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Commanders-Giants DFS Picks: Best Value Plays, NFL Week 10

Our best DraftKings DFS value plays for Commanders vs. Giants on Thursday Night Football, built around salary, matchup, and recent form.
Stefon Diggs
Anthony Blanco Avatar
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Week 10 kicks off with an NFC East rivalry matchup between the third-place Commanders and the first-place Giants. New York picked up its fifth win of the season last week, easily taking down last-place Philadelphia 19-11. Washington, meanwhile, dropped its fifth game of the season in a 20-13 loss to the Rams. This is the second and final meeting between these teams, with the first ending in a 27-27 draw, the only tie of the season.

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Here are the players worth targeting in your DFS lineups for Thursday Night Football‘s NFC East showdown. Be sure to check out our NFL betting trends page for data and odds on every game.

Commanders vs. Giants DFS Picks

Pos Player Matchup FPPG Salary
MVP
Stefon Diggs👑

Stefon Diggs
WAS @ NYG 12.9 $13,800
FLEX Isaiah Likely
Isaiah Likely
WAS @ NYG 16.1 $8,200
FLEX Chig Okonkwo
Chig Okonkwo
WAS @ NYG 7.7 $5,800
FLEX Malik Nabers
Malik Nabers
WAS @ NYG 17.7 $11,000
FLEX Van Jefferson
Van Jefferson
WAS @ NYG 5.6 $3,200
FLEX Devin Singletary
Devin Singletary
WAS @ NYG 7.9 $8,000

Stefon Diggs, WAS/WR/MVP ($13,800)

Commanders star WR Stefon Diggs gets his first crack at the Giants as part of his new squad after missing the Week 5 meeting with a hamstring injury. The veteran has quickly become QB Jayden Daniels’ favorite target and will try to help lead Washington to just its second divisional victory of the season. The 32-year-old had his two-game TD streak snapped in last week’s loss, though he still managed 3 receptions for 51 yards against one of the league’s best secondaries. He faces another difficult matchup against the Giants, but the volume he should see with Washington’s injuries at WR should outweigh any tough coverage.

New York enters Thursday night with the third-ranked pass defense, allowing 177.8 passing yards per game. Daniels threw for just under 200 yards in the Week 5 meeting and made plays with his dual-threat ability. Having a possession receiver as elite as Diggs back in the lineup should alleviate pressure and keep the defense honest. The former Patriots wideout leads the team with a 19.8% target share and could again be without fellow WR Treylon Burks, and Terry McLaurin who is out for the season. Diggs also leads the Commanders in red-zone targets, and all five of his TDs this season have come near the goal line.

Isaiah Likely, NYG/TE ($8,200)

While the QB situation in New York has not been stable this season, newly acquired TE Isaiah Likely has adapted to whoever is under center and continued to produce. The former Ravens draft pick caught his sixth TD of the season last week and has 4 TDs in his last four games. Likely has had multiple receptions in all eight of his appearances for the Giants and has 24 receptions during this four-game stretch. The 26-year-old had a monster 11-reception game against Washington in Week 5 and will look to replicate it in primetime.

The Week 5 tie was undoubtedly Likely’s best game as a Giant, as he hauled in 11 of 13 targets for 94 yards and 2 TDs against this Commanders’ secondary. Washington has struggled to defend TEs all season, ranking last in defensive pass DVOA against the position and allowing the second-most fantasy points (16.3). Likely has averaged 8.5 targets per game over his last four outings and has shared the target lead with superstar WR Malik Nabers. His 26.5% target share ranks second on the team, and his 9 targets near the red zone lead the team.

Chig Okonkwo, WAS/TE ($5,800)

Similar to Likely, former Titans TE Chig Okonkwo has made a serious impact on his new team since joining the Commanders in free agency this past summer. The 27-year-old has become one of Daniels’ most consistent targets and has especially stepped up with the WR injuries Washington has faced over the last few weeks. His 12.5% target share ranks third on the team, and he has 24 targets over his last four games heading into Thursday. That hot stretch kicked off in the Week 5 meeting with the Giants, when he caught four of his six targets for 60 yards.

He should continue to benefit from the WR injuries and has a good opportunity for a second straight strong outing against New York, given how well opposing TEs have produced against the Giants this season. Tight ends are averaging just over 12 fantasy points and 45.4 receiving yards per game against New York through the first nine weeks. While Okonkwo has not been used near the goal line very often, he has played nearly 70% of Washington’s offensive snaps and should continue to see a steady share of targets in a game that could become high-scoring, much like the first meeting.

Malik Nabers, NYG/WR ($11,000)

A big reason the last game between these squads became a shootout was the playmaking of Giants superstar WR Malik Nabers. The sophomore has become one of the league’s most elite WRs this season and will look to bounce back from one of his tamer games against the Eagles on Sunday, when he finished with 5 receptions for 43 yards, his sixth straight game with five or more receptions. The former LSU star exploded for 11 receptions, 121 yards, and a TD against Washington back in Week 5 and could be in line for another breakout in the rematch.

Nabers saw 20 targets in the Week 5 draw and enters Thursday ranking in the top 10 among all players with 78 targets for the season. His 30.0% target share leads the club, and it has not mattered who is at QB; the game plan has clearly been to get one of the league’s best playmakers the ball as often as possible. Washington’s secondary has been its weak point all season, allowing 240 air yards per game, the 30th most in the league. There will obviously be extra attention sent Nabers’ way after his Week 5 performance, though it should not change how often the Giants look for their superstar.

Van Jefferson, WAS/WR ($3,200)

Veteran WR Van Jefferson has been up and down Washington’s official roster and practice squad all season but proved particularly useful last week and could be going forward. The 30-year-old appeared in his third game of the season against the Rams, catching 5 of his 7 targets for 58 yards and a TD against his former team. The former second-round pick has almost certainly secured his roster spot with McLaurin out for the season and Burks continuing to deal with a foot injury. With Antonio Williams and Diggs attracting the majority of the attention, the sure-handed veteran could find a tertiary role on Thursday and for the rest of the season.

Jefferson played just three offensive snaps in the Week 5 meeting between these teams but should be in line for a much larger workload after Sunday’s performance. He was one of four WRs/TEs to play 58% or more of the offensive snaps in that contest and ran a season-high 25 routes on Daniels’ 42 dropbacks. The former Gator was used almost exclusively on the outside, with Diggs and Williams occasionally moving into the slot. If Burks, who has practiced just once this short week, is out, Jefferson would again serve as the X receiver.

Devin Singletary, NYG/RB ($8,000)

Giants veteran RB Devin Singletary rounds out our TNF lineup, looking to bounce back from a poor showing as the team’s lead back in last week’s victory. The 29-year-old served as New York’s RB1 with Cam Skattebo sitting out, though he could return to a secondary role on Thursday. The former third-round pick managed just 31 yards on 21 carries (1.5 YPC) against a stubborn Eagles front but has been much more effective as a backup throughout the season. He missed the first meeting between these division rivals but had put together back-to-back solid performances alongside Skattebo in the two games before last week.

Before the Giants’ bye week, Singletary had an efficient outing against Houston, finishing with 5 carries for 41 yards and a TD. The former FAU standout has also been heavily involved in the short passing game, catching 2.0 of his 2.4 targets per game this season. Skattebo’s return will limit Singletary’s carries, though the Giants may keep the workload close to even with their lead back dealing with a hamstring issue that could flare up at any moment. Washington gave up just over 100 rushing yards when these teams first met, and Singletary and Skattebo could still be effective as a duo in this NFC East rivalry game.

Photo Credit: REUTERS

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Anthony Blanco is a journalist based in South Florida who specializes in sports content. He has covered the NFL, NBA, UFL, March Madness, the World Cup, the English Premier League, La Liga and the Champions League. At Lineups he writes about sports betting, DFS, UFC, soccer and prediction markets.

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