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MLB Home Run Picks Today: George Springer, Ian Happ & Zack Gelof Best Bets

Our home run picks for today back George Springer, Ian Happ and Zack Gelof, based on matchups, ballpark factors and recent form.
Springer, Blue Jays
Thom Cunningham Avatar
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Top HR Picks: George Springer , Ian Happ & Zack Gelof

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Home Run Prop Predictions & Odds: MLB HR Best Bets for Friday, September 25th

George Springer gets a plus matchup against a struggling Reds lefty at a hitter-friendly Rogers Centre, Ian Happ’s switch-hitting power fits Fenway’s Green Monster perfectly as Chicago visits Boston, and Zack Gelof carries his hot streak right back into one of the smallest ballparks in the game after going deep twice last night. Here’s why each name stands out based purely on the matchups, form and parks in play today.

George Springer (Blue Jays vs. Reds) Home Run Odds

Springer sits at 15 home runs, a .248 average and a .730 OPS through 122 games, and he gets a favorable look tonight against Reds left-hander Nick Lodolo, who’s limped to a 3-6 record and a 5.04 ERA this year while allowing a .276 opponent average and more than a hit per inning (108 hits in 103.2 IP). A right-handed pull hitter against a struggling lefty at Rogers Centre — a park built for carry with its roof and true dimensions — is a strong setup.

Ian Happ (Cubs vs. Red Sox) Home Run Odds

Happ is up to 24 home runs on the year with a .744 OPS in 152 games, and Fenway’s Green Monster is one of the most forgiving short porches in baseball for a switch-hitter who drives balls to left-center. He’ll face Red Sox right-hander Brayan Bello, who’s been hittable in stretches this season (4.49 ERA), giving Happ a real shot to add to that home run total in a park that inflates exactly his kind of contact.

Zack Gelof (Athletics vs. Astros) Home Run Odds

Gelof has 17 home runs and a .474 slugging percentage in 92 games this year, and he’s fresh off a two-homer night against Houston. He stays right in Sutter Health Park — still one of the smallest, most hitter-friendly parks in the league — against Astros right-hander Hayden Wesneski, who doesn’t miss a ton of bats. Hot bat, small park, hittable arm: that’s the profile.

Photo Credit: REUTERS

About the Author
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Thom Cunningham is the Lineups.com News Editor and has been involved with sports media for almost two decades at Spectrum, VegasInsider.com, Oddschecker, VSiN and much more as a content producer - focused on the betting and gaming space over the last decade tracking insights, data analytics and covering various markets from the NFL to the Oscars. 

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