WTA Tennis Preview: China Open Betting Odds, Analysis & Information

The WTA enters the first of a back-to-back 1000 level event, with the China Open set to begin from Beijing on Wednesday, September 30. Let’s go through the tournament odds, draw, bracket analysis backed with picks and predictions.

Be sure to check out our tennis match trends page for daily odds, trends and insights on each match.

WTA China Open

Favorite to Win: Elena Rybakina +350

Sleeper Pick: Karolina Muchova +1400

WTA China Open Information

• Dates: September 30–October 11, 2026
• Location: Beijing, China
• Surface: Hard (outdoor)
• Tier: WTA 1000
• Defending Champion: Amanda Anisimova

WTA China Open Odds to Win

Seed	Country	Player	Odds to Win
1	🇰🇿	Elena Rybakina	+350
3	🇺🇸	Coco Gauff	+400
2		Aryna Sabalenka	+400
8	🇵🇱	Iga Swiatek	+750
4		Mirra Andreeva	+1000
5	🇨🇿	Linda Noskova	+1200
7	🇨🇿	Karolina Muchova	+1400
12	🇯🇵	Naomi Osaka	+2800
	🇨🇳	Qinwen Zheng	+3500
10	🇺🇸	Iva Jovic	+5000
6	🇺🇦	Elina Svitolina	+5000
9	🇨🇭	Belinda Bencic	+5000
23	🇨🇦	Leylah Fernandez	+5000
11		Diana Shnaider	+8000
14	🇮🇹	Jasmine Paolini	+8000
32	🇩🇰	Clara Tauson	+10000
16		Anastasia Potapova	+10000
18	🇨🇿	Marie Bouzkova	+10000
	🇦🇺	Kimberly Birrell	+10000
13	🇧🇪	Elise Mertens	+12000
15		Anna Kalinskaya	+12000
20	🇨🇿	Sara Bejlek	+12000
	🇪🇸	Paula Badosa	+12000
25	🇬🇷	Maria Sakkari	+12000
	🇺🇸	Caty McNally	+15000
21	🇺🇸	Ann Li	+15000
26	🇨🇿	Nikola Bartunkova	+15000
17	🇵🇱	Maja Chwalinska	+15000
29		Liudmila Samsonova	+15000
19		Ekaterina Alexandrova	+20000
	🇺🇦	Anhelina Kalinina	+20000
	🇵🇱	Magdalena Frech	+20000
	🇦🇹	Lilli Tagger	+20000
	🇭🇺	Anna Bondar	+25000
	🇨🇳	Yue Yuan	+25000
	🇦🇺	Maya Joint	+25000
	🇺🇸	Katie Volynets	+25000
24	🇱🇻	Jelena Ostapenko	+25000
	🇦🇺	Daria Kasatkina	+30000
	🇺🇸	Ashlyn Krueger	+30000
		Alina Korneeva	+30000
31	🇨🇳	Xinyu Wang	+30000
	🇬🇧	Sonay Kartal	+30000
		Polina Kudermetova	+30000
	🇭🇺	Panna Udvardy	+30000
		Maria Timofeeva	+30000
	🇨🇿	Katerina Siniakova	+30000
	🇮🇩	Janice Tjen	+30000
30	🇭🇷	Donna Vekic	+35000
	🇬🇧	Katie Boulter	+35000
	🇦🇺	Taylah Preston	+40000
	🇦🇺	Talia Gibson	+40000
22	🇫🇷	Diane Parry	+45000
	🇩🇪	Eva Lys	+50000
	🇷🇴	Elena Gabriela Ruse	+50000
	🇺🇦	Dayana Yastremska	+50000
	🇨🇿	Darja Vidmanova	+50000
	🇺🇦	Daria Snigur	+50000
27	🇪🇸	Cristina Bucsa	+50000
	🇨🇴	Camila Osorio	+50000
	🇯🇵	Aoi Ito	+50000
		Anastasia Zakharova	+50000
	🇺🇸	Alycia Parks	+50000
		Alina Charaeva	+50000
	🇹🇷	Zeynep Sonmez	+50000
	🇨🇳	Yushan Shao	+50000
	🇺🇦	Yuliia Starodubtseva	+50000
	🇨🇳	Yu Jun Lin	+50000
	🇨🇳	Yihan Qu	+50000
	🇨🇳	Xinyu Gao	+50000
	🇨🇳	Xinran Sun	+50000
	🇨🇭	Viktorija Golubic	+50000
	🇩🇪	Tamara Korpatsch	+50000
	🇺🇸	Sofia Kenin	+50000
	🇦🇹	Sinja Kraus	+50000
	🇲🇽	Renata Zarazua	+50000
28	🇺🇸	Peyton Stearns	+50000
	🇭🇷	Petra Marcinko	+50000
	🇺🇦	Oleksandra Oliynykova	+50000
	🇪🇬	Mayar Sherif	+50000
	🇵🇱	Magda Linette	+50000
	🇨🇳	Lin Zhu	+50000
	🇹🇭	Lanlana Tararudee	+50000
		Kamilla Rakhimova	+50000

WTA China Open Draw

Quarter 1

Elena Rybakina anchors the top of the draw as the No. 1 seed, with Belinda Bencic (9), Elina Svitolina (6) and Maria Sakkari (25) rounding out the seeded contingent alongside Marie Bouzková (18), Anna Kalinskaya (15), Ann Li (21) and Xin Wang (31). The wildcard slate is stacked with Chinese talent — Qinwen Zheng and Yushan Shao both get home-soil entries — while Sofia Kenin lurks as a dangerous unseeded floater.

Quarter 2

Coco Gauff (3) and Iga Świątek (8) headline this section, with Jeļena Ostapenko (24), Elise Mertens (13), Iva Jovic (10) and Leylah Fernandez (23) also seeded in. Donna Vekić (30) and Cristina Bucșa (27) round out the seeds, and it’s another quarter loaded with Chinese wildcards (Zhu, Gao, Qu) plus Paula Badosa and Daria Kasatkina lurking unseeded, the former surging in form.

Quarter 3

Mirra Andreeva (4) is the top seed here, joined by Linda Nosková (5), Ekaterina Alexandrova (19), Diana Shnaider (11), Jasmine Paolini (14) and Diane Parry (22). Clara Tauson (32) and Peyton Stearns (28) fill out the seed list, with Viktorija Goulbic and Talia Gibson as names to watch out of the pack.

Quarter 4

Aryna Sabalenka (2) leads the bottom quarter with Karolína Muchová (7) also in the mix, alongside Naomi Osaka (12), Liudmila Samsonova (29), Sara Bejlek (20), Anastasia Potapova (16), Maja Chwalińska (17) and Nikola Bartůňková (26). It’s a deep section overall, with qualifiers Miyu Hontama and Zhuoxuan Bai plus wildcard Maya Joint as the floaters worth tracking.

WTA China Open Bracket Analysis

Quarter 1 – Deciding Factors

Rybakina’s Early Test vs. Rybakina’s Possible Late Test

The new world No. 1 gets a favorable Second Round (a first-round bye against unseeded/qualifying opposition), but her own section pairs her potential Round of 16 opponent with the red-hot No. 15 seed, Anna Kalinskaya — not Bouzková or Kalinskaya’s other section-mates. Kalinskaya is fresh off a maiden Roland Garros quarterfinal and a Round of 16 run at the US Open, and she’s currently sitting on a better 2026 hard-court winning percentage than most of the seeds above her. If she holds her side of the section, Rybakina could be facing her sternest opponent of the fortnight three rounds before the final even arrives.

Svitolina’s Solid Form vs. Her Gauntlet Path

No player in this quarter is playing better tennis right now than Elina Svitolina, who returned to the top 10 this year on the back of an Auckland title, an Australian Open semifinal, and a Rome (WTA 1000) title where she beat Coco Gauff in the final — her first Masters-level final since 2018. The problem is her section: a likely Round of 32 meeting with No. 25 seed Maria Sakkari (who beat a top seed at Qatar earlier this year), followed by a probable Round of 16 date with No. 9 Belinda Bencic. Svitolina holds a 2-1 career edge over Rybakina, but Rybakina won their most recent meeting at Indian Wells this March — so even if Svitolina survives her own section, the head-to-head trend has swung back the other way.

Bencic’s Health vs. The Bottom Half

Bencic owns a 2-1 head-to-head lead over Rybakina, including a win the last time they met, which makes her a real threat if the seeds hold. But she’s dealt with hip and arm issues all summer — she withdrew from the Canadian Open and retired mid-match in Cincinnati — and was bounced in the second round of the Australian Open by a player ranked outside the top 100. A clean bill of health is doing a lot of work for anyone picking her to make a run here.

Q1 Pick: Elena Rybakina
Q1 Sleeper: Anna Kalinskaya

Quarter 2 – Deciding Factors

Badosa’s Gauntlet vs. Gauff’s Recent Form

The unseeded Spaniard has to win a rematch before she even gets a shot at Gauff: she opens against Daria Kasatkina, the same player she just beat 6-1, 6-4 at the US Open to even their career series at 4-4. Survive that, and No. 24 seed Jelena Ostapenko is the likely next test. Only then does Badosa run into Gauff, who ended a two-match skid in this rivalry at the US Open, winning 6-4, 7-6(5) in the second round — Badosa still leads their overall series 5-4, but the form and the momentum both point Gauff’s way right now.

Świątek’s Hard-Court Surge vs. Her Coco Problem

If Gauff clears her half of the section, her likely quarterfinal opponent is No. 8 seed Iga Świątek — who’s quietly playing her best hard-court tennis in over a year, having beaten Rybakina in the Canadian Open final and reached the Cincinnati semifinals since. That form matters less against Gauff specifically: Gauff has won their last four meetings in a row, all in straight sets, the first player ever to sweep Świątek that convincingly across four straight matches, even though Świątek still leads the all-time series 11-5.

The Seeds vs. The Actual Depth

Ostapenko carries a No. 24 seed into Beijing but has been far more productive in doubles than singles this year, her ranking sliding to No. 31 outside a Qatar semifinal and a Rome quarterfinal. Mertens (13) is the steadiest of the second-tier seeds, while Jovic (10), Fernandez (23) and Vekić (30) round out a Section 4 that lacks a marquee threat to Świątek although Jovic and Fernandez are fresh off titles. That leaves Gauff with about as clean a road to the semifinal as any top seed in the draw — Tararudee, Osorio, Lys and Sun stand between her and the Bucsa/Badosa side of the bracket.

Q2 Pick: Coco Gauff
Q2 Sleeper: Paula Badosa

Quarter 3 – Deciding Factors

Nosková’s Slam Run vs. Shnaider’s Own Breakthrough

Both of these seeds project to collide in the Fourth Round before the real quarterfinal even arrives, and both are coming off the best stretches of their careers. Nosková is the reigning Wimbledon champion and a career-high No. 6, having also beaten Coco Gauff at Madrid and reached the US Open quarterfinals before a tiebreak loss to Sabalenka. Shnaider answered with her own breakthrough at Roland Garros, reaching her first major semifinal after erasing a 6-3, 4-1 deficit against world No. 1 Sabalenka in the quarterfinal. Their head-to-head is razor thin — Nosková won their only meeting 7-6(8), 4-6, 6-3 in Dubai last year — and this section looks built for a rematch.

Andreeva’s Wobble vs. Her No. 4 Seed

Mirra Andreeva is the highest seed anywhere in this quarter, backed by a career season that included the French Open title, two other trophies (Adelaide, Linz) and a 36-9 record. But the form has cooled fast — early exits at Bad Homburg and Wimbledon have followed the Roland Garros peak, and it’s fair to ask which version of Andreeva shows up on a surface and continent far from her best results this year.

Paolini’s Lost Season vs. the Section 6 Path

Jasmine Paolini’s 2026 has been a steep fall from her two major finals in 2024 — a foot injury has forced multiple withdrawals, ended her 101-week run in the top 10, and left her exiting in the third round of the US Open as a 19th seed. With Paolini diminished and Andreeva unsteady, Section 6 is softer at the top than its seeding suggests, which puts real pressure on Nosková or Shnaider to close out Section 5 in good shape and take advantage on the other side of the draw.

Q3 Pick: Linda Noskova
Q3 Sleeper: Diana Shnaider

Quarter 4 – Deciding Factors

Muchová’s Banner Year vs. a Possible Osaka Rematch

Karolína Muchová is having the best season of her career — a maiden WTA 1000 title in Qatar, a first grass-court title in Bad Homburg, and a Wimbledon final she lost to fellow Czech Linda Nosková in three sets, pushing her to a career-high No. 6. The catch: her last tournament ended with a straight-sets loss to Naomi Osaka in the US Open quarterfinals, and Osaka is the No. 12 seed lurking on the other side of this same section, projected to meet Muchová again in the Round of 16.

Potapova’s New Colors vs. Her Sabalenka Problem

Now representing Austria after switching allegiances in December, Anastasia Potapova has quietly put together her best season — a win over Coco Gauff at the French Open, a historic run to the Madrid semifinals as a lucky loser, and a fourth-round finish at the US Open. But her projected obstacle before the real quarterfinal is Aryna Sabalenka, who’s beaten her all three times they’ve played, including a tight 7-6, 7-6 decision at this year’s Australian Open

Sabalenka’s Redemption Tour vs. Muchová’s Head-to-Head Edge

Sabalenka arrives in Beijing three weeks removed from a US Open final loss to Elena Rybakina — the match that also cost her the world No. 1 ranking after 92 weeks on top. She’s still the most accomplished player left in the bottom half, with a 33-5 record and titles at Brisbane, Indian Wells and Miami headlining her season. But if she and Muchová do meet in the quarterfinal, history favors the challenger — Muchová holds a 3-2 career edge in their head-to-head, including two of their last three meetings.

Q4 Pick: Karolina Muchova
Q4 Sleeper: Anastasia Potapova

Photo Credit: REUTERS