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An ACC showdown closes out Week 1 of the college football season with the SMU Mustangs taking on the FSU Seminoles. Let’s dive into the betting numbers, data, trends and odds for the final game of Week 1.
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SMU vs. FSU Game Betting Analysis
The ATS market is a bit murky for this one, so we’ll cower to the Under based on some betting data. SMU has hit the Under in six straight season opening games along with six of its last eight games when playing as the favorite. FSU has also hit the Under in four of its last five home games when playing in the underdog role. The Seminoles are actually on a 1-5 Under run going back to its last six games overall.
For the spread, SMU has dropped the spread in its last five games when playing as an AP ranked school. The Mustangs are, however, 4-1 ATS over their last five games. Also, FSU has actually seen the home team win outright in seven straight games. There is a small window to suggest the underdog ML is a solid risk to take, but the overwhelming data supporting the Under is where we’ll play it a bit safer instead.
SMU vs. FSU Game Best Bet, Pick & Prediction
Best Bet: SMU/FSU U53.5 (-110) at DraftKings
Score Prediction: SMU 28, FSU 24
SMU vs. FSU Game Odds
SMU vs. FSU Game Information
- Date: Monday, September 7, 2026
- Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
- Network: ESPN
- Location: Tallahassee, Florida
- Venue: Doak Campbell Stadium – 51 ppg; 0-1 O/U
SMU vs. FSU Game Betting Resources
- College Football Betting Trends
- CFB Playoffs Futures Markets
- College Football Game Odds
- National Championship Odds
- Heisman Trophy Futures Market
SMU vs. FSU Game Key Players
SMU
- Kevin Jennings, QB – Last Game: n/a
- Jordan Hudson, WR – Last Game: n/a
- R.J. Maryland, TE – Last Game: n/a
FSU
- Ashton Daniels, QB – Last Game: 17/27, 202 yards, TD, INT; 8 carries, 30 yards, TD
- Ousmane Kromah, RB – Last Game: 14 carries, 115 yards, TD
- Duce Robinson, WR – Last Game: 3 catches, 50 yards
Photo Credit: REUTERS
