MLB Home Run Predictions, Picks, Props, Odds for Friday, July 10, 2026

We had our second straight profitable night on Thursday, as Tyler O’Neill hit a home run, making up for losses on Tyler Stephenson and Fernando Tatis Jr. Let’s make it three in a row.

Today, we’re going with Jasson Dominguez, Taylor Ward, and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. I like the spots for each of these hitters.

Remember to be sure to check out our daily MLB betting trends page.

Click any odds below to place a wager. For more sportsbook promos, we highly recommend checking out the best sports betting sites.

2026 MLB HR Props Record: 61-235 (+0.81 units) 

Top Options For MLB Trading

1

4.5/5 Rating

$100 In Predicts Bonus

$100 In Predicts Bonus

FanDuel Predicts Review

T&CS Apply. View Here.

Offered by FanDuel Prediction Markets LLC, a registered futures commission merchant. 18+ and present in select states. First real money trade only. First-time deposit required. Min. $1 trade required for 5 consecutive days for max bonus. Bonus issued as non-withdrawable Predicts Bonus that expires 24 hours after receipt. Restrictions apply. Trading derivatives involves significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Manage your activity with our Consumer Protection tools. See terms, including eligible states, at: http://fanduel.com/predicts/new-customer-offer.

• Get $100 in Predicts Bonus When You Trade $1 for 5 Days

• Make Predictions on Real World Events Right in Your Phone

• Trade on Sports to Culture, Financials, Crypto and More

FanDuel Predicts Review

4.5/5 Rating

T&CS Apply. View Here.

Offered by FanDuel Prediction Markets LLC, a registered futures commission merchant. 18+ and present in select states. First real money trade only. First-time deposit required. Min. $1 trade required for 5 consecutive days for max bonus. Bonus issued as non-withdrawable Predicts Bonus that expires 24 hours after receipt. Restrictions apply. Trading derivatives involves significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Manage your activity with our Consumer Protection tools. See terms, including eligible states, at: http://fanduel.com/predicts/new-customer-offer.

• Get $100 in Predicts Bonus When You Trade $1 for 5 Days

• Make Predictions on Real World Events Right in Your Phone

• Trade on Sports to Culture, Financials, Crypto and More

Trade Now No Code Needed

2

4.3/5 Rating

Trade $25, Get $25 Sign Up, Deposit, and Trade with OG

Trade $25, Get $25 Sign Up, Deposit, and Trade with OG

OG Review

• Huge Range of CFTC-Approved Markets (Sports, Tech, and More)

• Compete with Others & Climb the Leaderboards

• No User Limiting on Trades

OG Review

4.3/5 Rating

• Huge Range of CFTC-Approved Markets (Sports, Tech, and More)

• Compete with Others & Climb the Leaderboards

• No User Limiting on Trades

Trade Now

Copy promo code LINEUPS

3

4.4/5 Rating

$50 Bonus On First Deposit

$50 Bonus On First Deposit

Polymarket Review

T&Cs Apply. View Here.

18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading involves high risk and may result in loss of your entire investment. See polymarket.us/tos for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated derivatives exchange and clearing organization.

• Deposit $10, Get a $50 Trading Bonus

• Live Trade with the Biggest Payouts at the Largest Prediction Market in the World

Polymarket Review

4.4/5 Rating

T&Cs Apply. View Here.

18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading involves high risk and may result in loss of your entire investment. See polymarket.us/tos for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated derivatives exchange and clearing organization.

• Deposit $10, Get a $50 Trading Bonus

• Live Trade with the Biggest Payouts at the Largest Prediction Market in the World

Trade Now

Copy promo code LINEUPS

4

4.1/5 Rating

Trade $50, Get $75 In Trading Bonus

Trade $50, Get $75 In Trading Bonus

ProphetX Review

• America's #1 Sports Prediction Market

• Same Sports Moments, Bigger Payouts

• Choose from Straights, Player Props, Parlays & More

ProphetX Review

4.1/5 Rating

• America's #1 Sports Prediction Market

• Same Sports Moments, Bigger Payouts

• Choose from Straights, Player Props, Parlays & More

Trade Now

Copy promo code LINEUPS

5

4.2/5 Rating

Spend $5+, Get $150 In Trading Bonuses

Spend $5+, Get $150 In Trading Bonuses

DraftKings Predictions Review

T&Cs Apply. View Here.

Event Contract Trading is offered by DraftKings Predictions, a CFTC-registered Futures Commission Merchant and NFA member. Trading involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone. Market availability varies. Eligibility restrictions apply. 1 per new DraftKings customer. $5+ first-time trade req. Max. $150 issued as non-withdrawable Predictions Dollars that expire in 1 year. Reward issued as $50 in Predictions Dollars every 7 days via click-to-claim for 14 days. Click-to-claims expire 7 days after issuance. 7 days = 168hrs. Terms: dkng.co/predictionspromo. Ends 10/18/26 at 11:59 PM ET. Sponsored by DK.

• Get $150 in Bonuses Paid Over 14 Days

• DraftKings is Now Available Nationwide

• Browse Markets like Sports, Crypto, Tech & More

DraftKings Predictions Review

4.2/5 Rating

T&Cs Apply. View Here.

Event Contract Trading is offered by DraftKings Predictions, a CFTC-registered Futures Commission Merchant and NFA member. Trading involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone. Market availability varies. Eligibility restrictions apply. 1 per new DraftKings customer. $5+ first-time trade req. Max. $150 issued as non-withdrawable Predictions Dollars that expire in 1 year. Reward issued as $50 in Predictions Dollars every 7 days via click-to-claim for 14 days. Click-to-claims expire 7 days after issuance. 7 days = 168hrs. Terms: dkng.co/predictionspromo. Ends 10/18/26 at 11:59 PM ET. Sponsored by DK.

• Get $150 in Bonuses Paid Over 14 Days

• DraftKings is Now Available Nationwide

• Browse Markets like Sports, Crypto, Tech & More

Trade Now No Code Needed

6

4.5/5 Rating

Earn up to 1 BTC In CRO Rewards

Earn up to 1 BTC In CRO Rewards

Crypto.com Review

• Complete a Task in the Crypto.com App to Unlock up to 1 Bitcoin Worth of CRO Rewards

• America’s All-In-One Trading Platform

• Manage Your Crypto, Stocks, Predictions & Card Spend Seamlessly

Crypto.com Review

4.5/5 Rating

• Complete a Task in the Crypto.com App to Unlock up to 1 Bitcoin Worth of CRO Rewards

• America’s All-In-One Trading Platform

• Manage Your Crypto, Stocks, Predictions & Card Spend Seamlessly

Trade Now No Code Needed

Home Run Prop Predictions & Odds: MLB HR Best Bets for Friday, July 10

Jasson Dominguez Home Run Odds

Jasson Dominguez is currently slashing .233/.276/.400 with four home runs in 128 plate appearances. His batted ball metrics aren’t impressive either, as highlighted by a 4.3% barrel rate. But Dominguez had a .500 slugging percentage in Triple-A before getting called up to the big leagues. Still only 23 years old, there’s a lot of upside in this hitter.

We’re slowly starting to see Dominguez heat up at the plate. In his last two games, he’s gone 4-for-9, so he’s starting to get in a groove. I like the spot on the road against the Nationals, in a projected high-scoring game with a 10-run total.

Dominguez will have a chance to hit against veteran right-hander Zack Littell, who has a 6.55 xERA and a 2.3 HR/9 this season. Littell has been crushed by lefties like Dominguez, giving up a .393 wOBA.

With that in mind, I like the value on Dominguez at nearly +500 odds to go yard tonight. Risk 0.1 units.

Taylor Ward Home Run Odds

Taylor Ward has a .255/.383/.352 slash while trimming his strikeout rate from 26.4% to 21.1%. The biggest question is, what happened to the power? After slugging 36 homers last year, Ward only has five this year, which is extremely surprising.

However, Ward has three 23+ homer seasons under his belt, so it’s likely only a matter of time before we see a power binge. Perhaps this is the start of one, as Ward has hit safely in six of his last seven games. Maybe these are the signs that he’s finding his groove at the plate.

I like the matchup against the Royals. It’s a projected high-scoring game at Camden Yards, as highlighted by a 10.5-run total. We’re also getting an exploitable spot vs. Luinder Avila, who has a 4.51 xERA and a .395 wOBA allowed vs. righties like Ward.

Add in the fact that we’re getting longer than +550 odds on Ward at the time of this article, and you can see why this is an appealing wager.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Home Run Odds

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been one of the most disappointing hitters in MLB, slashing .262/.343/.351 with five home runs in 373 plate appearances. While the barrel rate is way down at 7.0%, it’s encouraging to see the 12.1% strikeout rate.

This power outage won’t last much longer. In fact, Vladdy may already be coming out of his slump, having finally homered last game. I’ll take my chances that he can make it two in a row, this time against lefty JP Sears.

Sears has a 5.91 xERA and a 2.35 HR/9 on the season. It’s the perfect spot to target Vlad Jr. to hit No. 6 on the season. Risk 0.1 units.

Join Lineups’ free sports betting Discord channel, with more than 5,100 community members discussing MLB 24-7-365.

Best Sportsbook Promos For Home Run Prop Predictions

1

Up to $1,500 In Bonuses

Up to $1,500 In Bonuses

BetMGM Sportsbook Review

• Up to $1,500 in Bonus Bets if Your First Bet Doesn't Win*

• *Bonus Bets Expire in 7 Days. One New Customer Offer Only. Add’l terms. 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET

BetMGM Sportsbook Review

• Up to $1,500 in Bonus Bets if Your First Bet Doesn't Win*

• *Bonus Bets Expire in 7 Days. One New Customer Offer Only. Add’l terms. 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET

Play Now

Copy promo code BETLINEUPS

2

Get $250 In Bonus Bets

Get $250 In Bonus Bets

FanDuel Sportsbook Review

T&Cs Apply. View Here.

21+ and present in OH. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER

• Get $250 in Bonus Bets When You Wager $5 for 5 Days ($50 Bonus Bets Per Day)

• Available on Desktop, Android & iOS

• Easy Deposits, Fast Withdrawals

FanDuel Sportsbook Review

T&Cs Apply. View Here.

21+ and present in OH. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER

• Get $250 in Bonus Bets When You Wager $5 for 5 Days ($50 Bonus Bets Per Day)

• Available on Desktop, Android & iOS

• Easy Deposits, Fast Withdrawals

Play Now No Code Needed

3

Get Up to $1,000 Matched in FanCash

Get Up to $1,000 Matched in FanCash

Fanatics Sportsbook Review

T&Cs Apply. View Here.

OH only. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. T&Cs apply. New customers in AZ, CO, CT, DC, IA, IL, IN, KS, KY, LA, MA, MD, MI, MO, NC, NJ, NY, OH, PA, TN, VA, VT, WV, or WY. Apply promotion in bet slip and place a $1+ cash wager (min odds -200) daily for 10 consecutive days starting day of account creation. FanCash rewards will equal the qualifying wager amount (max $100 FanCash/day). FanCash issued under this promotion expires at 11:59 p.m. ET 7 days from issuance. Terms, incl. FanCash terms, apply—see Fanatics Sportsbook app.

• Get a 100% Bet Match up to $100 in FanCash for 10 Days

• Earn FanCash & Spend it on Team Swag or More Bets

• Daily Odds & Profit Boosts on Select Games

Fanatics Sportsbook Review

T&Cs Apply. View Here.

OH only. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. T&Cs apply. New customers in AZ, CO, CT, DC, IA, IL, IN, KS, KY, LA, MA, MD, MI, MO, NC, NJ, NY, OH, PA, TN, VA, VT, WV, or WY. Apply promotion in bet slip and place a $1+ cash wager (min odds -200) daily for 10 consecutive days starting day of account creation. FanCash rewards will equal the qualifying wager amount (max $100 FanCash/day). FanCash issued under this promotion expires at 11:59 p.m. ET 7 days from issuance. Terms, incl. FanCash terms, apply—see Fanatics Sportsbook app.

• Get a 100% Bet Match up to $100 in FanCash for 10 Days

• Earn FanCash & Spend it on Team Swag or More Bets

• Daily Odds & Profit Boosts on Select Games

Play Now

Copy promo code LINEUPS

4

Spend $5+ Get $150 in Bonus Bets New User Bonus

Spend $5+ Get $150 in Bonus Bets New User Bonus

DraftKings Sportsbook Review

T&Cs Apply. View Here.

GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET, (800) 327-5050 or visit gamblinghelplinema.org (MA). Please Gamble Responsibly. 888-789-7777/visit ccpg.org (CT), or visit www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD), 1-800-981-0023 (PR). 21+ and present in most states. (18+ DC/NH/PR/WY). Void in CAN. Eligibility restrictions apply. On behalf of Boot Hill Casino (KS). Pass-thru of per wager tax may apply in IL. 1 per new DraftKings customer. $5+ first-time bet req. Max. $150 issued as non-withdrawable Bonus Bets. Stake removed from payout. Reward issued as $50 in Bonus Bets every 7 days via click-to-claim for 14 days. Bonus Bets and click-to-claims expire 7 days (168hrs) after issuance. Terms: sportsbook.draftkings.com/promos. Ends 10/18/26 at 11:59 PM ET. Sponsored by DK.

• Spend $5+ Get $150 in Bonus Bets Over 14 Days

• Plus Get up to $1,000 Deposit Bonus

• Bet on All Your Favorite Sports With America's Top-Rated Sportsbook

DraftKings Sportsbook Review

T&Cs Apply. View Here.

GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET, (800) 327-5050 or visit gamblinghelplinema.org (MA). Please Gamble Responsibly. 888-789-7777/visit ccpg.org (CT), or visit www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD), 1-800-981-0023 (PR). 21+ and present in most states. (18+ DC/NH/PR/WY). Void in CAN. Eligibility restrictions apply. On behalf of Boot Hill Casino (KS). Pass-thru of per wager tax may apply in IL. 1 per new DraftKings customer. $5+ first-time bet req. Max. $150 issued as non-withdrawable Bonus Bets. Stake removed from payout. Reward issued as $50 in Bonus Bets every 7 days via click-to-claim for 14 days. Bonus Bets and click-to-claims expire 7 days (168hrs) after issuance. Terms: sportsbook.draftkings.com/promos. Ends 10/18/26 at 11:59 PM ET. Sponsored by DK.

• Spend $5+ Get $150 in Bonus Bets Over 14 Days

• Plus Get up to $1,000 Deposit Bonus

• Bet on All Your Favorite Sports With America's Top-Rated Sportsbook

Play Now No Code Needed

5

Bet $10, Get $200 In Bonus Bets Win or Lose

Bet $10, Get $200 In Bonus Bets Win or Lose

Bet365 Sportsbook Review

• Bet $10 Get $200 in Bonus Bets Win or Lose

• 30% Extra on Same Game Parlay Profit

• T&Cs Apply. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET (AZ, CO, IL, IN, KS, KY, LA, MD, MI, MO, NC, NJ, OH, PA, TN, VA, WV) or 1-800-BETS OFF (IA). 21+ only. Please gamble responsibly. Must be present in AZ/CO/IA/IL/IN/KS/KY/LA(select parishes) /MD/MI/MO/NC/NJ/OH/PA/TN/VA/WV.

Bet365 Sportsbook Review

• Bet $10 Get $200 in Bonus Bets Win or Lose

• 30% Extra on Same Game Parlay Profit

• T&Cs Apply. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET (AZ, CO, IL, IN, KS, KY, LA, MD, MI, MO, NC, NJ, OH, PA, TN, VA, WV) or 1-800-BETS OFF (IA). 21+ only. Please gamble responsibly. Must be present in AZ/CO/IA/IL/IN/KS/KY/LA(select parishes) /MD/MI/MO/NC/NJ/OH/PA/TN/VA/WV.

Play Now

Copy promo code LINEUPSBET

Photo Credit: IMAGN IMAGES