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MLB Home Run Picks Today: Kody Clemens & Konnor Griffin Best Bets

Our top MLB home run best bets, with picks on Kody Clemens, and Konnor Griffin to go deep in today’s games.
Kody Clemens
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Top HR Picks: Kody Clemens & Konnor Griffin

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  • Up to $1,500 in Bonus Bets if Your First Bet Doesn't Win*

  • *Bonus Bets Expire in 7 Days. One New Customer Offer Only. Add’l terms. 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET

Home Run Prop Predictions & Odds: MLB HR Best Bets for Friday, September 18th

We hit on Yordan Alvarez to hit a home run on the Thursday slate. With a jam-packed Friday slate, there are many more options to choose from. Today, we’re going with Munetaka Murakami, Kody Clemens, and Konnor Griffin. I like the spots for each of these hitters, as they have exploitable pitching matchups.

Kody Clemens (Twins vs. Angel) Home Run Odds

Kody Clemens has been a surprising breakout for the Twins, slashing .241/.302/.470 with 26 home runs in 548 plate appearances. He has a respectable 11.6% barrel rate in what’s been a career year for the 30-year-old.

Coming into Thursday’s action, Clemens had two homers in his last eight games, so he’s in top form right now. I like the matchup against Angels’ right-hander Grayson Rodriguez, who has a 5.53 xERA and a 1.45 HR/9 this year.

Lefties like Clemens have a .400 wOBA vs. Grayson (righties are at .314 wOBA), making this even more of an appealing matchup.

With that in mind, we’ll ride with Clemens to hit No. 27 here. Risk 0.1 units.

Konnor Griffin (Royals vs. Pirates)

Konnor Griffin has had an injury-plagued rookie season, but he’s slashing a respectable .262/.315/.384 with five home runs and 22 stolen bases in 295 plate appearances.

While the power has been underwhelming, we’ve seen him hit safely in four of his last five games coming into Thursday night. Remember, this is a highly touted prospect who is capable of hitting 25 homers.

I like the matchup against Randy Dobnak, who has a 4.49 xERA on the season. We’re getting a nice price on Griffin here, making him worth a sprinkle to hit No. 6 in this spot. Risk 0.1 units.

Photo Credit: REUTERS

About the Author
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Frank Ammirante

Senior Staff Writer

Frank Ammirante has spent the last 5+ years covering sports betting, fantasy sports, and the wider iGaming industry, with a focus on MLB and NFL betting alongside fantasy baseball and football strategy, as well as basketball, hockey, and soccer. His work has appeared on outlets like The Game Day, RotoBaller, FantasyPros, Deadspin, and Pro Football Network, and more, where he's covered everything from player props and betting futures to online casino and sweepstakes casino reviews, prediction markets, and industry news. He also brings hands-on editorial experience as a content editor elsewhere in the industry. Frank started out in the fantasy sports space, and today he's a member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association who competes in some of the industry's toughest expert fantasy leagues, including Tout Wars, Scott Fish Bowl, and The Great Fantasy Baseball Invitational. He's an annual competitor in Tout Wars specifically, and his fantasy baseball rankings have been featured in Fantasy Index's fantasy baseball magazine. Off the clock, he's a die-hard Toronto Blue Jays and Washington Commanders fan who still isn't quite over the Blue Jays' World Series loss to the Dodgers, which he's called "one of the biggest collapses in sports history."

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