Share 
The Steelers and Browns both moved to 2-1 on the season with big Week 3 wins – Pittsburgh outlasted Joe Burrow and the Bengals by a 30-27 score, while Cleveland pulled off the home upset of the Panthers, 21-18.
The two AFC Central rivals now meet for the first time in 2026 in this Thursday Night Football clash with an eye on taking control of the top of the division.
Up to $1,500 in Bonus Bets if Your First Bet Doesn't Win*
*Bonus Bets Expire in 7 Days. One New Customer Offer Only. Add’l terms. 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET
Up to $1,500 in Bonus Bets if Your First Bet Doesn't Win*
*Bonus Bets Expire in 7 Days. One New Customer Offer Only. Add’l terms. 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET
With the stage set, let’s dive into three player props to consider for Thursday’s action. Be sure to check out our NFL betting trends page for data and odds on every game.
Steelers-Browns Best NFL Week 4 Player Props
- Jaylen Warren Over 22.5 Receiving Yards
- Quinshon Judkins Over 70.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards
- Harold Fannin Jr. Over 40.5 Yards
Jaylen Warren Over Receiving Yards
Warren had the backfield to himself in Sunday’s Week 3 win over the Bengals and thrived in that scenario, amassing 176 total yards on 20 touches with Rico Dowdle (toe) unavailable. Warren’s backfield mate remains out for Thursday’s divisional clash, and although the majority of the former’s success against Cincinnati came on the ground, we’re honing in on his very reasonable receiving yards prop Thursday.
Warren has at least 27 receiving yards in all three games this season, including tallies of 34 and 49 yards in the last pair of contests. The versatile veteran only had five games with more than the 22.5 figure in 2025 under then offensive coordinator Arthur Smith, but with 14 targets through three games under Mike McCarthy, it’s clear the latter is prioritizing making the most out of Warren’s considerable receiving skills.
Meanwhile, Cleveland has facilitated an average of 5.0 targets per game to running backs thus far, and the Browns have surrendered catches on 14 of them. Given that number and Warren’s run-after-catch acumen, this prop is very much within his reach.
Original Line Publish: 22.5
Quinshon Judkins Over Rushing + Receiving Yards
Judkins finally had somewhat of a breakout in Week 3 against an injury-hampered Panthers defense, recording 70 rushing yards on 18 carries and adding nine receiving yards on two catches. The second-year back thoroughly dominates the Browns’ opportunities on the ground, and despite the modest Week 3 receiving yardage total, it’s worth noting Judkins had 17- and 27-yard tallies through the air in the first two games of the season.
Thursday night’s matchup doesn’t line up poorly by the numbers, as the Steelers have conceded 4.3 yards per carry and a 13-110-1 receiving line to running backs over the first three games. Judkins has run at least 14 routes in each of his first three games this season and is seeing a touch on just under half his snaps, which certainly sets him up well for a large enough workload to punch this ticket in a game that has a tight 2.5-point spread.
Original Line: 70.5
Harold Fannin Jr. Over Receiving Yards
Fannin may have started off his season quietly with two catches for 21 yards on three targets in an ugly Week 1 loss to the Jaguars, but the talented second-year tight end has since gone on to put together two performances much more reminiscent of his standout rookie 2025 season. Fannin generated a combined 12-105-2 line on 15 targets over Weeks 2 and 3, drawing a target on 25.9% of his routes and exceeding this prop on both occasions.
Fannin’s chemistry with Deshaun Watson appears to be growing by the game, as the resurgent quarterback looked for him on a critical fourth-quarter broken play in the Week 3 win over the Panthers and connected with him for the game-winning TD. Fannin’s positional matchup Thursday also profiles well on paper, as the Steelers have surrendered 12.0 yards per reception and a 71.4% catch rate to tight ends over the first three weeks of the season.
Original Line: 40.5
Photo Credit: REUTERS
