UFC 328 Betting Trends, Odds & Data for Saturday, May 9, 2026

UFC heads to the Prudential Center in Newark, New Jersey for it’s next numbered event, UFC 328. The event is set to air live on Paramount+ with early prelims beginning at 5 p.m. ET. There are two championships headlining the card, a Middleweight Championship bout and a Flyweight Championship bout.

UFC 328 Betting Trends

Clayton Carpenter vs. Jose Ochoa Match Trends

• Clayton Carpenter has won 8 of 10 fights but is the underdog despite this, given a 41.7% chance to beat Jose Ochoa.

• Jose Ochoa has seen a finished result in 8 of 10 fights but faces Clayton Carpenter, given a 45.5% chance to see a finished result despite this.

• Clayton Carpenter has failed to enter Round 3 in 5 of 7 fights but faces Jose Ochoa, given a 40% chance to go Under 2.5 rounds despite this.

Baysangur Susurkaev vs. Djorden Santos Match Trends

• Baysangur Susurkaev is on an 11-fight winning streak and the favorite, given an 87% chance to beat Djorden Santos.

• Baysangur Susurkaev has seen a finished result in 10 of 11 fights and faces Djorden Santos, given a 66.7% chance to see a finished result.

• Djorden Santos has entered Round 3 in 5 straight fights and faces Baysangur Susurkaev, given a 63.6% chance to go Over 1.5 rounds.

Pat Sabatini vs. William Gomis Match Trends

• William Gomis has won 14 of 15 fights but is the underdog despite this, given a 37% chance to beat Pat Sabatini.

• William Gomis has seen 5 of 6 UFC fights go the distance and faces Pat Sabatini, given a 57.4% chance to go the distance.

• William Gomis has entered Round 3 in 7 straight fights and faces Pat Sabatini, given a 61.9% chance to go Over 2.5 rounds.

Roman Kopylov vs. Marco Tulio Match Trends

• Marco Tulio has won 10 of 11 fights and is the favorite, given a 64.9% chance to beat Roman Kopylov.

• Marco Tulio has seen a finished result in 5 straight fights and faces Roman Kopylov, given a 62.3% chance to see a finished result.

• Marco Tulio has failed to enter Round 3 in 5 straight fights and faces Roman Kopylov, given a 56.5% chance to go Under 2.5 rounds.

Jim Miller vs. Jared Gordon Match Trends

• Jared Gordon has won 5 straight UFC prelim card fights when fighting in the United States. He faces Jim Miller as the favorite given a 75.6% chance to win.

• Jared Gordon has seen 6 of 7 UFC prelim card fights go the distance and faces Jim Miller, given a 61.5% chance to go the distance.

• Jim Miller has entered Round 3 in 4 of 6 fights and faces Jared Miller, given a 66.7% chance to go Over 2.5 rounds.

Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki Match Trends

• Grant Dawson has won 6 of 7 3-round UFC fights and is the favorite, given a 61.9% chance to beat Mateusz Rebecki.

• Mateusz Rebecki has seen 3 straight UFC fights go the distance and faces Grant Dawson, given a 56.5% chance to go the distance.

• Grant Dawson has entered Round 3 in 8 of 11 fights and faces Mateusz Rebecki, given a 60.8% chance to go Over 2.5 rounds.

Joel Alvarez vs. Yaroslav Amosov Match Trends

• Yaroslav Amosov has won 29 of 30 fights and is the favorite against Joel Alvarez, given a 65.5% chance to win.

• Joel Alvarez has seen a finished result in 24 of 26 fights and faces Yaroslav Amosov, given a 59.2% chance to see a finished result.

• Yaroslav Amosov has entered Round 3 in 4 of 6 fights and faces Joel Alvarez, given a 68.3% chance to go Over 1.5 rounds.

Ateba Gautier vs. Ozzy Diaz Match Trends

• Ateba Gautier has won 9 straight fights and is the favorite, given a 91.7% chance to beat Ozzy Diaz.

• Ozzy Diaz has seen a finished result in 12 of 13 fights and faces Ateba Gautier, given a 92.3% chance to a finished result.

• Ateba Gautier has seen 7 of 9 fights end in Round 1 and faces Ozzy Diaz, given a 73.7% chance to go Under 1.5 rounds.

King Green vs. Jeremy Stephens Match Trends

• Jeremy Stephens has lost 6 straight 3-round UFC fights and is the underdog against King Green, given a 22.7% chance to win.

• King Green has seen a finished result in 8 of 9 UFC main card fights and faces Jeremy Stephens, given a 51.5% chance to see a finished result.

• Jeremy Stephens has entered Round 3 in 3 of 4 fights and faces King Green, given a 61.5% chance to go Over 2.5 rounds.

Sean Brady vs. Joaquin Buckley Match Trends

• Sean Brady has won 18 of 20 fights and is the favorite, given a 62.3% chance to beat Joaquin Buckley.

• Joaquin Buckley has seen a finished result in 4 straight UFC fights when facing an older opponent as the underdog. Buckley is the underdog against Sean Brady given a 55.6% chance to see a finished result.

• Sean Brady has entered Round 3 in 5 of 7 fights and faces Joaquin Buckley, given a 56.5% chance to go Over 2.5 rounds.

Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta Match Trends

• Waldo Cortes-Acosta has won 8 straight UFC fights when facing an orthodox opponent but is the underdog despite this, given a 45.5% chance to beat Alexander Volkov.

• Alexander Volkov has seen a finished result in 4 of 5 UFC fights as the favorite. Volkov is the favorite against Waldo Cortes-Acosta given a 37.7% chance to see a finished result despite this.

• Alexander Volkov has entered Round 3 in 3 straight fights and faces Waldo Cortes-Acosta, given a 72.2% chance to go Over 2.5 rounds.

Joshua Van vs. Tatsuro Taira Match Trends

• Joshua Van has won 6 straight UFC fights but is the underdog despite this, given a 42.6% chance to beat Tatsuro Taira.

• Tatsuro Taira has seen a finished result in 4 straight UFC fights when facing an orthodox opponent and faces Joshua Van, given a 64.9% chance to see a finished result.

• Joshua Van has entered Round 3 in 6 of 7 fights and faces Tatsuro Taira, given a 55.6% chance to go Over 3.5 rounds.

Khamzat Chimaev vs. Sean Strickland Match Trends

• Khamzat Chimaev is on a 15-fight winning streak and the favorite, given an 84.6% chance to beat Sean Strickland.

• Sean Strickland has seen 3 straight UFC title fights go the distance but faces Khamzat Chimaev, given a 33.3% chance to go the distance despite this.

Photo Credit: AP/Altaf Qadri