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2026 US Open Tennis Betting Preview, Odds, Picks & Analysis

Check out the 2026 US Open tennis betting preview with futures odds, picks and draw analysis all provided with insights from Lineups.com.
Frances Tiafoe
Thom Cunningham Avatar
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The 2026 U.S. Open is finally here, the fourth and final tennis major event on the season. Below, we have everything you need to prepare for this huge event from betting odds, draw analysis and various resources for you to utilize.

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2026 US Open Information & Resources

2026 Men’s US Open Betting Odds

2026 Women’s US Open Betting Odds

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A Look At The Draw

Men’s Quarter 1

Alexander Zverev is the No. 1 seed and the top name in Quarter 1 with the withdrawal of Jannik Sinner. Despite losing three of five matches, he remains a top contender to consider with the draw laid out in front of him. He should reach the Round of 16 despite facing solid competition in his way, beginning with Lorenzo Sonego along with Alexei Popyrin and Alejandro Tabilo lurking below. He should still advance but the question lies in the Round of 16 with Arthur Fery and Lorenzo Muestti possibly waiting.

The bottom of Quarter 1 sees Alex De Minaur holding down the bottom with a potential dark horse in Botic Van De Zandschulp above him. BVDZ has covered the spread in seven of nine matches entering New York, but the big name to watch is Rafael Jodar. He gets Thanasi Kokkinakis in Round 1 and from there should thrive with Casper Ruud in his part of the section. An inevitable De Minaur vs. Jodar showdown would be fun, and the winner can seriously advance through the semifinals.

Quarter 1 Pick: Rafael Jodar +1200
Quarter 1 Sleeper: Alex De Minaur +6000
Quarter 1 Longshot: Arthur Fery +50000

Men’s Quarter 2

Felix Auger Aliassime at the top of Quarter 2, and if his health is in line then has no excuse not to go far in New York. His biggest setback from a deep run would be in Round 2 if he faces Karen Khachanov, not an easy opponent. Still, he should be the favorite along with the names underneath his section that include Jakub Mensik and Learner Tien. Of those two, only one can advance, so the odds to go further in this section again go to FAA rather than the field. However, the easy path in Quarter 2 lies below where the top name is Taylor Fritz.

While there are four names that could advance into the quarterfinals above, Fritz has a much easier path with Flavio Cobolli and Alexander Blockx as the top names for him to contend with. Given Fritz’s current form, along with his path compared to the top section of Quarter 2, it’s fair to assume he should be the favored pick to win the quarter. Cobolli is a capable underdog, shown in Cincinnati and Acapulco despite his hard court shortcomings.

Quarter 2 Pick: Taylor Fritz +1200
Quarter 2 Sleeper: Flavio Cobolli +3500
Quarter 2 Longshot: Learner Tien +6000

Men’s Quarter 3

Another American can benefit from the draw given, and for Quarter 3 that American would be Frances Tiafoe. While Daniil Medvedev is the top name in Quarter 3, he is playing below his elite level form and even lost as a wild card entry in an early Winston-Salem match. Tiafoe, on the other hand, is cruising through his Hard Court Swing with an easy path to the Round of 16. There, he would face Medvedev or others that could take Meddy out such as Rapahel Collignon, Terence Atmane and Arthur Rinderknech.

The name to be cautious of is actually Atmane, friends with Tiafoe on tour and winning their most recent head-to-head as familiar foes. Still, we’re playing the numbers and Tiafoe has a wonderful chance to advance into the quarterfinals where he would face… who?

Well, Novak Djokovic would be the name to circle – but he hasn’t been reliable as a betting choice all season with stamina issues in a ‘best-of-five’ set tournament. Matteo Berrettini is a great sleeper to consider, but the name to pick would probably be Brandon Nakashima. He has been on fire from Washington through Cincinnati, but a Round 3 meeting with either Andrey Rublev or Daniel Merida is a huge hurdle in his quest to the quarters.

Quarter 3 Pick: Frances Tiafoe +4000
Quarter 3 Sleeper: Brandon Nakashima +5000
Quarter 3 Longshot: Matteo Berrettini +10000

Men’s Quarter 4

Carlos Alcaraz returns to the tennis world as the No. 2 seed in Queens, at the very bottom of the men’s draw with solid opponents scattered throughout. It’s very uncertain how Carlitos will perform, and so he is going to be a fade for us because of the unpredictability in his form off an injury. Getting to the quarterfinals will be tough with Jenson Brooksby and Adam Walton as solid dark horses, but Tommy Paul lies above and would be the name to possibly take Alcaraz out.

However, Paul has to get through Alexander Bublik or a quietly dangerous Thiago Agustin Tirante to get there. The bottom of Quarter 4 is a mystery to say the least, mainly because of Carlitos’ form status. None of it might matter, though, with Arthur Fils and Ben Shelton at the top of Quarter 4 and frontrunners to win. While Fils is coming off a Cincinnati title run, he is our pick. Ride Shelton if you’d like, but his record in 1000 level events or higher this season hasn’t been great outside of Montreal and Melbourne.

Quarter 4 Pick: Arthur Fils +1200
Quarter 4 Sleeper: Tommy Paul +5000
Quarter 4 Longshot: Adam Walton +50000

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Women’s Quarter 1

Aryna Sabalenka limps in, metaphorically, to New York as the No. 1 seed. Plain and simple, she is struggling, while the draw in front of her doesn’t make things easier either. She gets Camila Osorio in Round 1, which Sabby should win but will not be easy. From there she has Barbora Krejcikova as a potential Round 3 opponent along with Diana Shnaider as her potential Round of 16 foe. This isn’t overly difficult, but with Sabby’s current form a spot of the tournament she can definitely trip at. If she gets to the quarterfinals she will likely face the winner of Linda Noskova and Marta Kostyuk.

There’s no reason Kostyuk and Noskova shouldn’t face off in the Round of 16, with Ann Li, Sloane Stephens and Clara Tauson as the top threats for them. Ektaterina Alexandrova could also spark a run out of nowhere, and has a recent win over Sabalenka. This will be a gauntlet to get through, but the most consistent player since the season began has been Kostyuk – more recently, Noskova. We’ll start there before taking Sabalenka although her question shouldn’t be can she win the quarter as much as it should be, can she win the US Open?

Quarter 1 Pick: Marta Kostyuk +1800
Quarter 1 Sleeper: Diana Shnaider +8000
Quarter 1 Longshot: Barbora Krejcikova +5000

Women’s Quarter 2

Jessica Pegula is at the top of Quarter 2 and a name many have circled to win. With the draw laid out in front of her, she has a real chance to lift the trophy. Her first two rounds aren’t walkovers with Gabriela Ruse and Sofia Kenin (and Venus Williams) but she really shouldn’t face too much pressure until the Round of 16 where Sorana Cirstea potentially waits. Cirstea and Pegula recently faced off in a three-set thriller, so the potential meeting could determine who wins Quarter 2. Cirstea should also have no issues going into week two unless Jasmine Paolini has a resurgence out of nowhere.

At the bottom of Quarter 2 lies opportunity for a few players, with Karolina Muchova returning from injury. If she can pick up where she left off, she is the easy value play of the entire tournament (men or women). Its a big question, though, but she did win a mixed doubles event so all signs point to her being fit enough to compete at a high level. If not, though, Elina Svitolina, Anna Kalinskaya and Emma Navarrro should be the looks. Caty McNally is also quietly playing well, and has a great path to potentially bust a few brackets. The name that has a great path with value worth testing is Kalinskaya, however.

Quarter 2 Pick: Jessica Pegula +1000
Quarter 2 Sleeper: Karolina Muchova +3000
Quarter 2 Longshot: Anna Kalinskaya +8000

Women’s Quarter 3

It’s hard to go against Gauff here, playing some of the best tennis in the world and fresh off a Cincinnati win. Everything about Coco is represented well in New York, playing under bright lights with a high energy crowd in big moments. Many players would fold but not Coco, she thrives which is evident with her past success here. The draw she has is also kind, depending on which Sara Bejlek shows up. The names above Coco are two friends in Alexandra Eala and Iva Jovic, with a potential showdown where the winner would (probably) face Gauff.

We’ll take Coco with how’s she playing, but the top part of Quarter 3 sees both Mirra Andreeva and Amanda Anisimova. Despite the former’s Roland Garros title, the latter seems to be peaking in form status. Andreeva also has a dark horse in Nikola Bartunkova to worry about, although she is still in Mexico playing as of this writing. While Gauff has to deal with Bejlek, Jovic and/or Eala, Anisimova has less to worry about in her way other than the possibility of Andreeva regaining her late-spring form.

Quarter 3 Pick: Coco Gauff +450
Quarter 3 Sleeper: Amanda Animisova +1600
Quarter 3 Longshot: Iva Jovic +5000

Women’s Quarter 4

Elena Rybakina is the top name in Quarter 4, placed at the very bottom of the draw. Her injury status is a huge question mark entering the event, and she only needs Sabby, Pegula and Coco to fail in winning the US Open in order to gain world No. 1 status. So is it worth to play? Only she knows, regardless it’s hard to trust winning the title with a foot injury and the motivation to claim world No. 1 without having to win one match. Also, Naomi Osaka is in her section and potential Round of 16 opponent. So we’ll pass on Fish for now, but Osaka is a great look and well rested.

The top of Quarter 4 is where the real contender lies, Iga Swiatek. She is playing the best tennis she has played since prior to the Olympics, and playing more aggressively then typically seen. A Swiatek that is ‘head-hunting’ for wins is dangerous to pick against, while her draw is very kind through the quarterfinals with Marie Bouzkova and Belinda Bencic as her top threats prior. This section should go through Iga and Naomi in that order, as it’s tough to see anyone else come through unless Rybakina is playing poker with her foot.

Quarter 4 Pick: Iga Swiatek +550
Quarter 4 Sleeper: Naomi Osaka +1000
Quarter 4 Longshot: Marie Bouzkova +10000

Photo Credit: REUTERS

About the Author
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Thom Cunningham is the Lineups.com News Editor and has been involved with sports media for almost two decades at Spectrum, VegasInsider.com, Oddschecker, VSiN and much more as a content producer - focused on the betting and gaming space over the last decade tracking insights, data analytics and covering various markets from the NFL to the Oscars. 

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