NFL Comeback Player of the Year Odds 2026 | Comeback POY Futures

The NFL Comeback Player of the Year Award rewards the player with the most successful season following a lackluster year prior. This award is commonly given to players who are returning from an injury or simply improve statistically from the season prior. Regardless, this market requires knowledge of the year prior.

Below is a list of the latest betting odds for the 2026-27 NFL Comeback Player of the Year winner.

2026-27 NFL Comeback Player of the Year Award Winner Odds

For more picks and strategy on how to bet NFL futures, visit our NFL sports betting full guide.

2026-27 NFL Comeback Player of the Year Contenders

Current Best Bet: Kyler Murray (QB, Vikings)

Kyler Murray is the best bet for Comeback Player of the Year, and the value case is simple: Patrick Mahomes is the betting favorite at -300 after tearing his ACL and LCL last December and working his way back fast, but that price leaves almost no room for profit on a quarterback who was never really gone from the conversation. Murray is the sharper play at +1200 — he was released by the Cardinals, had to beat out rookie J.J. McCarthy just to win the Vikings’ job, then saw his debut cut short by a concussion that kept him out the following week. Since returning, he’s helped quarterback Minnesota to a 5-0 start, tied for the best record in the league, while completing over 68% of his throws. The on-field numbers (662 yards, 2 touchdowns, 2 picks through four starts) are modest, but the record and the redemption arc — unwanted in Arizona, QB1 in Minnesota, playing through a scary injury — are exactly the story voters reward, at more than double the payout of the favorite.

Patrick Mahomes (QB, Chiefs)

• Season Stats: 82/128, 1,037 yards, 9 TD, 2 INT

Michael Penix, Jr. (QB, Falcons)

• Season Stats: 52/77, 719 yards, 3 TD, INT

Kyler Murray (QB, Vikings)

• Season Stats: 69/101, 662 yards, 2 TD, 2 INT; 20 carries, 93 yards

2026-27 NFL Comeback Player of the Year Sleepers

George Kittle and Fred Warner remain the sleeper picks for Comeback Player of the Year, and both are doing it for the NFL’s hottest team. Kittle tore his Achilles in January’s playoff loss, was pushing to be ready for Week 1 at 32, and has been exactly that — 21 catches, 268 yards and 4 touchdowns through five games while playing every week, sitting at +2700. Warner’s story is even more dramatic: a gruesome ankle fracture and dislocation in Week 6 of 2025 required surgery and ended his season early, yet he came back to open 2026 by passing Patrick Willis for the franchise’s all-time tackles record in Week 1, and he’s racked up 50 tackles and 3 forced fumbles since at +3300. Both are long shots on the board, but they’re foundational pieces on a 49ers team that’s 5-0 and tied for the NFL’s best record — exactly the kind of high-profile health-and-production turnaround voters tend to reward.

George Kittle (TE, 49ers)

• Season Stats: 21 catches, 268 yards, 4 TD

Fred Warner (LB, 49ers)

• Season Stats: 50 tackles, 0.5 sacks, 3 FF, 3 PD

NFL Comeback Player of the Year Past Winners

Here is a list of the past NFL Comeback Player of the Year winners.

• 2025 – Christian McCaffrey (RB, SFO)
• 2024 – Joe Burrow (QB, CIN)
• 2023 – Joe Flacco (QB, CLE)
• 2022 – Geno Smith (QB, SEA)
• 2021 – Joe Burrow (QB, CIN)
• 2020 – Alex Smith (QB, WSH)
• 2019 – Ryan Tannehill (QB, TEN)
• 2018 – Andrew Luck (QB, IND)
• 2017 – Keenan Allen (WR, LAC)
• 2016 – Jordy Nelson (WR, GNB)
• 2015 – Eric Berry (S, KNC)