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We cooled off on Saturday night, losing on Jo Adell, Jose Fernandez, and Christian Walker. Let’s try to get back in the green with the Sunday slate.
Today, we’re going with Kyle Tucker, Zach Neto, and Everson Pereira. Each of these hitters is in a good spot to hit a homer.
Keep reading to find out about our MLB home run predictions for today. Also, be sure to check out our daily MLB betting trends page.
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2026 MLB HR Props Record: 8-56 (-2.03 units)
Home Run Prop Predictions & Odds: MLB HR Best Bets for Sunday, April 19
Kyle Tucker Home Run Odds
Kyle Tucker has gotten off to a slow start to his Dodgers career, slashing .260/.356/.403 with three home runs in 90 plate appearances. The batted ball metrics look underwhelming, as highlighted by a 6.8% barrel rate.
But we all know about Tucker’s track record, which includes three 29+ homer seasons under his belt, so it’s only a matter of time before he gets going. In fact, it seems like we’re in the early stages of a hot streak.
The former Astro has homered twice in his last three games, including one last night. He’s now on a four-game hitting streak.
Up next is a terrific matchup against Michael Lorenzen, who has been crushed by lefties this season, allowing a .522 wOBA with three home runs in seven innings’ worth of at-bats.
Add in the fact that this game is at Coors Field, and you have to like Tucker’s chances of hitting another home run. Risk 0.1 units.
Zach Neto Home Run Odds
Zach Neto is slashing a respectable .250/.365/.477 with five home runs in 104 plate appearances this season. The barrel rate looks good as well at 10.2%. With 26 homers in only 554 plate appearances last year, there’s a good chance that we see 30+ this time around.
Up next is a matchup against Michael King, who is allowing an 11.7% barrel rate this season. That comes after he gave up an 11.4% rate last year. While King has allowed only one homer so far this season, this kind of barrel rate indicates that it will change soon. We saw him register a 1.47 HR/9 in 2025.
When you consider Neto’s recent track record with King’s barrel rate, the current price (longer than +500 odds), makes this prop worth a shot. Risk 0.1 units.
Everson Pereira Home Run Odds
The next home run prop is much less of a household name, but I like the spot for him. Everson Pereira has been a nice surprise for the White Sox, slashing .273/.333/.636 with three home runs in 36 plate appearances.
As a right-handed hitter, Pereira has mashed lefties, putting up a .714 slugging percentage so far. He’ll get one today in Jeffrey Springs.
Even though Springs is off to a strong start, he allowed 1.3+ HR/9 in each of his previous two seasons. Considering that this game is in the bandbox that is Sutter Health Park, I’ll take a shot on Pereira to hit No. 4.
At the time of this article, you can get this prop at longer than +600 odds, which looks like a solid value. Risk 0.1 units.
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