Share 
We made a small profit on Friday, as Willson Contreras went yard, making up for losses on Kyle Manzardo and Colton Cowser.
Today, we’re going with Jac Caglianone, Christian Yelich, and Nick Kurtz. Each of these hitters is in a good spot to hit a home run.
Remember to be sure to check out our daily MLB betting trends page.
Click any odds below to place a wager. For more sportsbook promos, we highly recommend checking out the best sports betting sites.
2026 MLB HR Props Record: 45-175 (+1.2 units)
Home Run Prop Predictions & Odds: MLB HR Best Bets for Saturday, June 13
Jac Caglianone Home Run Odds
Jac Caglianone is slashing .272/.343/.446 with eight home runs in 236 plate appearances. The 23-year-old slugger is hitting the ball hard, as highlighted by a 15.4% barrel rate.
On top of that, he’s really heating up at the plate. So far in June, Caglianone is slashing .457/.537/.771 with three home runs. We just saw him homer twice on June 9th.
Up next is an exploitable matchup against Astros’ right-hander Mike Burrows, who has had a major issue with home runs this year, allowing a 2.09 HR/9 and a 9.4% barrel rate.
What’s even better is that Burrows has been worse against lefties (.427 wOBA) than righties (.324 wOBA), so spot is right in Caglianone’s wheelhouse.
Add in the fact that this game is in a hitter-friendly environment at Kauffman Stadium, and you can see why this is an appealing wager. Risk 0.1 units.
Christian Yelich Home Run Odds
Christian Yelich is currently slashing .278/.351/.424 with four home runs in 168 plate appearances. The 34-year-old veteran’s barrel rate has plummeted from 10.3% to 5.8%, and he hasn’t homered since May 25th.
However, I like tonight’s spot against Phillies’ right-hander Aaron Nola, who continues to give up a lot of hard contact, including a 9.1% barrel rate and a 1.5 HR/9.
What’s also good is that Nola has had a tough time vs. lefties like Yelich, as they have a .396 wOBA against him (.309 wOBA vs. righties).
Additionally, Yelich has a lot of familiarity with Nola. In 40 career plate appearances, Yelich has one home run and a .462 slugging percentage against him.
Given the price on Yelich to go yard, coupled with the matchup against Nola, I’ll take a chance on this one. Risk 0.1 units.
Nick Kurtz Home Run Odds
Nick Kurtz is slashing .286/.437/.539 with 16 home runs in 311 plate appearances. He’s been absolutely crushing the ball, including an 18.1% barrel rate.
On top of that, Kurtz has been one of the hottest hitters in baseball, slashing .317/.448/.619 with 11 home runs in 172 plate appearances since May 1st.
The A’s are playing in an absolute bandbox in Vegas for this game, so there’s a good chance that they can pour on runs. This is reflected in the game total, which currently sits at 14.5 runs.
The pitching matchup is against Rockies’ left-hander Kyle Freeland, who has had a major issue with home runs, as highlighted by a 2.21 HR/9. Even though Kurtz is a lefty, he hasn’t been that bad against southpaws, putting up a 135 wRC+.
With the lefty-vs-lefty matchup giving us a better price on Kurtz than usual, we’ll ride with him here. Risk 0.1 units.
Join Lineups’ free sports betting Discord channel, with more than 5,100 community members discussing MLB 24-7-365.
Best Sportsbook Promos For Home Run Prop Predictions
Up to $1,500 in Bonus Bets if Your First Bet Doesn't Win*
*Bonus Bets Expire in 7 Days. One New Customer Offer Only. Add’l terms. 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET
Up to $1,500 in Bonus Bets if Your First Bet Doesn't Win*
*Bonus Bets Expire in 7 Days. One New Customer Offer Only. Add’l terms. 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET
Get $250 in Bonus Bets When You Wager $5 for 5 Days ($50 Bonus Bets Per Day)
Available on Desktop, Android & iOS
Easy Deposits, Fast Withdrawals
Get $250 in Bonus Bets When You Wager $5 for 5 Days ($50 Bonus Bets Per Day)
Available on Desktop, Android & iOS
Easy Deposits, Fast Withdrawals
Get a 100% Bet Match up to $100 in FanCash for 10 Days
Earn FanCash & Spend it on Team Swag or More Bets
Daily Odds & Profit Boosts on Select Games
Get a 100% Bet Match up to $100 in FanCash for 10 Days
Earn FanCash & Spend it on Team Swag or More Bets
Daily Odds & Profit Boosts on Select Games
Spend $5+ Get $150 in Bonus Bets Over 14 Days
Plus Get up to $1,000 Deposit Bonus
Bet on All Your Favorite Sports With America's Top-Rated Sportsbook
Spend $5+ Get $150 in Bonus Bets Over 14 Days
Plus Get up to $1,000 Deposit Bonus
Bet on All Your Favorite Sports With America's Top-Rated Sportsbook
Bet $10 Get $200 in Bonus Bets Win or Lose
30% Extra on Same Game Parlay Profit
T&Cs Apply. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET (AZ, CO, IL, IN, KS, KY, LA, MD, MI, MO, NC, NJ, OH, PA, TN, VA, WV) or 1-800-BETS OFF (IA). 21+ only. Please gamble responsibly. Must be present in AZ/CO/IA/IL/IN/KS/KY/LA(select parishes) /MD/MI/MO/NC/NJ/OH/PA/TN/VA/WV.
Bet $10 Get $200 in Bonus Bets Win or Lose
30% Extra on Same Game Parlay Profit
T&Cs Apply. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET (AZ, CO, IL, IN, KS, KY, LA, MD, MI, MO, NC, NJ, OH, PA, TN, VA, WV) or 1-800-BETS OFF (IA). 21+ only. Please gamble responsibly. Must be present in AZ/CO/IA/IL/IN/KS/KY/LA(select parishes) /MD/MI/MO/NC/NJ/OH/PA/TN/VA/WV.
Photo Credit: AP/Caroline Brehman
