Share 
We had a small profit on Friday, as Ronald Acuña Jr. hit a home run. Let’s try to build on that with another winning night on Saturday.
Today, we’re going with Aaron Judge, Kyle Schwarber, and Riley Greene. Each of these hitters is in great spots.
Keep reading to find out about our MLB home run predictions for today. Also, be sure to check out our daily MLB betting trends page.
Click any odds below to place a wager. For more sportsbook promos, we highly recommend checking out the best sports betting sites.
2026 MLB HR Props Record: 12-70 (-1.61 units)
Home Run Prop Predictions & Odds: MLB HR Best Bets for Saturday, April 25
Aaron Judge Home Run Odds
Aaron Judge is currently slashing .237/.372/.559 with nine home runs in 114 plate appearances. The batted ball metrics are bonkers, with a 24.2% barrel rate.
Despite the Yankees pouring on runs last night, Judge didn’t homer. But I’m going back to him for the second consecutive night just because Houston is a great spot for right-handed power hitters with the Crawford boxes in left field.
It’s another exploitable pitching matchup here with Mike Burrows on the mound. The Astros’ righty is allowing a 1.69 HR/9 this season.
The price is always inflated on Judge, but at least we’re getting him at longer than +200 odds here. Risk 0.1 units.
Kyle Schwarber Home Run Odds
Kyle Schwarber is currently slashing .189/.336/.484 with eight home runs in 116 plate appearances. It’s been a poor start at the plate, but he still has a 21.8% barrel rate, so I’m not too concerned.
We’re getting some wind blowing out to left field with 71-degree temperatures for this game, so it’s slightly favorable hitting weather. You also have to like the pitching matchup against right-hander Bryce Elder.
While he’s off to a great start with a 1.50 ERA, that comes with a 3.65 SIERA. It’s only a matter of time before we see some regression.
We’ll take Schwarber to go yard to help the Phillies snap this 10-game losing streak. Risk 0.1 units.
Riley Greene Home Run Odds
We’ll finish it off with Riley Greene to hit a home run. The Tigers’ slugger is currently slashing .295/.396/.474 with three home runs in 111 plate appearances. It’s impressive how he’s trimmed his strikeout rate from 30.7% to 23.4%. The batted ball metrics also look great with a 14.5% barrel rate.
Perhaps Greene is taking the next step as a hitter.
It’s also worth noting that Greene is coming into this game on a hot streak, going 10-for-26 with homers in back-to-back games on his current six-game hitting streak. This includes three two-hit games in a row and four in his last five.
It’s a great spot at one of the most hitter-friendly environments in baseball in Great American Ball Park, especially with 7 MPH winds blowing out to right field.
The pitching matchup looks good as well with Brady Singer on the mound. The veteran righty has a 5.18 xERA and 44.7% hard-hit rate.
So, here we have the perfect storm for a home run prop: improving hitter on a hot streak, facing a struggling pitcher in a hitter-friendly environment. Risk 0.1 units.
- Join Lineups’ free sports betting Discord channel, with more than 5,100 community members discussing MLB 24-7-365.
Best Sportsbook Promos For Home Run Prop Predictions
Up to $1,500 in Bonus Bets if Your First Bet Doesn't Win*
*Bonus Bets Expire in 7 Days. One New Customer Offer Only. Add’l terms. 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET
Up to $1,500 in Bonus Bets if Your First Bet Doesn't Win*
*Bonus Bets Expire in 7 Days. One New Customer Offer Only. Add’l terms. 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET
Get $250 in Bonus Bets When You Wager $5 for 5 Days ($50 Bonus Bets Per Day)
Available on Desktop, Android & iOS
Easy Deposits, Fast Withdrawals
Get $250 in Bonus Bets When You Wager $5 for 5 Days ($50 Bonus Bets Per Day)
Available on Desktop, Android & iOS
Easy Deposits, Fast Withdrawals
Get a 100% Bet Match up to $100 in FanCash for 10 Days
Earn FanCash & Spend it on Team Swag or More Bets
Daily Odds & Profit Boosts on Select Games
Get a 100% Bet Match up to $100 in FanCash for 10 Days
Earn FanCash & Spend it on Team Swag or More Bets
Daily Odds & Profit Boosts on Select Games
Spend $5+ Get $150 in Bonus Bets Over 14 Days
Plus Get up to $1,000 Deposit Bonus
Bet on All Your Favorite Sports With America's Top-Rated Sportsbook
Spend $5+ Get $150 in Bonus Bets Over 14 Days
Plus Get up to $1,000 Deposit Bonus
Bet on All Your Favorite Sports With America's Top-Rated Sportsbook
Bet $10 Get $200 in Bonus Bets Win or Lose
30% Extra on Same Game Parlay Profit
T&Cs Apply. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET (AZ, CO, IL, IN, KS, KY, LA, MD, MI, MO, NC, NJ, OH, PA, TN, VA, WV) or 1-800-BETS OFF (IA). 21+ only. Please gamble responsibly. Must be present in AZ/CO/IA/IL/IN/KS/KY/LA(select parishes) /MD/MI/MO/NC/NJ/OH/PA/TN/VA/WV.
Bet $10 Get $200 in Bonus Bets Win or Lose
30% Extra on Same Game Parlay Profit
T&Cs Apply. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET (AZ, CO, IL, IN, KS, KY, LA, MD, MI, MO, NC, NJ, OH, PA, TN, VA, WV) or 1-800-BETS OFF (IA). 21+ only. Please gamble responsibly. Must be present in AZ/CO/IA/IL/IN/KS/KY/LA(select parishes) /MD/MI/MO/NC/NJ/OH/PA/TN/VA/WV.
Photo Credit: AP/Ben Jackson
