Atlanta Falcons Super Bowl Odds 2022
After a tumultuous year, the Falcons will look to have a steadier 2021 NFL season. Last season began with five consecutive losses, with a few of those being inexplicable fourth-quarter collapses. After five games, Atlanta parted ways with its general manager and head coach on the same day in October. Once that was finished, Raheem Morris was named the interim head coach, where he led the Falcons to a 4-7 record during his tenure. Interestingly enough, the Falcons started the season losing their first five games, as mentioned earlier. They then went 4-2 over their next six games and followed that with an additional five-game losing streak. The Falcons will hope to bounce back and fight for a playoff spot amongst an exceptionally competitive NFC South division this year. However, it will take a much improved defensive effort for any hopes at clinching a playoff spot in 2021.
Atlanta Falcons Odds and Win Totals
Falcons Odds to Win Super Bowl 2022:
Falcons Win Total Over:
Falcons Odds to Win Division:
Falcons Odds to Win Conference:
Falcons Odds to Make Playoffs:
The loss of superstar wide receiver Julio Jones to an unexpected trade demand likely shocked Falcons fans. Many people expected the Falcons to blow up the whole roster last year after losing their first five games, but that did not happen. Instead, they fired their head coach and general manager and kept Julio Jones and Matt Ryan. Regardless, the Falcons obliged to Jones’ request and shipped him to the Tennessee Titans. This year, the Falcons will return Calvin Ridley and Matt Ryan as their key offensive players in an effort to improve their record and morale.
Outside of the Julio Jones trade, the Falcons didn’t make many moves in the off-season. They needed to beef up their secondary as it was among the worst in the NFL last year. Atlanta’s most crucial moves revolved around its offense when it drafted highly-touted tight-end Kyle Pitts and signed power running back Mike Davis.
Atlanta also made a coaching change by hiring former Tennessee Titans offensive coordinator Arthur Smith. Smith was at the helm during the resurgence of the Titans’ offense through Henry and Tannehill. He will give the Falcons an opportunity to be a relevant team again.
Atlanta Falcons Odds Analysis
Atlanta currently has odds of to win the Super Bowl and odds of to win the NFC South. Sportsbooks also are leaning more towards the Falcons to miss the playoffs with odds of . Lastly, the over on win total for the Falcons sits at . The loss of Julio Jones hurts their already marginal odds of having a solid season; however, the addition of Kyle Pitts could hopefully minimize the damage. The Falcons could struggle in the NFC South as both the New Orleans Saints and Tampa Bay Buccaneers have better odds of winning their division.
While it is a stretch to put a future on the Atlanta Falcons to win the NFC South or the Super Bowl, it could make sense to bet on their win total. The Falcons have a relatively easy schedule outside of facing the New Orleans Saints and Tampa Bay Buccaneers twice. Their most winnable games include the New York Jets, Carolina Panthers (twice), Washington Football Team, New England Patriots, Detroit Lions, Philadelphia Eagles, Dallas Cowboys, Jacksonville Jaguars, New York Giants, San Francisco 49ers, and Miami Dolphins. They likely have no shot at beating the New Orleans Saints, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, or Buffalo Bills. Based on that schedule, I can see them winning eight or nine games without much stress, making the over on their win total a viable bet. However, despite potentially winning that many games, I do not see them securing a playoff spot because I predict the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and New Orleans Saints will be better teams, which would squash any chance of them winning their division. Additionally, it would complicate their chances at securing a wild card slot as well.
Reasons Why Atlanta Falcons Win the Super Bowl
Atlanta boasts an offense with limitless potential. Despite losing veteran star Julio Jones, the Falcons are still in great hands with Calvin Ridley and Matt Ryan. Additionally, Atlanta drafted the best tight-end prospect of all-time in Kyle Pitts and signed strong running back Mike Davis in free agency. These additions certainly make Atlanta an offense to fear as long as it executes better than last year. New coaching and management should also help the Falcons, especially with former Tennessee Titans offensive coordinator Arthur Smith, at the helm. Smith helped revive a previously non-existent Titans offense and created a resurgence of Ryan Tannehill’s career. Atlanta could be a surprise this year, but its defense is the central question surrounding this team. Last year, there were several games where the defense inexplicably blew games late in the fourth quarter. The Falcons will have to limit opposing offenses much more this year to have any type of chance at a Super Bowl.
Reasons Why Atlanta Falcons Don’t Win the Super Bowl
Atlanta just does not have the defensive talent to hold top offenses like the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Green Bay Packers, or Los Angeles Rams to manageable scores. Until the Falcons can contain elite offenses, they just won’t compete in enough games to make the playoffs, let alone a substantial playoff run. Last year, they allowed the fifth-most yards per game to opponents and had undoubtedly the worst secondary in the entire NFL. Unfortunately, Atlanta has not done near enough in the off-season to warrant a significant increase in its defensive performance. Thus, we will likely see another mediocre year on that side of the ball. Offensively, the loss of Julio Jones should also be substantial, despite the addition of phenom Kyle Pitts. Jones had over 1000 yards for the Falcons in seven seasons during his tenure in Atlanta, and it will be difficult to replace that in any capacity. There are also no guarantees that the Falcons can even beat out the Carolina Panthers for third in their division, and that thought scares me off of taking any Falcons’ future related to the playoffs.
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