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The Thunder toughed out a key Game 3 victory in enemy territory on Friday night, setting up a pivotal Game 4. OKC has now scored over 120 points in consecutive games, and the pressure will be on the Spurs to respond on both ends of the floor Sunday to avoid heading back on the road with a two-game deficit.
As customary, we zero in on three player props to consider for tonight’s action. Also, be sure to check out our daily NBA betting trends page for odds and data on every game.
Sunday’s Best NBA Player Props
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC) – Over Assists
- Devin Vassell (SAO) – Over Points + Rebounds
- Cason Wallace (OKC) – Over Points + Rebounds + Assists
2026 Playoff Prop Bet Tracker: 55-43 (+7.05 units)
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC) – Over Assists
Gilgeous-Alexander didn’t have the sharpest shooting night in Game 2, but he still accumulated 26 points with the help of a perfect 12-for-12 showing from the line. Additionally, the two-time MVP took it up a notch as a facilitator, dishing out a co-postseason-high 12 assists across 36 minutes. That was hardly his only impressive showing from an assists perspective in the playoffs, however, as he’s compiled at least eight dimes in eight of 11 playoff games.
Adding to Gilgeous-Alexander’s already massive appeal Sunday is the fact Jalen Williams may well miss a second straight game because of his hamstring injury, while Ajay Mitchell is already ruled out due to a calf strain. Gilgeous-Alexander has a team-high 34.4% usage rate since the start of the regular season with both players off the floor, and he’s also averaging 7.6 assists in that split. San Antonio has conceded 29.3 assists per contest over the first three games of the series as well, a significant bump over the Spurs’ 25.7 season-long figure.
Original line publish: 7.5
Devin Vassell (SAO) – Over Points + Rebounds
Vassell has been a solid complementary source of production since the start of the regular season on a deep Spurs first unit, but he’s been even more involved than usual as a scorer over the first three games of the current series. Vassell is averaging 18.3 points on 47.4% shooting, including 44.4% from behind the arc, over that span, and he’s also averaged 5.7 rebounds per contest in that span. Vassell has gone 3-0 to the Over on the 18.5 points + rebounds figure in the process, and the rest of his postseason track record offers reason for optimism as well.
Vassell averaged 17.4 points + rebounds across 32.4 minutes per contest over the Spurs’ first 11 playoff games, eclipsing the 18.5 number on three occasions and finishing on the hook with 18 in two other instances while posting 17 in another game. The talented wing has seen a near-six-percentage-point improvement in shooting over the first three games of the current series, however, and since the start of the regular season, Vassell is 5-2 to the Over on the 18.5 against the Thunder.
Original Line Publish: 18.5
Cason Wallace (OKC) – Over Points + Rebounds + Assists
Wallace has had his share of productive performances off the Thunder bench this postseason, and Sunday, he could be teed up for an even bigger opportunity than usual. As mentioned in Gilgeous-Alexander’s entry, Williams could very well be in line to miss another game, and Mitchell, who replaced the latter in the starting five in Game 3, is already ruled out due to a calf injury. Consequently, a spot start could very well be in the cards for Wallace, a development that would lead to a boost in this line. Wallace is averaging 21.2 points + rebounds + assists per 36 minutes since the start of the regular season with both Williams and Mitchell off the floor, a figure that certainly bodes well for his prospects on vaulting over the 13.5.
Additionally, he’s averaging 13.8 points + rebounds + assists across 24.1 minutes per game so far this postseason, while shooting an elite 46.5% from three-point range. He’s exceeded the 13.5 numbers on six occasions in that span, including in each of the first three games of the series with Mitchell available for every playoff contest thus far. Then, it’s worth noting Wallace logged 58 starts overall during the regular season, and he averaged 15.3 points + rebounds + assists over 27.7 minutes per game in that sample.
Original Line Publish: 13.5
Photo Credit: AP/Tony Gutierrez
