2025 Genesis Scottish Open Odds & Betting Preview: Early Bets & Picks, Including Massive Longshot
Many upper-echelon golfers begin their journey across the pond for the UK Swing. The swing kicks off with the 2025 Genesis Scottish Open odds. A new age – rebirth, if you will – of elite competition is in store at the Renaissance Club, where the best of PGA Tour and DP World Tour will clash in Scotland.
Just three years ago marked the genesis of a partnership between the PGA Tour and DP World Tour. It paid immediate dividends, with a links-style course offering a perfect week of prep before the Open Championship. The partnership seems a logical one, as the Scottish Open falls the week prior to the Open Championship and attracts major contenders for a tune-up. In its first three years, it’s produced tantalizing drama, with Xander Schauffele, Rory McIlroy, and Scotland’s own Robert MacIntyre notching victories in the lead-up to The Open.
I go by @PGATout on X, which literally means that my golf expertise begins and ends with the tour. That creates a blind spot with a field that features 75 DP World Tour players and no ShotLink data. However, six years of course history might reveal trends to guide us toward a player pool for both tours.
In true Scottish links fashion, the elements dictate how difficult the course plays. All things equal, we should expect in-form ball-strikers with plus distance, links experience, and crafty short games to rise to the top.
Let’s review the key facts and information about the Renaissance Club ahead of the 2025 Genesis Scottish Open. I’ve also compiled a full list of my Genesis Scottish Open predictions.
2025 Genesis Scottish Open Odds
Click on any of the odds below to place a bet. For more sportsbook promos, we highly recommend checking out the best sports betting sites.
Genesis Scottish Open: Field At A Glance
A loaded field sits in store, unlike anything we’ve seen before at the Scottish Open or any other DP World Tour event prior to 2022. Now co-sanctioned by two prominent professional tours, the field is composed of the top 75 players from each.
In what may prove to be the most top-heavy non-signature Event of the season, eight of the OWGR top 10 will be in Scotland to tee it up this week. Keegan Bradley and Russell Henley are the only exceptions missing. Scottie Scheffler is back to headline this week after skipping the 2024 Genesis Scottish Open.
He is joined by the 2023 champion, Rory McIlroy, and the 2022 victor, Xander Schauffele, to represent the top favorites this week. Collin Morikawa, Justin Thomas, Tommy Fleetwood, Ludvig Aberg, and Viktor Hovland round out a star-studded cast of contenders this week.
From the DP World Tour side, Laurie Canter, Thriston Lawrence, Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen, Shaun Norris, Kristoffer Reitan, Haotong Li, Niklas Norgaard, Martin Couvra, Jordan Smith, and John Parry represent the top 10 players in this event in terms of OWGR ranking. Eugenio Chacarra will notably make his first career start in a PGA Tour-sanctioned event since breaking off from LIV.
The splintering of the game across tours has never been made more apparent than at this event. In its first two years as a co-sanctioned event, the Scottish Open served as a barometer for how the top players on the DP World Tour measure up against the tour’s best. Three years later, several DP World Tour golfers moved to full-time on tour after playing in the Scottish Open.
As the best DP World Tour players continue to funnel stateside, a field half-full of DP World Tour players begins to feel watered down.
Robert McIntyre returns home to defend his impressive 2024 victory. He’s been a man on a mission when playing in front of his home Scottish fans, finishing runner-up to McIlroy the year prior. In addition to MacIntyre and McIlroy, Schauffele and Aaron Rai complete the list of past champions at The Renaissance Club to chase a repeat. The 2021 Scottish Open champion, Min Woo Lee, has elected not to return this week.
Introduction To Renaissance Club
This modern Scottish links course was established in 2008. The Tom Doak design quickly became home to the Scottish Open on the DP World Tour, European Senior Tour, and Ladies European Tour. This year marks the sixth consecutive time the Scottish Open is played here. In its third year as a PGA co-sanctioned event, it boasts a stronger field than what has recently been seen.
The Renaissance Club is one of Doak’s most notable achievements in his famed architectural career. On the PGA Tour, we’ve grown familiar with his work on the redesigns of Memorial Park and St. George’s. Subtle intricacies of the greens define his design philosophy. That should reward players with sharper, shorter games. At the Renaissance Club, PGA Tour players face a unique test that their DP World Tour counterparts are all too familiar with – the randomness of the elements on slower, fescue-based greens.
Just outside of Edinburgh, the Renaissance Club sits exposed on the North Sea coastline. That makes it susceptible to significant swings in conditions from day to day, similar to what we’ve seen at the Open Championship. During calm weather, in-form players can easily score low here, as evidenced by a winning mark of -22 in 2019.
When wind and rain become a factor, however, we’ve seen that mark slashed in half, as Rai showed the next year. In 2022, this event was a grind with heavy winds, as Schauffele won at just -7. 2023 produced a mixed bag of fair and difficult weather conditions, leading to a winning mark of -15 from McIlroy. Conditions were moderate at last year’s Genesis Scottish Open, with MacIntyre winning at -18.
Predicting the weather’s influence this early in the week is a challenge. But, it’s crucial to monitor the severity of the conditions, particularly if they create a wave advantage over the first two days.
Golf Artistry On Tap?
After jumping out to a solo first-round lead at the 2022 Genesis Scottish Open with a 61, Cameron Tringale delivered what may be my favorite golf line of all time: “It’s fun to be an artist out here”.
Cameron “The Artist” Tringale proceeded to not be an artist for the rest of the tournament, failing to shoot under par the next three days and finishing T6 for the tournament. He was never heard from again.
If you’ve ever played golf with me since July 2022, you’ve probably heard me drop a “it’s fun to be an artist out here” whenever I hit a chip shot in the general vicinity of the hole (which isn’t that often, but still). Tringale won’t be in the field this week, but his words should be a reminder that creative artistry can be rewarded on the open links of the Renaissance Club.
Course Breakdown
As a modern links course set in golf’s birthplace, the Renaissance Club differs from the usual PGA Tour setup but brings a refreshing change of pace. The course measures 7,237 yards (6,669 meters for you European purists) and plays to a par 70 with a unique mix of three par 5s, five par 3s, and ten par 4s.
Links-style courses are designed to play firmer in the fairways, tempting players to use the ground more often for increased rollout, especially when winds are up. That should give an advantage to players familiar with high winds and extreme weather who are generally comfortable flying the ball to different trajectories depending on the conditions.
The rollouts have kept shorter hitters like Tom Kim, Aaron Rai, and David Lingmerth in contention over the last four years. But the presence of three reachable par 5s, a drivable par 4, and six additional par 4s over 450 yards should give an advantage to the longer hitters. At the 2021 Scottish Open, all three players in the playoff (Min Woo Lee, Matt Fitzpatrick, and Thomas Detry) ranked top-30 in Driving Distance entering the week. In each of the last three years, at least 10 of the top 15 finishers were above average in Driving Distance for the week.
The top 10 players in Driving Distance entering this week are: Marco Penge, Rasmus Hojgaard, Sam Bairstow, Aldrich Potgieter, Chris Gotterup, Rory McIlroy, Niklas Norgaard, Jesper Svnesson, Nicolai Hojgaard, and Keith Mitchell.
- Genesis Scottish Open Odds: Best Golf DFS Picks
Course History & Best Comparisons
We can best understand how this course will play by looking backward. While the Scottish Open has drawn a smattering of the TOUR’s best to play at the Renaissance Club in 2019 and 2021 to prep for the Open Championship, DP World Tour players have comprised most of the fields. That makes for a great reference point for which “unknowns” from across the pond have found success. While leaderboards have been littered with the top DP World Tour names, OWGR would suggest that a field evenly split with TOUR players will produce more contenders from there.
Over its first four years as a co-sanctioned event, only 12 DP World Tour players (Jamie Donaldson, Thomas Detry, Dean Burmester, Rasmus Hojgaard, Grant Forrest, Ewen Ferguson, Jordan Smith, Romain Langasque, Richard Mansell, Matteo Manassero, Alejandro Del Rey, Connor Syme) finished inside the top 20. Still, the DP World Tour players do have the course history and familiarity with these conditions on their side and will present intriguing value upside for both placement betting and DFS.
Eleven players had delivered multiple top-40 finishes at this event over its first five years at the Renaissance Club: Erik Van Rooyen, Matt Fitzpatrick, Justin Thomas, Tommy Fleetwood, Victor Perez, Thomas Detry, Matt Wallace, Wyndham Clark, Rasmus Hojgaard, and Tom Kim. Byeong Hun An, Robert MacIntyre, Nicolai Hojgaard, Rory McIlroy, and Xander Schauffele have each finished inside the top 10 over the first three years as a co-sanctioned event.
Similar Courses To Renaissance Club
Due to ignorance about DP World Tour course rotations and a lack of data for modeling, I’ll draw course comps strictly from the tour. It’s not ideal, but a cross-tour event on a links course without ShotLink data brings uncharted territory. Given the nuance, I’m placing significantly less weight on Comp Course History in my model than I would in a standard week on the PGA Tour.
The easiest place to start for comps with SG: TOT data at our disposal is the Open Championship. It’s played in this region each year in similar conditions and agronomy. It promotes flying the ball down through high winds and creativity from rolling undulations and fescue. It requires using the ground in firm conditions, putting on large and slow greens, and strategically thinking through each shot.
While weather has produced dramatically different results from a scoring standpoint, the Renaissance Club is not set up to impose the same test as a major. It should fall in line with some of the more docile Open Championship venues over recent years. Thus, Royal St. George’s, St. Andrews, Royal Liverpool, and Royal Troon, host of the last four Open Championships, would seem the best place to start. Royal Birkdale, Royal Portrush, and Carnoustie are also worth a look as a reference point for players who thrive in these elements.
North American Comps
Outside of the Open Championship, it’s difficult to land on an exact match to these conditions on the PGA Tour, but The Los Angeles Country Club comes the closest. Removing wind, both courses feature generous fairways with firm and fast landing areas, and nuanced fairway and greenside hazards that favor the longest hitters while still opening the door for plodders to contend. Xander Schauffele, Tom Kim, Patrick Cantlay, Tommy Fleetwood, Cam Smith, Matt Fitzpatrick, Wyndham Clark, Min Woo Lee, Jon Rahm, and Scottie Scheffler all finished in the top 20 at the 2023 U.S. Open and the Genesis Scottish Open. That is a lot of correlation.
Pinehurst No. 2, albeit a more stern test, may come the closest we’ve seen to pure coastal links set up in the U.S. On the regular tour schedule, Memorial Park GC shares the influence of Doak’s design and offers a similar test of windy, firm, and fast conditions. It’s not a links-style course, however.
From a leaderboard overlap standpoint, it’s hard to look past Hamilton Golf & Country Club, the host of the RBC Canadian Open last year. Robert MacIntyre emerged victorious to follow his runner-up finish at The Renaissance Club in 2023. Victor Perez, known links course assassin and a former Scotland resident, finished 3rd in Hamilton. Rory McIlroy and Tom Kim, mainstay contenders at the Genesis Scottish Open, rounded out the top-5 at the 2024 RBC Canadian Open.
Combine performance across this list and the top 10 players in Comp Course History here are: Rory McIlroy, Scottie Scheffler, Xander Schauffele, Tommy Fleetwood, Tom Kim, Collin Morikawa, Corey Conners, Robert MacIntyre, Justin Rose, and Alejandro Tosti.
Key Stats To Consider For Genesis Scottish Open
- SG: APP / SG: Ball Striking
- SG: OTT
- Driving Distance
- SG: ARG / SG: Short Game
- Birdies or Better Gained / Bogey Avoidance
- Par-4: 450-500
- Par-5 Scoring
- SG: Putting (Total) / SG: Putting (Slow Greens) / Approach Putting
- Course & Comp Course History
Kicking things off with SG: APP, this stat will continue to dictate the contenders this week. Extreme conditions will accentuate the importance of pure ball striking and creative flighting through the wind. Given the firm conditions and larger greens, lesser approach players can still make do, but they’ll play at a disadvantage. The top 10 players in SG: APP are: Scottie Scheffler, Viktor Hovland, Sepp Straka, Collin Morikawa, Henrik Norlander, Daniel Berger, Tom Hoge, Bud Cauley, Sami Valimaki, and Ryan Fox.
Whenever we enter a new course (at least by our standards), it’s always safest to look more broadly at the all-encompassing stats as a baseline for trending form. The top 10 players in SG: T2G over the last 16 rounds are Scottie Scheffler, Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen, Sam Burns, J.J. Spaun, Tommy Fleetwood, Adrien Saddler, Harry Hall, Nick Taylor, Ryan Fox, and Daniel Brown.
OTT & Hole Length Stats
The fairways at the Renaissance Club sit wide and generous. But in firm, fast links conditions with penal fescue and pot bunkers looming, players must position well off the tee. The top 10 players in SG: OTT are Chris Gotterup, Aldrich Potgieter, Scottie Scheffler, Niklas Norgaard, Ludvig Aberg, Rory McIlroy, Kevin Yu, Collin Morikawa, Corey Conners, and Jesper Svensson.
Other notable strong drivers from the DP World Tour include: Jordan Smith, Laurie Canter, Richard Mansell, Romaine Langasque, and Marco Penge.
With 50% of the holes this week funneling to the Par 4: 450-500 and Par 5: 550-600 range, players who score best in those two isolated groups should have a leg up. Nine players rated out of the top 30 from both scoring ranges: Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy, Marcel Siem, Collin Morikawa, Corey Conners, Keith Mitchell, Tommy Fleetwood, Robert MacIntyre, and Alex Noren.
Looking at recent form in terms of results over the last five events on the DP World Tour, the top 10 players entering this week are: Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen, Eugenio Chacarra, Haotong Li, Martin Couvra, Marco Penge, Joost Luiten, Eduardo Molinari, Francesco Laporta, Laurie Canter, and Adrien Saddier.
In the absence of historical strokes gained data to pull correlations from, the ideal profile fit to score at the Renaissance Club should excel in SG: TOT (L24 rounds), Driving Distance, SG: OTT, SG: ARG, Course & Comp Course History, and Weighted Putting (L36, Slow Greens, Approach Putting). Seven players rank above average in each category: Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy, Robert MacIntyre, Sam Burns, Sam Stevens, Ryan Fox, and Romain Langasque.
Genesis Scottish Open Odds Spotlight: Harry Hall (+6000 At DraftKings)
What a difference a year makes. In July 2024, Hall could not even qualify for the Scottish Open. That proved to be a blessing in disguise, however, as Hall managed to pick up his first career tour victory at the ISCO Championship, the opposite field event to the Genesis Scottish Open. Whether it be “floodgates”, newfound confidence, or continued development in his third full season on the tour, Hall has not looked back since.
Hall is currently in the best stretch of form of his career, riding a streak of six consecutive top-25 finishes into Edinburgh. Once known as a short-game specialist, Hall remains elite in this field on and around the green (No. 2 in SG: Short Game and SG: Putting). Short game skills can be a great separator in links golf, as the oversized greens and gusting winds are known to affect even the best approaches off-course.
Born and raised on the southern coast of England, Hall has taken an untraditional route to his golf career. After his collegiate days at UNLV, he moved to Las Vegas and has played predominantly in the United States ever since. While he may lack the traditional links experience of other European players, Hall is well-positioned to ride his current stretch of form with the local UK fans by his side.
Genesis Scottish Open Odds: DFS Player Pool
With all the course-fit profiles in mind, I’m leaning early toward the below player pool. Naturally, I’m looking their way in the 2025 Genesis Scottish Open odds as well. I’ve broken the list down by projected pricing/odds tier for DraftKings.
Tier 1
- Xander Schauffele
- Rory McIlroy
- Scottie Scheffler
Tier 2
- Tommy Fleetwood
- Robert MacIntyre
- Viktor Hovland
Tier 3
- Corey Conners
- Matt Fitzpatrick
- Daniel Berger
- Harry Hall
- Wyndham Clark
Tier 4
- Thorbjorn Olesen
- Ryan Fox
- Alex Noren
Tier 5
- Adrien Saddier
- Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
- Romaine Langasque
Genesis Scottish Open Odds: Model Results & Breakdown
Betting Model Analysis
In my model, I emphasize SG: T2G, Par-5 Scoring, SG: ARG, SG: OTT, SG: APP, and Par 4: 450-500, followed by a more balanced mix of Comp Course History, Driving Distance, and SG: P (TOT & Slow Greens).
Model Favorites
In this star-studded field, it’s still no surprise to see that Scheffler has rated out No. 1 in my model this week. Scheffler has finished T3 and MC in two prior trips to the Renaissance Club. That is a clear example of the randomness that can come with links golf. While Scheffler is at his best on courses that require artistry, the unpredictability of these playing conditions means it is not a slam dunk that Scheffler will dominate.
After Scheffler, the rest of my model’s top 10 are rounded out by McIlroy, Fleetwood, Conners, Fox, Burns, Morikawa, McNealy, MacIntyre, and Schauffele.
It’s going to be a tricky week to project Scottish Open odds, with sportsbooks handicapping the field across multiple tours. I expect a ton of variance on Scottish Open odds across the marketplace. Check back here Monday when the odds release so you can line shop for the best prices. For now, I’m leaning towards at least one of: MacIntyre, Hall, or Hovland to start my card, with Fitzpatrick, Olesen, and Harris English in consideration from the next tier of players.
Check back in later this week for more updates, and best of luck navigating the 2025 Genesis Scottish Open odds!
- Join Lineups’ free sports betting Discord channel, where we are talking golf 24-7-365.
Best Sportsbook Promos For Genesis Scottish Open Odds
Up to $1,500 in Bonus Bets if Your First Bet Doesn't Win*
*Bonus Bets Expire in 7 Days. One New Customer Offer Only. Add’l terms. 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
Use Bonus Code: LINEUPS
- Bet $5 Get $150 in Bonus Bets Win or Lose
- OR First Bet Safety Net up to $1,000
- 30% Extra on Same Game Parlay Profit
- T&Cs Apply. Gambling Problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER 21+
- Use Bonus Code: LINEUPSBET
- Stream NFL Games In-App for Free
- 21+ Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
- Use Promo Code: LINEUPSDYW
Get $150
Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets if Your Bet Wins
Available on Desktop, Android & iOS
Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. 21+
To Claim: Click Play Now
Get $150
Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets Instantly
Get Your Bets Boosted
21+. Gambling Problem? Call/Text 1-800-Gambler. T&Cs apply
To Claim: Click Play Now
- Bet and Get up to $1,000 in No Sweat Bets or Choose Your Own Offer
- Earn FanCash & Spend it on Team Swag or More Bets
- 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
- To Claim: Click Play Now
Bet $5 Get $150 in Bonus Bets Instantly!
PLUS Get a $50 Bonus Bet on Deposit
PLUS up to $1,000 Deposit Bonus
Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
