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It’s time for Day 3 of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. We’ve got four games on tap for Saturday, June 13th. Qatar faces Switzerland at 3 p.m. ET, Brazil vs. Morocco at 6 p.m. ET, Haiti vs. Scotland at 9 p.m. ET, and Australia vs. Turkiye at 12 a.m. ET.
I’m excited to watch Brazil vs. Morocco, which looks like one of the best matches in the group stage, but we can find value in each of these games on the Saturday slate.
With that in mind, let’s dive into our top prediction market trades for Saturday, June 13.
Top Prediction Market Trades: Best World Cup Trades for Saturday, June 13
Qatar Over 0.5 Goals: No (0.60¢ at Kalshi)
Qatar is considered to be one of the weakest teams in the tournament. They’re set for a tough matchup against Switzerland, which is an underrated team, projected as the favorite in Group B.
Switzerland is renowned for its organized play. They’re extremely tough to break down. In a game where they figure to dominate possession, it’s going to be tough for Qatar to get a goal.
We saw Switzerland allow only two goals in six games during UEFA Qualifying. With that in mind, I’ll buy the Swiss to hold a clean sheet in their World Cup opener vs. Qatar.
Brazil/Morocco Over 2.5 Goals: No (0.54¢ at Kalshi)
Brazil and Morocco are the two clear-cut top teams in Group C. With that in mind, there’s no need for either team to take unnecessary risks in this opener.
In fact, you can make a legit argument that Morocco would be fully content with a draw in this match. Getting a point against Brazil would set up Morocco nicely for the rest of the group stage, where they’ll take on Haiti and Scotland.
We all know how tough Morocco can be to break down, as we saw that during their improbable semifinal run at Qatar 2022. Expect more of the same here, as this is still a strong side on paper.
Haiti/Scotland Over 2.5 Goals: Yes (0.51¢ at Kalshi)
Scotland is determined to make it out of the group stage for the first time in history. If they can get three points against Haiti, who project as one of the weakest teams in the tournament, they’ll be in a great spot to advance.
That means we’re likely to see the Scots push forward, trying to score as many goals as possible, especially since goal differential makes a difference for tiebreakers and seeding.
This sets up an ideal game environment for a high-scoring match. It wouldn’t surprise me to see 3-0, 2-1, or 3-1 type of scorelines here.
Australia/Turkiye Over 2.5 Goals: Yes (0.48¢ at Kalshi)
Turkiye is a team with a ton of offensive firepower, including Arda Guler of Real Madrid and Kenan Yildiz of Juventus. This team has the ability to light up the scoreboard.
In a game against Australia, who projects as the worst team in Group D, look for Turkiye to push forward to try to score as many goals as possible, since winning the group is key.
On the other side, Australia has the ability to find a goal, especially with Turkiye a bit vulnerable at the back. I can see this one ending 2-1 or 3-1, making the over look appealing.
Not in a Legal Sports Betting State? Consider Prediction Markets
If sports betting isn’t available in your state, prediction markets offer another way to participate in sports-related events. Unlike traditional sportsbooks, prediction markets allow users to buy and sell contracts based on the outcome of real-world events, with prices fluctuating based on market sentiment. Bettors have a chance to take early exits on their positions, providing an opportunity to secure profit before an event is settled.
Several platforms have expanded their sports offerings in recent years, including Kalshi, Polymarket, and Fanatics Markets. These sites allow users to trade contracts on outcomes ranging from championship winners and award races to individual game results, depending on the platform and available markets.
Prediction markets operate under different regulatory frameworks than traditional sportsbooks, and availability can vary by state and platform. Before signing up, be sure to check each site’s eligibility requirements and terms of service to confirm whether you can participate where you live.
Photo Credit: AP/Visar Kryeziu
