\n
Just like in the NFL, NBA, or NHL draft markets, the betting odds will move if a prominent source is adamant about a particular selection. On Friday, ESPN insider Kiley McDaniel projected LSU’s Kade Anderson as the imminent pick for the Nationals, reporting that Rizzo’s departure has bumped up Anderson’s standing within the organization.
\nAs a result, his price tag rose from -275 to -300 at BetMGM Sportsbook. By converting these odds to implied probability, Anderson has a 75% chance of bringing his NCAA-best strikeout rate to the nation’s capital.
\nThe Tigers’ left-handed starter was named Most Outstanding Player at the 2025 College World Series, leading them to their second national championship in three years.
\nThen, there’s high school prospect Ethan Holliday, who is arguably the most notable player on the board because of his baseball bloodline. He’s the son of seven-time All-Star Matt Holliday and brother of Jackson, the Baltimore Orioles’ No. 1 overall pick in the 2022 MLB draft.
\nAs you’ll see later, the Colorado Rockies are an obvious landing spot for Holliday. In 1998, the franchise selected his father, who spent the first six years of his MLB career at Coors Field.
\n\n
No. 2 Pick | BetMGM Odds | \n
---|---|
Liam Doyle | -210 | \n
Kade Anderson | +200 | \n
Seth Hernandez | +1200 | \n
Ethan Holliday \n | +1200 | \n
Jamie Arnold | +2000 | \n
Aiva Arquette | +3000 | \n
A fellow southpaw, Doyle (-250) was dynamite for Tennessee last season, going 10-4 with a 3.20 ERA. In 19 games (17 starts), the National Pitcher of the Year manufactured 164 punch-outs in 95.2 innings. McDaniel projects the Angels to favor a well-oiled college standout over a budding high school prospect, such as the projected selection below.
\n\n
No. 3 Pick | BetMGM Odds | \n
---|---|
Seth Hernandez | +105 | \n
Aiva Arquette | +175 | \n
Jamie Arnold | +700 | \n
JoJo Parker \n | +1000 | \n
Liam Doyle | +1100 | \n
Ethan Holliday | +1700 | \n
The market’s expectation for this pick has fluctuated in the last 24 hours, with Hernandez’s odds shrinking from +200 down to +105, making him the favorite over Oregon State infielder Aiva Arquette. Hernandez reportedly hit 100 mph as a high school pitcher but usually sits in the mid-90s with his heater. His stuff can reach up to 96-98 mph.
\nSeattle is known for selecting high school players in the early rounds. Despite taking Jurrangelo (Mississippi State) at No. 15 overall last year, Hernandez, who is committed to Vanderbilt, appears increasingly likely to hear his name called by the Mariners.
\n\n
No. 4 Pick | BetMGM Odds | \n
---|---|
Ethan Holliday | -250 | \n
Jamie Arnold \n | +650 | \n
Aiva Arquette | +800 | \n
Seth Hernandez | +900 | \n
Liam Doyle | +1000 | \n
Kyson Witherspoon | +1200 | \n
Standing a few inches taller than his brother, Jackson, Ethan showcases more long-ball upside and has arguably the highest ceiling of any player in this draft. Although Colorado’s development system has struggled in recent years, he’ll reportedly transition from shortstop to third base.
\nIf the Rockies turn heads by passing on Holliday, Arquette is also an ideal fit. He was the centerpiece of the Beavers’ run to Omaha, Neb., during the College World Series. At 6-foot-5, he displays plenty of power in every direction, clubbing 19 home runs in his senior campaign.
\nNevertheless, Holliday’s -250 odds (71.4% implied probability) are telling at this point.
\n\n',protected:!1},excerpt:{rendered:"
Before the All-Star week begins in Atlanta, the 2025 MLB draft will commence on Sunday, July 13. The Washington Nationals…
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In the NBA, one injury can move a spread or total by multiple points. In baseball, a rested star hitter can shift the run total. In the NFL, an inactive RB reshapes the entire offense. Reacting quickly allows bettors to catch value before the market adjusts. Notifications and beat reporter alerts are essential tools. Success often comes from making timely decisions based on these real-time updates.
Across all sports, player-vs-position matchups are key. Think point guards vs. weak perimeter defenders in NBA, lefty/righty splits in MLB, or tight ends vs. soft zone coverage in NFL. Identifying these edges can help you dominate prop betting and DFS contests. Digging into recent opponent trends can expose soft spots in the defense. Many betting models account for these variables now. It's important to combine eye test with data when evaluating matchups.
Going beyond box scores gives you a major edge. In NBA, target players with high usage rate, true shooting %, and assist chances. For MLB, think xBA, wOBA, and barrel rate. In NFL, focus on air yards, target share, and red zone usage. Understanding these numbers helps you interpret player potential more accurately. These metrics allow you to anticipate which players may break out. Spotting statistical trends early gives you an upper hand in the market.
Second units win games—and bets. In the NBA, sixth men stepping up for injured starters can break slates. In MLB, late bullpen changes swing live bets. In NFL, backup RBs and WR3s gain value with the right opportunity. Understanding second-unit dynamics is critical for live betting. Rotation shifts often impact total points and pace. Following coaching tendencies helps predict in-game decisions.
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Success in Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) depends heavily on lineup news, matchups, and usage trends. Building around high-usage players in favorable spots, especially when injuries open up value plays, is a proven strategy for winning in both cash games and GPPs. Look for players expected to see 30+ minutes with high usage rates. Late-swap flexibility gives you an edge as news breaks. Correlating multiple players from the same game can also increase upside.
In DFS, look for high-usage roles across all leagues: NBA guards playing 35+ minutes, MLB hitters in top-3 lineup spots, or NFL RBs with goal-line work. In season-long fantasy, stay active on the wire by tracking role shifts, snap counts, and platoon changes weekly. Reading between the lines of coach-speak is also important. Target players in games with high implied totals. Prioritize opportunity over name recognition for long-term value.
Fast pace and high scoring matter in every sport. In NBA, target teams playing in back-to-backs or against fast-paced squads. In MLB, focus on park factors and weather. In NFL, shootout potential and dome games can swing lineups. Temperature and wind can dramatically alter outcomes. Tracking total movement gives you insight into betting sentiment. Game script also plays a crucial role in fantasy production.
Rolling averages and recent usage rates matter more than season stats. A WR seeing a surge in target share, a hitter with rising hard-hit rates, or a forward with a spike in shot volume—all signal opportunity. DFS winners monitor these trends across slates. Advanced splits reveal hidden advantages. Using tools that aggregate this data makes it more actionable. Being early to a breakout is key in tournaments.
In season-long leagues, lineup consistency, role security, and usage are key factors for long-term success. Tracking how coaches manage rotations and how players adapt to expanded roles is essential when managing waiver claims and trade value. Backup players often become league-winners. Usage spikes following injuries must be monitored weekly. Flexibility is key when managing multiple leagues.
Starters with stable minutes and roles bring week-to-week reliability. However, sixth men and deep-bench players can become fantasy gold mines when injuries hit. Monitor rotation trends, especially after the All-Star break when teams start managing workloads differently. Some role players shine in specific matchups. Depth charts change fast with performance swings. Data-driven projections help track shifting value.
Waiver wire success comes down to timing. When a starter is ruled out, add the next-man-up before he breaks out. Prioritize players who produce across multiple categories—like steals, blocks, and threes—even if they’re inconsistent scorers. Week-to-week roles can change based on injury or form. Being aggressive early in the week gives you an edge. Consider short-term streamers to patch injury holes.
Injuries, slumps, and coaching adjustments all affect rotations. Staying ahead of changes—especially in tight playoff races—can provide valuable roster upgrades. Following beat writers and using depth chart tools can give you a weekly edge. Players with versatile skill sets often gain more minutes. Watch how rookies are phased into rotations. Changes in tempo or playstyle often signal role shifts.
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Every sport has its iconic lineups. The 2016-17 Warriors, the 1927 Yankees, the 2007 Patriots—they defined dominance. On the flip side, “superteams” that never clicked (like the 2012 Lakers or 2011 Eagles) remind us that chemistry is just as important as talent. Lineup construction is both an art and a science. Historical trends offer lessons for modern roster building. We use the past to inform how to evaluate today’s teams.
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