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Best Bets: Pete Alonso , Isaac Paredes & Austin Wells
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Up to $1,500 in Bonus Bets if Your First Bet Doesn't Win*
*Bonus Bets Expire in 7 Days. One New Customer Offer Only. Add’l terms. 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET
Home Run Prop Predictions & Odds: MLB HR Best Bets for Sunday, September 27th
It’s the final day of the 2026 regular season, and with plenty still shaking out across the standings, the power surges don’t stop just because the calendar’s turning to October. We’re circling three hitters whose recent form lines up perfectly with today’s ballparks — from a short porch tailor-made for pull-side sluggers to a hitter-friendly West Coast yard that’s played well all year. Here’s who we like to go deep on the last day of the season, backed by the stats, the venues, and the pitching they’re up against.
Pete Alonso (Orioles vs. Yankees) Home Run Odds
Since signing with Baltimore, Alonso has been every bit the middle-of-the-order force the Orioles paid for, closing in on a career RBI mark as the season winds down. He’s long been one of the game’s most consistent 35-plus home run threats, and that kind of raw pull-side power is exactly what Yankee Stadium’s short right-field porch — just 314 feet down the line — is built to reward.
Today’s matchup puts him right back in that ballpark against Baltimore’s AL East rival, and pull-heavy right-handed hitters have feasted there all season. Between the RBI chase adding motivation and one of the friendliest home run dimensions in the sport, Alonso’s floor for extra-base contact is about as high as it gets on this slate
Isaac Paredes (Astros vs. Athletics) Home Run Odds
Paredes cleared the 22-homer mark in late September and has kept that pop going as the Astros push toward the finish line, pairing pull-side power with a patient approach that keeps him in hitter’s counts. He and the Astros travel to Sutter Health Park, the smaller West Sacramento venue the Athletics have called home all year, and it’s played as one of the more forgiving parks in baseball for fly-ball power.
That combination — a hitter already locked into a groove and a rebuilding A’s pitching staff that’s given up plenty of hard contact in a hitter-friendly yard — makes Paredes a strong value play even without the name recognition of the other two bats on this list
Austin Wells (Yankees vs. Orioles) Home Run Odds
Wells has gone deep twice in his last six days, a hot stretch that’s reportedly got the Yankees thinking harder about leaning on him more down the stretch. As a left-handed bat, he’s a natural fit for Yankee Stadium’s short porch, which plays even shorter for lefties pulling the ball into the right-field seats.
Facing Baltimore at home today, Wells gets to ride that current form into the exact ballpark built for his swing path. Catchers don’t always get circled as power plays, but between the recent surge and the park fit, he profiles as a sneaky source of pop on this slate.
Photo Credit: REUTER
