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Best Bet: NYK -4.5 (-110) at DraftKings
Score Prediction: Knicks 113, Cavaliers 108
The Pick: Knicks 113, Cavaliers 108
We’ll ride with the Knicks based on head-to-head data along with Cleveland’s ATS misery.
Game Betting Analysis
New York has dominated this series, winning and covering the spread in the last five head-to-heads with Cleveland. New York has won 13 straight games outright against the Central Division, while the Cavaliers enters with one of the worst ATS marks in the entire NBA – failing to cover the spread in 13 of 15 games overall. The Under also seems to be worth a look, New York hitting the Under in five of six home games this season along with six of the last seven inside MSG. There’s more meat in the Knicks, though, so we’ll play into Cleveland’s ATS struggles and the Knicks dominance in recent meetings.
Cavaliers-Knicks Odds (Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under)
Deciding Factor: Knicks’ Rebounding Control vs. Cavaliers’ Rest Edge and Jarrett Allen’s Return
New York enters this rematch riding a four-game winning streak that includes a 32-point blowout of Milwaukee, and the way the Knicks won the first meeting with Cleveland points to why they’re favored again tonight. In that 109-97 win on November 7, New York out-attempted Cleveland 96-82 from the field, largely by dominating the glass; the Knicks rank third in the league in offensive rebounding and second in defensive rebounding, with Karl-Anthony Towns averaging 13.6 boards a game, against a Cavaliers team that graded out as only middle-of-the-pack on the glass. Jalen Brunson (31 points) and Towns (29) combined for 60 in that opener, and New York’s net rating near +6 per 100 possessions reflects just how much those extra possessions off the offensive glass have fueled their attack. If the Knicks win the rebounding battle again tonight, the math on extra shot attempts alone gives them a real path to a second straight win over Cleveland.
The Cavaliers, meanwhile, get a key piece back and a scheduling edge that wasn’t in play eight days ago. Jarrett Allen returns from the right knee contusion that sidelined him for the first meeting, immediately bolstering a frontcourt that got overwhelmed on the boards without him, and Cleveland had Tuesday off while New York is working on the second night of a back-to-back after Monday’s Milwaukee rout. Donovan Mitchell dropped 37 in the first matchup even in a loss, showing he can carry the scoring load if the Knicks’ supporting cast comes back to earth on a short rest night, though Cleveland’s own two-game skid (including trailing by 33 in an ugly loss at Charlotte) is a real red flag for a team that still has plenty to clean up defensively. If Allen’s return tightens up the glass and New York’s legs are heavy from the back-to-back, Cleveland has a legitimate chance to flip the result at the Garden; if the Knicks’ rebounding edge holds up regardless of fatigue, this could be a second straight comfortable win for New York.
Game Information
- Date: Wednesday, November 11, 2026
- Kickoff: 7:00 p.m. (ET)
- Network: ESPN, ESPN+
- Location: New York, New York
- Venue: Madison Square Garden – 210.3 ppg; 1-5 O/U
Key Players
Cleveland Cavaliers
- Donovan Mitchell — Last Game: 11 points
- James Harden — Last Game: 11 points, 5 assists
New York Knicks
- Jalen Brunson — Last Game: 23 points
- Karl-Anthony Towns — Last Game: 21 points, 16 rebounds
Photo Credit: REUTERS
