2026 NFL Win Total Team Odds, Best Bets & Market Analysis
With the 2026-27 NFL schedule released, one of the top futures markets during the offseason are the win totals for each team. While you may know who the opponents are before the schedule comes out, knowing when certain games are, where they’re being played, and when each team’s bye week is important information for evaluating which side to wager on.
The win total futures market evaluates whether a team will exceed or fall short of the line set for them. Some important statistics to look for when considering win totals include previous season one-score games, the overall strength of schedule, and offseason moves.
Below, I’ll examine all 32 NFL teams and provide my best bet, along with analysis as to how I arrived at that conclusion. Let’s dive in.
2026 NFL Win Total Odds
The Baltimore Ravens and Los Angeles Rams are tied for the highest win totals. As for the lowest, the Miami Dolphins and Arizona Cardinals are tied.
Looking up and down the list, the immediate surprise are the Los Angeles Chargers at +122 to go over 10.5 wins. They should, on paper, be a better team this season with their offensive line intact. Last year, they won 11 games with an astonishing 28 different offensive line combinations.
Another team that stands out to me are the Minnesota Vikings. This is a team that’s being slept on with Kyler Murray at the helm along with Kevin O’Connell and various weapons at his disposal, such as Justin Jefferson.
2026 NFL Win Total Analysis & Best Bets
Below I’ll analyze each team and cast my best bet for their win total. The list of teams is in alphabetical order. Odds listed below are Over prices.
Arizona Cardinals 2026 NFL Win Total Odds, Analysis & Best Bet
2026 Win Total:
Best Bet: Under
The biggest question mark surrounding the Cardinals this season is the quarterback position. Will it be Jacoby Brissett, Gardner Minshew or Carson Beck? It could even be Brendan Sorsby in the Supplemental Draft following the NCAA’s denial of his request to come back to college football.
Last season, Brissett played fine completing 64.9% of his passes for 3,366 yards, 23 touchdowns, and eight interceptions across 12 starts. However, he went just 1-11. The team has a new head coach in Mike LaFleur that’ll certainly be more offensive-minded. This will help with the overall production especially with Michael Wilson, Marvin Harrison Jr., Trey McBride, and No. 3 overall pick Jeremiyah Love.
They won three games last season, and have made some improvements including bringing in guard Isaac Seumalo, running back Tyler Allgeier, and receiver Kendrick Bourne. However, a lot of these improvements are offset by how difficult their schedule is. The only plausible wins I see are the Las Vegas Raiders, New Orleans Saints, New York Jets, Washington Commanders, and New York Giants. That would be five wins, but I’m not sold they’ll beat all of them.
Atlanta Falcons 2026 NFL Win Total Odds, Analysis & Best Bet
2026 Win Total:
Best Bet: Under
The Falcons didn’t have a 2026 first-round pick after trading it during the 2025 NFL Draft to acquire James Pearce Jr., but I still liked their first two selections in Avieon Terrell and Zachariah Branch. Terrell now gets to play alongside his brother A.J., and Branch adds a dynamic Tavon Austin-like presence to a receiving corps featuring Drake London, Kyle Pitts, and the versatile Bijan Robinson.
However, I have many questions about the quarterback position. Michael Penix Jr. hasn’t really worked out too well and has torn his left ACL. Until he gets back, it’ll be Tua Tagovailoa who is one of the most turnover-prone quarterbacks in the league. The addition of head coach Kevin Stefanski should help the offense, but it’s hard for me to trust these signal-callers.
Baltimore Ravens 2026 NFL Win Total Odds, Analysis & Best Bet
2026 Win Total:
Best Bet: Over
Coming off an 8-9 season, expect the Ravens to improve. To be honest, I initially thought 12 wins might be a bit lofty.
After looking over the schedule, the opponents I’m “afraid” of for the over would be the Dallas Cowboys, Cincinnati Bengals, Buffalo Bills, Jacksonville Jaguars, Los Angeles Chargers, Houston Texans, and Pittsburgh Steelers.
To reach 12 wins, that would mean five losses. If they split with the Steelers and Bengals, that would allow for three more losses among the Cowboys, Bills, Jaguars, and Chargers.
The additions of Ja’Kobi Lane and Elijah Sarratt to the receiving corps are adequate, but other additions such as guard Vega Ioane in the NFL Draft and guard John Simpson in free agency should help protect Lamar Jackson more.
Buffalo Bills 2026 NFL Win Total Odds, Analysis & Best Bet
2026 Win Total:
Best Bet: Over
The Bills are 14th in strength of schedule, so it’ll be slightly more difficult than in 2025 when they were ranked 2nd. Still, there are plenty of winnable games if you believe that the New England Patriots will take a step back.
Some of their top opponents include the Texans, Detroit Lions, Chargers, Los Angeles Rams, Ravens, Chicago Bears, Green Bay Packers, and Kansas City Chiefs.
The trade for wide receiver D.J. Moore may not be an earth-shattering move, but they definitely needed a more consistent option as their WR1. Moore can serve in that role and I also love the addition of Skyler Bell in the fourth round.
Overall, their 2026 draft was solid. Adding T.J. Parker will be a huge win if he can get back to his 2024 Clemson form.
Carolina Panthers 2026 NFL Win Total Odds, Analysis & Best Bet
2026 Win Total:
Best Bet: Under
The Panthers had a solid 2025-26 season, going 8-9 and making the playoffs. Despite finishing in first place, they have the third-hardest schedule this upcoming season. Their schedule includes opponents such as the Bears, Lions, Philadelphia Eagles, Packers, Broncos, Ravens, and Seahawks.
Adding Monroe Freeling in the first round was a nice pick, but he’s still not a fully developed left tackle. Also, Lee Hunter is a nice defensive lineman but more of a run-stuffer. Chris Brazzell II is a prospect that I have high hopes for, but we’ll see if he can be a wide receiver that materializes.
Free agent additions like Jaelan Phillips and Devin Lloyd are nice, too, but this schedule is going to be tough.
Chicago Bears 2026 NFL Win Total Odds, Analysis & Best Bet
2026 Win Total:
Best Bet: Over
While I loved the value of safety Dillon Thieneman at No. 25 overall in the 2026 NFL Draft and understood the need for center Logan Jones at No. 57 overall, I’m not terribly thrilled with any of the other draft picks. Sam Roush will help with blocking, and we’ll see how head coach Ben Johnson deploys Zavion Thomas.
As for free agency, I like the addition of Coby Bryant to help in the secondary. The Bears have a much more difficult schedule this year than last, facing the NFC North as well as teams like the Bills, Seahawks, Packers, Eagles, and Patriots.
The Bears managed 11 wins last season with a weaker schedule, but even with a harder road ahead of them, this team is good enough to get some wins against those teams listed above.
Cincinnati Bengals 2026 NFL Win Total Odds, Analysis & Best Bet
2026 Win Total:
Best Bet: Over
This is the year the Bengals must get over the hump. It’s all shaping up well as Joe Burrow is healthy and own the third-easiest schedule after finishing 6-11 last season. The team acquired Dexter Lawrence via trade to shore up the middle of their defensive line, they signed Boye Mafe to come off the edge and also drafted Cashius Howell for the same role.
Additionally, they took Tacario Davis (a big cornerback) to hopefully help with some physicality on the outside. Also, Connor Lew will be a fantastic center when he recovers from injury.
Cleveland Browns 2026 NFL Win Total Odds, Analysis & Best Bet
2026 Win Total:
Best Bet: Over
The Browns are a unique team in that, if you were to put even a middle-of-the-road starting quarterback under center for them, this would be a no-brainer “over” bet. They have a cast of quarterbacks including Deshaun Watson, Shedeur Sanders, Dillon Gabriel, and even Taylen Green.
If there was a prop bet for who would be their starter Week 1, I’d mostly lean toward Watson. It hasn’t worked out for Watson in Cleveland between the several injuries and overall bad play. That said, he does have a positive touchdown-to-interception ratio.
With him under center, I do believe he probably provides the most upside for the offense right now with new draft picks in K.C. Concepcion and Denzel Boston. Something else to consider is that the Browns defense is a legit unit. If Cleveland can get even halfway decent quarterback play, seven wins is a possibility.
Dallas Cowboys 2026 NFL Win Total Odds, Analysis & Best Bet
2026 Win Total:
Best Bet: Over
The bane of the Cowboys’ existence has been their defense, and they made some moves to rectify that. They signed safety Jalen Thompson and drafted several defensive players headlined by Caleb Downs and Malachi Lawrence. Under Brian Schottenheimer, I have faith in this offense as long as Dak Prescott, George Pickens, and CeeDee Lamb are on the field.
Their schedule is one of the harder ones this year, but considering some positive regression on the defensive side of things, lean Over for the Cowboys.
Denver Broncos 2026 NFL Win Total Odds, Analysis & Best Bet
2026 Win Total:
Best Bet: Over
The biggest question mark for the Broncos heading into the season is the health and status of Bo Nix. He broke a bone in his ankle in the AFC Divisional Round win over the Bills and missed the AFC Championship game as the Broncos lost to the Patriots with Jarrett Stidham under center.
There hasn’t been any news that makes me worried about Nix’s status for Week 1, so that’s one box that’s checked. From there, I liked that they retained some of their own free agents including running back J.K. Dobbins.
In the draft, they selected Tyler Onyedim to help replace the production of John Franklin-Myers. They also took Jonah Coleman (a bruising running back) to help pick up tough yardage and use in red-zone situations. However, the move that stands out is trading for former Miami Dolphins wide receiver Jaylen Waddle to pair with Courtland Sutton.
The Broncos won 14 games last year and upgraded their team, and rank 11th in terms of strength of schedule.
Detroit Lions 2026 NFL Win Total Odds, Analysis & Best Bet
2026 Win Total:
Best Bet: Over
The Lions should have a nice rebound season. They have the easiest schedule of any team with opponents like the Saints, Jets, Panthers, Cardinals, Dolphins, Falcons, and Giants. In free agency they added Cade Mays, Larry Borom, and D.J. Wonnum as some offensive and defensive line help.
In the draft, they selected Blake Miller as one of their book-end tackles of the future. Overall, their draft was a bit hit-and-miss but the addition of the physical linebacker Jimmy Rolder fits their style. Also, Keith Abney II is a player that fell way too far down into the fifth round.
Expect this offense, even without David Montgomery but still adding Isiah Pacheco, to be just fine.
Green Bay Packers 2026 NFL Win Total Odds, Analysis & Best Bet
2026 Win Total:
Best Bet: Under
The Packers had a heartbreaking end to their season with Micah Parsons getting injured, unable to be on the field during the postseason. However, it appears he’s on track to be ready in Week 1 and with him on the field, this defense is a bit of a nightmare.
To add to it, the Packers signed Javon Hargrave to a two-year deal and also brought in Benjamin St-Juste. In the draft, they took Brandon Cisse to also help their cornerback room. Something to consider, though, is that running back Josh Jacobs is dealing with serious felony charges as his status is unknown.
The Packers have a strong defense, but their offense (especially if Jacobs is on the shelf) leaves me with more questions than answers, even with Tucker Kraft on his way back.
Houston Texans 2026 NFL Win Total Odds, Analysis & Best Bet
2026 Win Total:
Best Bet: Under
The biggest question mark for the Texans this offseason is their offensive line and the need to improve it. C.J. Stroud was tied for 15th among all quarterbacks in pressures, but when pressured he was atrocious. He completed just 46.4% of his passes for 940 yards, 5 touchdowns, and 8 interceptions.
In addition to the offensive line, the other question is what’s wrong with Stroud? This offense does have Montgomery coming over from Detroit, and Tank Dell should be back. They drafted a guard in Keylan Rutledge in the first round. This may have been a bit of a reach, but his physicality is something the Texans desperately needed.
I love the Kayden McDonald selection, but after that, this draft class was a bit rough.
Indianapolis Colts 2026 NFL Win Total Odds, Analysis & Best Bet
2026 Win Total:
Best Bet: Under
Colts quarterback Daniel Jones “absolutely” expects to be healthy enough to play Week 1. Even if he does, any quarterback coming off an Achilles injury worries me. Part of Jones’ game is his rushing ability, and that could be massively impacted.
The team retained Alec Pierce which was their biggest offseason move. Understandably so as he and Jones developed chemistry. Outside of that, they brought in two edge rushers with Michael Clemson and Arden Key to help with their pass rush.
In the draft, I like the selection of C.J. Allen. He’s nothing flashy, but he’ll quarterback the defense. A.J. Haulcy will be a nice zone cornerback, and I’m excited to see how Seth McGowan does behind Jonathan Taylor. The Colts have an easier schedule than last season, but the worry is Jones’s health.
Jacksonville Jaguars 2026 NFL Win Total Odds, Analysis & Best Bet
2026 Win Total:
Best Bet: Under
The Jaguars had what I’d say is arguably the worst draft of any team, besides picking Emmanuel Pregnon in the third.
Other than that, I’d consider this offseason a net negative. They lost running back Travis Etienne, Lloyd went to the Panthers, Greg Newsome signed with the Giants and more. The team does have Jakobi Meyers, but last year was a complete disaster for Brian Thomas Jr.
A bad offseason, coupled with too many questions about one of the top receivers, is enough to make me lean under.
Kansas City Chiefs 2026 NFL Win Total Odds, Analysis & Best Bet
2026 Win Total:
Best Bet: Under
If you were to ask any random fan which team would rebound this year, it would be the Chiefs. Last year, they won just six games with a combination of a miserable offense and Patrick Mahomes’s injury.
This offseason, they traded away Trent McDuffie and lost Jaylen Watson in free agency, but did draft Mansoor Delane to help replace them.
They also selected Peter Woods, who had a dominant 2024 college season but didn’t show up in 2025. Their biggest signing was running back Kenneth Walker III.
Still, this team didn’t add any new weapons, and right now Rashee Rice is serving 30 days in jail and could be suspended again.
Las Vegas Raiders 2026 NFL Win Total Odds, Analysis & Best Bet
2026 Win Total:
Best Bet: Under
When you think of the Raiders now, the first thing that’ll come up is Fernando Mendoza. However, they do have Kirk Cousins under contract,and there may not be a rush to get the rookie on the field.
They also have a new offensive-minded head coach in Klint Kubiak. Either way, whoever Kubiak decides to start Week 1 will have to figure out who to pass the ball to outside of Brock Bowers. Could it maybe be Jack Bech? We’ll have to see, as the Raiders only addressed the wide receiver position by bringing in Jalen Nailor.
They did spend big on center Tyler Linderbaum, edge Kwity Paye, and linebackers Quay Walker and Nakobe Dean. I’ll be extremely curious to see if Jermod McCoy gets on the field, even later this season along with what Treydan Stukes looks like.
Los Angeles Chargers 2026 NFL Win Total Odds, Analysis & Best Bet
2026 Win Total:
Best Bet: Over
The Chargers have a fairly high 10 win total, but I’m buying into it. Their schedule should be easier this season, and if not for an obscene number of offensive line iterations, this team would’ve won many more games.
The pick of Akheem Mesidor helps solve their immediate need for pass rush, and the thought of Mike McDaniel with speedster Brenen Thompson at receiver is something I cannot wait to see. In free agency, they added center Tyler Biadasz to help shore things up and also brought in some depth with Cole Strange.
Los Angeles Rams 2026 NFL Win Total Odds, Analysis & Best Bet
2026 Win Total:
Best Bet: Over
We still need insight into whether or not wide receiver Puka Nacua, who checked himself into rehab earlier this offseason, will be suspended by the league. With that looming, it raises the question of whether the Rams may sign Tyreek Hill or Stefon Diggs to help fill the gaps.
In the draft, they took a pick for the future in Ty Simpson but also took Max Klare (a legit receiving tight end) and Keagen Trost who could compete for right tackle snaps by next season. Bringing in McDuffie and Watson were the two biggest moves as they struggled at cornerback last season. Now, they get a duo that’s used to playing together.
Even if Nacua misses time, I trust Matthew Stafford and Sean McVay.
Miami Dolphins 2026 NFL Win Total Odds, Analysis & Best Bet
2026 Win Total:
Best Bet: Under
The Dolphins will be a terrible football team in 2026. I love some of their picks like Chris Johnson and Chris Bell, but quarterback Malik Willis won’t have a solid target until Bell recovers from his knee injury that he suffered in November.
This defense will hardly be the best unit in the league despite adding Johnson, Jacob Rodriguez, and Kyle Lewis in the draft. This offense will likely be anemic unless De’Von Achane can will them to wins.
Minnesota Vikings 2026 NFL Win Total Odds, Analysis & Best Bet
2026 Win Total:
Best Bet: Over
The Vikings are another team, like the Chargers, that I’m excited about. It simply didn’t work out for Murray in Arizona. Minnesota, though, offers him a chance with O’Connell and players like Justin Jefferson and Jordan Addison to throw to. Murray could be in for a resurgence. Remember, this team won nine games with a mix-and-match of quarterbacks including J.J. McCarthy.
New England Patriots 2026 NFL Win Total Odds, Analysis & Best Bet
2026 Win Total:
Best Bet: Under
Perhaps I’m biased because of how closely I’ve followed the Mike Vrabel scandal involving Dianna Russini, but I believe this will be a massive black cloud over the team this season. This is a story that simply isn’t going to go away, and it’s going to be magnified even further on the opening night of the season as the Patriots face the Seahawks in a rematch of Super Bowl 60.
As for the team on the field, they brought in some upside signings with Alijah Vera-Tucker and Romeo Doubs but they let go of Diggs. They also lost other players like K’Lavon Chaisson, Khyiris Tonga, and Jaylinn Hawkins.
In the draft, they took a developmental tackle in Caleb Lomu in the first round, but added a great pass rusher in the second in Gabe Jacas. Something else to consider is that they had the easiest schedule in the NFL last season. This year it’s ranked 12th, so a slightly above-average one.
Without Diggs, an impactful first-round pick, and this Vrabel stuff, I’m going to lean Under.
New Orleans Saints 2026 NFL Win Total Odds, Analysis & Best Bet
2026 Win Total:
Best Bet: Over
The Saints made quite a few moves this offseason to help set up second-year quarterback Tyler Shough for success. They signed Etienne to a four-year deal to help improve their running game, whether that’s with or without Alvin Kamara.
In the 2026 NFL Draft, they selected perhaps the most talented receiver of the bunch in Jordyn Tyson at No. 8 overall. They also drafted tight end Oscar Delp at No. 73 overall and deep threat Bryce Lance at No. 136 overall.
They also selected Christen Miller, a defensive tackle out of Georgia, to help out their run defense while also signing offensive lineman David Edwards to protect Shough.
The Saints offense consists of Shough, Etienne, Chris Olave, Tyson, Juwan Johnson, and Delp. That’s a fairly solid offense while the defense, especially the pass rush, was solid last season.
New York Giants 2026 NFL Win Total Odds, Analysis & Best Bet
2026 Win Total:
Best Bet: Over
The Giants did plenty this offseason, starting with new head coach John Harbaugh. They traded away Dexter Lawrence for the No. 10 overall pick and with their two first-round picks took the insane athlete that is Arvell Reese and offensive tackle Francis Mauigoa, a plug-and-play right tackle.
Later in the draft, they took a man-coverage corner in Colton Hood and a big-bodied receiver in Malachi Fields to help out Malik Nabers and Jaxson Dart.
In free agency they added Isaiah Likely, Tremaine Edmunds, and other key role players like Greg Newsome, Ar’Darius Washington, Calvin Austin, and Darnell Mooney. I’m a believer in Harbaugh getting the most out of this team, especially with the bevy of pass rushers they have.
New York Jets 2026 NFL Win Total Odds, Analysis & Best Bet
2026 Win Total:
Best Bet: Under
After trotting out Justin Fields and others as their quarterbacks in 2025, the Jets brought in veteran Geno Smith to try to help solidify the position. He spent the 2025 season with the Raiders, and it didn’t go well. He completed 67.4% of his passes but only for 3,025 yards, 19 touchdowns, and 17 interceptions across 15 games.
He’ll be in a much better situation with players like Garrett Wilson, Omar Cooper Jr., Kenyon Sadiq, Breece Hall, Adonai Mitchell, and Mason Taylor at his disposal. I also think the Jets have a more than solid offensive line, too.
I do question if Smith can keep the ship steady, though. They have the fifth-easiest schedule, but were getting “+” odds on the under for the Jets so we’ll try luck there.
Philadelphia Eagles 2026 NFL Win Total Odds, Analysis & Best Bet
2026 Win Total:
Best Bet: Under
In the first round of the 2026 NFL Draft, the Eagles drafted my personal top receiver in Makai Lemon. This signals that the departure of A.J. Brown is imminent, but it’ll happen after June 1 to mitigate some of the dead cap the Eagles would incur in trading him.
After Lemon, they selected Eli Stowers and Markel Bell. Stowers is a phenomenal athlete, but I’m not sure how much of a role he’ll play as a rookie. As for Bell, he’s a 6’9” mountain of an offensive tackle who’ll provide some depth.
Something else the Eagles did this offseason was bring in former NFL quarterback Sean Mannion as their offensive coordinator. While I like the addition of Lemon and Mannion could potentially right the ship, this Eagles offense is one I’ll need to see to believe.
Pittsburgh Steelers 2026 NFL Win Total Odds, Analysis & Best Bet
2026 Win Total:
Best Bet: Over
One last ride with Aaron Rodgers under center. Last season, the Steelers went 10-7 under head coach Mike Tomlin and in Rodgers’ first season with the team. Tomlin has stepped away from coaching and in comes Mike McCarthy, the coach Rodgers won a Super Bowl with.
Compared to last year, this team has only gotten better. They traded for wide receiver Michael Pittman, drafted Germie Bernard, and drafted two offensive linemen in Gennings Dunker and Max Iheanachor.
They also took running back and slot receiver Eli Heidenreich, who could be a Christian McCaffrey-lite. Rodgers didn’t really push the ball downfield at all, but with McCarthy under center and more weapons in an improved offensive line, I’m a believer in this team to get back to 10 wins.
San Francisco 49ers 2026 NFL Win Total Odds, Analysis & Best Bet
2026 Win Total:
Best Bet: Over
The 49ers dealt with so many injuries last season including to edge rusher Nick Bosa. In addition to him coming back from injury, they’ve brought in wide receiver Mike Evans, linebacker Dre Greenlaw, and drafted De’Zhaun Stribling.
Evans was a nice addition, but he is aging and was injured most of last season. The offseason moves aren’t exactly exciting outside of Evans, assuming he can stay healthy. However, this team found a way to win 12 games despite all the injuries. Kyle Shanahan is a coach I can trust, and at 10.5, I’ll take my chances on the Over with a much easier schedule than last season.
Seattle Seahawks 2026 NFL Win Total Odds, Analysis & Best Bet
2026 Win Total:
Best Bet: Over
While the Seahawks lost some defensive back talent in free agency, they replenished it with draft picks Bud Clark, Julian Neal, Andre Fuller, and Michael Dansby.
Speaking of draft picks, they also replaced Walker III with former Notre Dame running back Jadarian Price. He’ll provide plenty of explosiveness and pair well with Zach Charbonnet when he returns from injury.
This team is mostly the same, though the one concern is no longer having Klint Kubiak as their offensive coordinator. He’s now the head coach of the Raiders. With all that said, 11 wins is more than doable based on what we saw from this team last season.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 2026 NFL Win Total Odds, Analysis & Best Bet
2026 Win Total:
Best Bet: Under
The Buccaneers offensive live had a lot of issues protecting quarterback Baker Mayfield last season. They also had injuries at wide receiver, saw their veteran linebacker retire, and couldn’t rush the passer. Needless to say, the “to-do” list this offseason was extensive.
They addressed some of that. In free agency, they signed linebacker Alex Anzalone, running back Kenneth Gainwell, defensive tackle A’Shawn Robinson, and others.
In the draft they took one of the best pass rushers 2026 had to offer in Rueben Bain Jr. followed by linebacker Josiah Trotter, wide receiver Ted Hurst, cornerback Keionte Scott, and more.
They addressed linebacker, got a nice pass rusher, and got a solid receiver who may need a bit more time to develop in Hurst. There are a lot of questions I still have with this team, including how they plan to protect Mayfield and whether or not Chris Godwin can stay on the field.
Tennessee Titans 2026 NFL Win Total Odds, Analysis & Best Bet
2026 Win Total:
Best Bet: Under
The Titans made a flurry of transactions this offseason. They brought in new head coach Robert Saleh, traded for edge rusher Jermaine Johnson, signed wide receiver Wan’Dale Robinson, Franklin-Myers, cornerback Alontae Taylor, cornerback Cordale Flott and tight end Daniel Bellinger.
They also drafted wide receiver Carnell Tate, edge rusher Keldric Faulk, linebacker Anthony Hill JR., running back Nicholas Singleton, and more.
They did a lot. They added more options to make second-year quarterback Cam Ward’s life easier in taking Tate and signing Robinson. They also brought in an offensive coordinator who should help Ward in former Giants head coach Brian Daboll.
While they made a lot of moves, I’m still not convinced this will necessarily lead to wins right away. Five or six wins is doable, which would be an improvement from last season but that’s still under their line.
Washington Commanders 2026 NFL Win Total Odds, Analysis & Best Bet
2026 Win Total:
Best Bet: Under
The Commanders were another team that made a lot of big-name signings this offseason, headlined by inking edge rusher Odafe Oweh to a four-year, $96 million deal. They also brought in tight end Chig Okonkwo, linebacker Leo Chenal, defensive lineman Tim Settle, cornerback Amik Robertson, and more.
They added more to the defense with Sonny Styles at No. 7 overall. With their next pick at No. 71 in the third round, they took an NFL-ready receiver in Antonio Williams. They also brought in a new offensive coordinator, David Blough.
The Commanders looked fantastic in Jayden Daniels’ rookie season, but last year he played only seven games and went 2-5. The addition of Deebo Samuel was average and didn’t quite live up to expectations.
Their run defense was also one of the worst in the NFL. With some of these additions, specifically Styles, they’ll hope to see that improve. Still, they have a tough schedule this upcoming season after going 5-12 in 2025.
Photo Credit: AP/Chris O’Meara
