Super Bowl 60 Weather Forecast and Historical Weather Impact (Sunday, February 8)

After being played in a dome the last four years, the Super Bowl makes its return to the great outdoors with the Seattle Seahawks facing off against the New England Patriots in Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, California.

While California has been able to avoid the harsh winter conditions the rest of the country has been dealing with, weather will still play a factor with precipitation and wind gusts up to nearly 30 miles per hour, altering the game script for both offenses.

Below, we dig into how the forecasted weather can play a role in the big game, and we’ll cap it off with some weather-related Patriots vs. Seahawks props.

Super Bowl 60 Weather Conditions & Possible Impact

With Super Bowl 60 taking place outdoors, bettors will need to factor in the weather and how it may affect their bets. Here’s how it looks:

Temperature

Heading into Sunday night, the temperature is expected to be in the 50’s. This is not impactful one way or the other.

Precipitation

As of writing, there is a 60% chance of precipitation. While rain for the most part is overrated in regard to deciding the outcome, the amount of Havoc in the contest does increase, and it could slightly affect play calling. This could lessen or boost the probability of a player clearing the over on their player props.

Wind

The most impactful weather factor of the three, Super Bowl 60 calls for wind gusts up to 27 mph. This should affect both quarterbacks in their efforts to move the ball down the field. The quality of their deep throws will drastically decline, forcing them to rely on more intermediate passes.

In this case, opposing defenses can stack the box at a heavier rate to help neutralize offenses. When stacked, running backs are forced to combat against more bodies in the trenches, making it hard for them to generate Yards After Contact.

How to Incorporate the Weather Forecast Into Your Super Bowl Wagers

Should the current weather forecast hold, you might want to consider betting the under on most passing-related player props, as their play on the field will be affected if the wind plays any significant role. The quality of both quarterbacks’ throws will be lowered, making them overly reliant on screens and dump-offs for minimal gains.

Wide receivers and tight ends could suffer in the process, as they will have less time in the open field to create space from the opposing coverage. With more bodies near the point of contact, their chances of hauling in a Reception will decline.

Even with the weather having an impact on their performance, you still need to treat each player prop like a market. Should the total on someone’s yardage prop get steamed down lower than your projection, then the over may be worth a look even though they are playing in rough weather conditions. This may also create a middle opportunity if the weather clears up before kick-off, allowing you to buy back on the under should the total on the prop climb back up.

Weather-Related Super Bowl Predictions to Consider

Drake Maye Under 221.5 Passing Yards (-113 at DraftKings)

Not only will Drake Maye be forced to weave the ball through Seattle’s tight coverage, but the wind will also alter the trajectory of his throws, which may lead to a higher Disruption Rate. If you want to increase your exposure, escalator bet Maye’s Passing Yardage prop by placing smaller wagers on his alternate unders.

Rhamondre Stevenson Longest Rush Under 11.5 Yards (-110 at DraftKings)

With the Seahawks’ front seven leading the league in Def Rush DVOA and in Success Rate, negative regression looms large over Rhamondre Stevenson, as the width of his running lanes will be narrow. Especially if the Seahawks get the benefit of stacking the box, lowering Stevenson’s chances of generating an explosive run while fighting against more defenders at the line of scrimmage.

*All odds are current as of posting time on February 2, but are subject to change. 

More Super Bowl 60 Information

 

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Kody is a professional sports bettor and sports betting journalist with eight years of experience in the industry. He covers a wide range of sports, including NFL, NCAAF, NBA, NCAAB, NHL, MLB, and UFC. What started as a side gig has turned into a full time job, spending a majority of his time staring at odds screens and market movement. When away from the computer, Kody enjoys spending his time outdoors relaxing at the beach or golfing with friends.

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