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Top Goal Picks: Pavel Dorofeyev , Mark Stone & Steven Stamkos
Anytime Goal Prop Predictions & Odds: NHL Best Bets for Friday, November 13th
Even though there are only two games dropping puck on Friday night, there are still a few Anytime Goal Scorer props worth targeting, including Pavel Dorofeyev who will have a great opportunity to score while locked into a battle against a defense that gives up Expected Goals at a high rate.
Later in the night, we turn our attention towards Mark Stone and Steven Stamkos with the two trading scores while taking advantage of a pair of back lines that struggle to defend the crease. Before Friday night’s double header gets underway, check out our NHL betting trends page for the latest daily game odds, insight, and data.
Pavel Dorofeyev (Rangers vs. Canucks) Goal Odds
After a slow start to the year, Pavel Dorofeyev has started to get into a groove, scoring four Goals in his last eight starts. Even during his skid, Dorofeyev has been able to consistently pressure the net, averaging 0.42 Expected Goals while generating three Shots on Goal per game.
Heading into Friday night’s contest against the Vancouver Canucks, Dorofeyev will be able to continue to light the lamp by ambushing a back line that ranks near dead last in Expected Goals Against in All Situations. Especially with Leevi Merilainen incapable of standing his ground while trying to wall off a high volume of shots towards the net, giving up 3.41 Goals Against per game.
In 5-on-4 Situations, Dorofeyev has been the engine that drives the Rangers offense, leading the first unit in Expected Goals with an average of 0.12 per penalty. With the Canucks struggling to keep a defender on his hip, Dorofeyev will be able to generate a higher volume of shot attempts near the crease, improving the quality of his Shots on Goal.
Mark Stone (Golden Knights vs. Predators) Goal Odds
After re-tooling the front line in the offseason, the Vegas Golden Knights have been efficient, ranking 10th in Expected Goals For. Mark Stone’s production has played a key role in the Golden Knights success on offense, averaging 0.35 Expected Goals per game.
In a favorable matchup against the Nashville Predators, Stone will be able to snap his four game scoreless streak by attacking a back line that underwhelms in coverage per their bottom ten mark in Expected Goals Against in 5-on-5 Play. Even with Juuse Saros masking Nashville’s defense with his individual production in net, the Golden Knights dynamic offense will force the Preds goalie to scramble between the pipes, making him vulnerable to getting beat on the outside.
When in the Power Play, Jack Eichel pairs with Mitch Marner in the back line, allowing Stone to survey the ice while playing off the puck. When a lane in the middle opens up, Stone will be able to blitz through the Preds gap in coverage and isolate Saros in front of the net, increasing his chances of scoring.
Steven Stamkos (Predators vs. Golden Knights) Goal Odds
On the other side of the ice, Steven Stamkos has been a steady source of production in the Preds front line, averaging 0.38 Expected Goals while rifling off 2.47 Shots on Goal per game.
Against the Golden Knights, Stamkos will be able to help the Preds match their output by exploiting a back line that quietly ranks well below league average in Expected Goals Against From High Danger Shots. With Vegas struggling to keep the puck out of the middle of the zone, Adin Hill will be forced to pull away from the net, widening Stamkos’ shooting lanes.
The Golden Knights inability to wall off shots near the net will also make it easier for Stamkos to convert his shot attempts into Shots on Goal in the Power Play, leading to an uptick in his usage rate.
Photo Credit: REUTERS
