
This Aaron Rodgers led Packers team is now 6-1 coming into week 8, their only loss coming from the Eagles in week 4. The Packers total offensive yardage so far this season ranks 9th, most of the yards coming from Aaron Rodgers. Rodgers has also thrown for the 13 touchdowns so far this season, tied for 4th in the league. Turning up the heat last week against the Raiders throwing for 429 yards, 5 passing touchdowns, and 1 rushing touchdown to top it off. Achieving a perfect QBR against the Raiders at 158.33. Even more impressive when you factor in that Rodgers has been without his top receiving threat Davante Adams since week 4. Rodgers will be facing a middle of the pack Chiefs defense allowing an average of 228.5 yards and 1.14 touchdowns so far this season. The Chiefs defense has created 11 total takeaways this season ranking 13th on the season, including 6 interceptions. You can expect another good performance from Aaron Rodgers, especially if Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes is able to play and turns this game into a shootout.
The Green Bay rushing attack is facing this Chiefs defense who have allowed the 3rd most yards to opposing running-backs. Giving up 9 rushing touchdowns on the year, ranking 5th most on the season. The Packers have been semi-unpredictable with their rushing game, cycling between Aaron Jones and Jamaal Williams. Jones is the clear RB1 in this offense, seeing 57% of the offensive snaps and a majority of the carries compared to Williams 40% offensive snap count. Both running-backs see a piece of the passing game as well, Jones getting the bigger piece. So far this season Jones has been struggling to break through with his longest run of the season being only 18 yards. I see this changing very soon against the Chiefs lackluster rush defense. The Packers should be attacking this Chiefs rush defense early and often during Sunday night’s game.
It has been a tough season for the fantasy owners of Davante Adams, struggling in the beginning of the season. Finally breaking out during week 4 just to get injured and has yet to see the field since. Things haven’t been much better for owners of other Packers’ receivers, with impactful games coming few and far between. Lazard led the Packers in snaps during week 7 playing 85% of the snaps, Jake Kumerow playing 72%, and Geronimo Allison playing 57% of snaps. Valdes-Scantlin, who led all receivers in yardage and touchdowns, played only 33%; most likely due to his questionable injury status leading up to last week. No receiver saw more than 5 targets during week 7, including TE Jimmy Graham who saw 4 targets. Allison was the receiver to tie for the most targets with RB Jamaal Williams. Coming into week 8, you should expect the ball to be spread around a lot against the Chiefs.
Green Bay Packers Depth Chart
Kansas City Chiefs Analysis:
An unfortunate injury to QB Patrick Mahomes caused his exit during week 7. Matt Moore came in during Mahomes’ absence, completing 10 passes for 117 yards and 1 touchdown. Moore is one of the most competent back-ups in the league. The former Miami Dolphins QB has had to come in for a starter before; Moore has an even 15-15 record when he has started in the NFL. With Mahomes already pushing to get back on the field, Moore may not have to be the starter for long. Chiefs fans should still be at least a little worried until Mahomes is back on the field. Completing only 52.6% of his attempts last week against Denver’s defense. The Packers’ defense is a competent defense, allowing the 10th most passing yards, 18th most passing touchdowns, and are 5th in interceptions.
The running-back situation has been cloudy to say the least so far this season. However, it seems LeSean McCoy has taken over as the lead back; playing at least 40% of snaps in the past 2 weeks. Damien Williams is still a factor, receiving 9 carries and 3 targets last week. Due to Williams poor performance so far this season, averaging a putrid 1.7 yards per attempt, McCoy is the running-back to watch going forward. Averaging 5.4 yards per attempt this season. The Packers’ run defense ranks 9th worst in the league this season, allowing 128.8 yards and 1 touchdown per game.
The Chiefs will be seeing a full receiver roster for the first time since week 1 this season, getting Sammy Watkins back for the Matchup against the Packers. With Matt Moore under center the passing game takes a big hit losing the former MVP. With the star power in this passing offense, Moore should be at least serviceable. Tyreek Hill played 87% of the snaps, Demarcus Robinson playing 80% of the snaps, and Mecole Hardman playing 48% of the snaps. Travis Kelce led all receivers playing 90% of snaps. However, with Watkins coming back this week, look for Watkins to dig into Robinson and Hardman’s snap counts as he reclaims his WR2 role in this offense.
Kansas City Chiefs Depth Chart
You should consider spending up on Green Bay running-back Aaron Jones this week. The Chiefs have allowed the 3rd most rushing yards so far this season. Jones is the clear starter receiving a majority of snaps compared to Jamaal Williams. Jones has seen nearly double the number of targets as Williams on the season. It is clear the Packers favor Jones but keep Williams in the game to stay as unpredictable as they can. Jones has also seen 17 red-zone rushing attempts compared to Williams’ 4 attempts in the red-zone, Jones has also seen more red-zone targets than Williams. The Packers have also seen a lot of elite rush defenses so far this season including the Eagles, Vikings, and Bears. The Chiefs defense presents a tasty matchup for Aaron Jones.