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Best Bet: IND +7.5 (-118) at DraftKings
Best Bet: U219.5 (-106) at FanDuel
Score Prediction: Knicks 113, Pacers 106
The Pick: Knicks 113, Pacers 106
We’ll take the Pacers’ spread based on home data as an underdog along with head-to-head stats against New York, while the Under is on the table based on each team’s 2026 betting numbers.
Game Betting Analysis
How do we not go with the Under here? It has hit in all five home games for the Pacers this season, while Indiana owns a 4-8 O/U mark this season. New York has also seen the Under hit a lot this season, entering this game with a 3-8 O/U mark. While the Pacers’ home total has gone Under going back to seven of eight games, the Over has actually hit in four of the last five meetings along with five of the last seven. Indiana has covered the spread in four of five games against New York including the last four played in Indianapolis. The Pacers are actually on a 6-0 ATS run when facing the Eastern Conference as home underdogs – so we’ll take a chance on the home underdog covering, while the Under is still in play but with lower conviction due to head-to-head data.
Knicks-Pacers Odds (Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under)
Deciding Factor: Knicks’ Offensive Surge vs. Pacers’ Depth-Starved Roster Without Haliburton
The Knicks arrive at Gainbridge Fieldhouse playing as well as anyone in the East, and the numbers back it up. After an 0-3 start and a NBA Cup loss to Philadelphia, New York has won five straight, including blowouts over Brooklyn (103-90), Chicago (135-105), Milwaukee (117-85) and a statement playoff rematch win in Cleveland (109-97), then followed it up with a 119-92 beatdown in Toronto where Mikal Bridges erupted for 30 points (19 of them in the third quarter alone) and OG Anunoby added 26 points and a season-high six steals against his former team. Karl-Anthony Towns, whose four-year extension talks were tabled back in October, has been dominant on the glass even while his scoring has dipped — he grabbed a season-high 22 rebounds in that Toronto win — and Jalen Brunson no longer has to shoulder the offense alone with this many weapons clicking at once. A team scoring at this level and this many ways, at 6-4 and defending NBA Cup champions, is about as tough a draw as there is in the league right now.
The Pacers, meanwhile, are right back to the shorthanded reality that’s defined their last calendar year. Tyrese Haliburton played just four games on his comeback from the Game 7 Achilles tear before straining his left hamstring on Oct. 28 — the issue had reportedly already been bothering him in the Oct. 26 loss to Milwaukee — and he’s since missed six straight games, including the Mexico City trip, with coach Rick Carlisle calling the recovery timetable “uncertain” and shooting down an earlier two-week projection as unrealistic; Carlisle has also noted Haliburton’s history of recurring left hamstring and soft-tissue issues over the past two years. Without him, Indiana has gone 4-8 and stayed stuck in the bottom third of the East, alternating wins and losses all season, including a 125-122 heartbreaker at Dallas in which Cooper Flagg dropped 43 and Kyrie Irving added 35 right after Indiana had snapped a three-game skid against Memphis. Pascal Siakam and Andrew Nembhard are both shooting below their career norms trying to fill the void, and if that shorthanded formula can’t find stops against a Knicks team humming on both ends right now, this has the look of another lopsided night at home.
Game Information
- Date: Friday, November 13, 2026
- Kickoff: 7:00 p.m. (ET)
- Network: APVO
- Location: Indianapolis, Indiana
- Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse – 212.8 ppg; 0-5 O/U
Key Players
New York Knicks
- Jalen Brunson — Last Game: 23 points
- Karl-Anthony Towns — Last Game: 21 points, 16 rebounds
Indiana Pacers
- Pascal Siakam — Last Game: 28 points, 8 rebounds, 5 assists
- Andrew Nembhard — Last Game: 17 points, 10 assists
Photo Credit: REUTERS
