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AFL Preliminary Final Betting Trends, Player Props, Game Odds & Data

AFL Preliminary Final betting trends, player props, and game odds, with the data behind our picks for the matchup
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Thom Cunningham Avatar
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Below are the latest betting trends, insights and player prop data for the AFL preliminary final matches beginning on Friday, September 18, 2026.

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AFL Betting Trends, Player Props, Game Odds & Data for Preliminary Final

Swans vs. Dockers Game Trends

Venue Stats: Sydney Cricket Grounds – 194.4 ppg; 7-5 O/U

  • Sydney has won 12 of 13 home matches but is the underdog despite this, given a 40.8% chance to beat Fremantle.
  • Fremantle has failed to cover the spread in 10 of 11 interstate matches as a favorite. Fremantle faces Sydney as the favorite given a 51.5% chance to cover -`11.5-points.
  • Fremantle Over 5 straight road matches.

Hawks vs. Lions Game Trends

Venue Stats: Melbourne Cricket Grounds – 173.8 ppg; 21-28 O/U

  • Brisbane has won 7 straight matches when playing inside Melbourne Cricket Grounds on a Saturday. Brisbane is the favorite given a 55.6% chance to beat Hawthorn.
  • Hawthorn has dropped the spread in 4 straight preliminary final matches inside Melbourne Cricket Grounds given a 51.5% chance to cover +2.5-points against Brisbane.
  • Brisbane Over 8 of 9 finals.

AFL Goal Trends

  • Josh Treacy 3+ 5 of 6 road matches
  • Charlie Curnow 3+ 6 straight matches
  • Logan McDonald 3+ 3 straight home matches
  • Oscar Allen 3+ 3 of 4 matches inside MCG
  • Nick Watson 3+ 5 of 6 matches inside MCG
  • Tom Papley 2+ 3 prelim final matches
  • Charlie Cameron 2+ 10 straight matches at night
  • Zac Bailey 2+ 4 of 5 finals matches
  • Mabior Chol 2+ 5 of 6 home matches
  • Eric Hipwood 2+ 4 of 5 matches
  • Isaiah Dudley 1+ 10 straight interstate matches
  • Shai Bolton 1+ 6 straight matches vs team on winning streak
  • Billy Cootee 1+ 5 of 6 matches
  • Cam Rayner 1+ 13 straight matches in Victoria
  • Dylan Moore 1+ 7 straight matches vs BRI
  • Conor McKenna 1+ 8 of 9 road matches
  • Hugh McCluggage 1+ 5 straight matches in Victoria
  • Sam Draper 1+ 5 straight matches inside MCG
  • Will Ashcroft 1+ 4 straight matches inside MCG

AFL Disposal Trends

  • Errol Gulden 34+ 6 straight matches
  • Lachie Neale 31+ 8 of 9 matches inside MCG
  • Andrew Brayshaw 30+ 4 of 5 finals
  • Will Ashcroft 30+ 10 of 12 matches
  • Caleb Serong 28+ 3 straight matches vs SYD at night
  • Jai Newcombe 27+ 5 of 6 home matches
  • Jordan Clark 25+ 3 straight matches at night
  • Dayne Zorko 25+ 10 straight finals matches
  • Jarman Impey 25+ 7 of 8 home matches inside MCG
  • Hayden Young 22+ 4 of 5 matches vs SYD
  • Murphy Reid 20+ 13 straight matches at night
  • Jake Llooyd 20+ 9 straight matches vs Fremantle at night
  • Luke Ryan 20+ 5 straight finals
  • Cameron Mackenzie 20+ 7 of 8 matches inside MCG
  • Connor Macdonald 20+ 10 of 11 matches inside MCG
  • Josh Battle 20+ 4 straight matches inside MCG
  • Karl Amon 20+ 6 of 7 matches vs BRI

Photo Credit: REUTERS

About the Author
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Thom Cunningham is the Lineups.com News Editor and has been involved with sports media for almost two decades at Spectrum, VegasInsider.com, Oddschecker, VSiN and much more as a content producer - focused on the betting and gaming space over the last decade tracking insights, data analytics and covering various markets from the NFL to the Oscars. 

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