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Top TD Picks: Jayden Daniels & Isaiah Likely
We’re all set for an NFC East showdown in Week 10 Thursday Night Football between the Washington Commanders and New York Giants. The Commanders are in a must-win spot, since they need to gain ground on the Giants for the division lead, as that’s their only path to the playoffs this year. On the other side, the G-Men have a chance to really put a strangehold on this division.
This is a projected low-scoring game, as highlighted by the 40.5 total, so we’re aiming to target players that can give us a better return on investment. With that in mind, find out why I’m on Jayden Daniels and Isaiah Likely as my Week 10 Thursday Night Football touchdown props. As always, be sure to check out our NFL betting trends page for data and odds on every game.
Jayden Daniels Touchdown Odds
We’re taking Jayden Daniels to score a touchdown, which means that it has to be a rushing (or receiving) score. This is the perfect buy-low spot for Daniels to score a rushing TD. Why? Well, the Commanders’ quarterback has combined for only 49 rushing yards in his last three games. What’s more, he’s only found the end zone on the ground twice all year. However, both of those rushing touchdowns came against the same team. Take a wild guess who that is.
That’s right, the Giants. Back in Week 5 in that outrageous game that ended in a tie, Daniels rushed nine times for 103 yards and two touchdowns. It’s clear that the Giants’ blitz-heavy ways force Daniels to make things happen with his legs. In a game that the Commanders absolutely have to win, I think Daniels will pull out all the stops in this one. That means showing more of a willingness to run.
I mentioned that this is a buy-low spot, and we see that reflected in the price. At the time of this article, you can get Daniels to score a touchdown at +260 odds. That’s an appealing price for such a dynamic runner, so we’ll take a shot here.
Isaiah Likely Touchdown Odds
Isaiah Likely has been a phenomenal pickup for the Giants, putting up 46 catches for 448 yards and six touchdowns. The former Raven has now found the end zone three times in his last four games. His biggest game of the year came against these Commanders in Week 5, when he hauled in 11-of-13 targets for 94 yards and two touchdowns.
The Commanders prefer to play two-high coverage at one of the highest rates in the NFL. That means that the safeties are further back, leaving the middle of the field more vulnerable. That plays right into Likely’s hands.
In a game where touchdowns are likely to be hard to come by (no pun intended), it’s best to take players with longer odds. That certainly applies here, as Likely is currently listed at +200 odds at the time of this article. For a player who already has six touchdowns, that feels like a great price to me.
Photo Credit: REUTERS
