Brooklyn Nets vs. Boston Celtics NBA Player Props & Picks Tonight (11/10/23)

The Brooklyn Nets meet the Boston Celtics this Friday (11/10/23). Get Nets vs. Celtics player prop best bets below, including a search tool to optimize odds shopping.

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Brooklyn Nets vs. Boston Celtics Player Prop Picks

Which players will thrive in the Nets vs. Celtics matchup?

Kristaps Porzingis Over 19.5 Points (-120 DK)

With Nic Claxton out, the Nets have been leaning on a small-ball lineup featuring Ben Simmons at center. Unfortunately, they won’t even have Simmons to rely on in this matchup. Brooklyn’s defense has not completely collapsed due to their numerous wing defenders, but they can’t compete against scoring centers. As a result, they have allowed the eighth most points per game to opposing centers. 

Porzingis has breached 20 points in four of seven games, including three straight. His 7’3” frame will allow him to shoot over Brooklyn with ease, especially on post ups. However, Boston’s wings face a far more difficult task against Mikal Bridges, Dorian Finney-Smith, Cam Johnson, and Royce O’Neale. Look for Brown and Tatum to adopt more of a passing role and feed Porzingis. 

He needs to score 20 points about 55 percent of the time for the bet to be profitable in the long run. 

Kristaps Porzingis First Basket (+370 FD)

Kristaps Porzingis is heavily favored to win the tip-off against Brooklyn. That’s crucial in this prop because it means a miss by the opposing team isn’t required. 

As stated above, Porzingis’ size and shot-making likely decimates the undersized Nets. Even if he’s closely guarded, he will be able to get his shot off. Due to his efficient shooting (54/41/82 splits), Porzingis can make the attempt at a great rate too. 

Porzingis took the first shot of the game at the third largest frequency across the NBA last year. He changed environments from the lowly Wizards to the crowded Celtics, but he’s still thriving in this department. So far, he’s taken Boston’s first field goal attempt in three of seven games. 

He needs to score first about 21 percent of the time. 

Jrue Holiday First Basket Exact 3PT (TBD)

With Porzingis heavily favored to win the tip-off, targeting another Boston player is logical. 

Boston should routinely penetrate the paint, and Brooklyn will be forced to collapse inside, thus surrendering kick-outs to wide open shooters. The Nets have given up the fifth most points per game and most made three-pointers per game to opposing point guards while allowing the fifth most above the break threes (via NBA.com). Therefore, Holiday should thrive from the top of the key in a catch-and-shoot role here. He owns a 37.5 3PT% and is typically reliable during the regular season, so he has a solid chance of converting the attempt.

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Braxton has been covering the NBA for Lineups since the 2022 season. He's worked with multiple collegiate coaching staffs regarding analytics and scouting, which has allowed him to understand the game on a deeper level. Braxton is also a contributor at Thunderous Intentions.

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