MLB Home Run Predictions, Picks, Props, Odds for Friday, July 17, 2026

We got shut out on home runs for the second night in a row, as both Juan Soto and Bryce Harper failed to go yard. Let’s try to get back on track with a full Friday slate.

Today, we’re going with Munetaka Murakami, Matt Olson, and Pete Crow-Armstrong. Each of these hitters is in a favorable spot.

Remember to be sure to check out our daily MLB betting trends page.

Click any odds below to place a wager. For more sportsbook promos, we highly recommend checking out the best sports betting sites.

2026 MLB HR Props Record: 62-242 (+0.58 units) 

Top Options For MLB Trading

1

4.5/5 Rating

$100 In Predicts Bonus

$100 In Predicts Bonus

FanDuel Predicts Review

T&CS Apply. View Here.

Offered by FanDuel Prediction Markets LLC, a registered futures commission merchant. 18+ and present in select states. First real money trade only. First-time deposit required. Min. $1 trade required for 5 consecutive days for max bonus. Bonus issued as non-withdrawable Predicts Bonus that expires 24 hours after receipt. Restrictions apply. Trading derivatives involves significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Manage your activity with our Consumer Protection tools. See terms, including eligible states, at: http://fanduel.com/predicts/new-customer-offer.

• Get $100 in Predicts Bonus When You Trade $1 for 5 Days

• Make Predictions on Real World Events Right in Your Phone

• Trade on Sports to Culture, Financials, Crypto and More

FanDuel Predicts Review

4.5/5 Rating

T&CS Apply. View Here.

Offered by FanDuel Prediction Markets LLC, a registered futures commission merchant. 18+ and present in select states. First real money trade only. First-time deposit required. Min. $1 trade required for 5 consecutive days for max bonus. Bonus issued as non-withdrawable Predicts Bonus that expires 24 hours after receipt. Restrictions apply. Trading derivatives involves significant risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Manage your activity with our Consumer Protection tools. See terms, including eligible states, at: http://fanduel.com/predicts/new-customer-offer.

• Get $100 in Predicts Bonus When You Trade $1 for 5 Days

• Make Predictions on Real World Events Right in Your Phone

• Trade on Sports to Culture, Financials, Crypto and More

Trade Now No Code Needed

2

4.7/5 Rating

Trade $25, Get $25 Exclusive Bonus at Kalshi

Trade $25, Get $25 Exclusive Bonus at Kalshi

Kalshi Review

T&Cs Apply. View Here.

Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at Kalshi. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See Kalshi for more information.

• Trade on Sports, Politics, and MORE

• Largest Prediction Market in the US

• Hundreds of Markets to Choose From

Kalshi Review

4.7/5 Rating

T&Cs Apply. View Here.

Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at Kalshi. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See Kalshi for more information.

• Trade on Sports, Politics, and MORE

• Largest Prediction Market in the US

• Hundreds of Markets to Choose From

Trade Now

Copy promo code VAULTLU

3

4.3/5 Rating

Trade $25, Get $25 Sign Up, Deposit, and Trade with OG

Trade $25, Get $25 Sign Up, Deposit, and Trade with OG

OG Review

• Huge Range of CFTC-Approved Markets (Sports, Tech, and More)

• Compete with Others & Climb the Leaderboards

• No User Limiting on Trades

OG Review

4.3/5 Rating

• Huge Range of CFTC-Approved Markets (Sports, Tech, and More)

• Compete with Others & Climb the Leaderboards

• No User Limiting on Trades

Trade Now

Copy promo code LINEUPS

4

4.4/5 Rating

$50 Bonus On First Deposit

$50 Bonus On First Deposit

Polymarket Review

T&Cs Apply. View Here.

18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading involves high risk and may result in loss of your entire investment. See polymarket.us/tos for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated derivatives exchange and clearing organization.

• Deposit $10, Get a $50 Trading Bonus

• Live Trade with the Biggest Payouts at the Largest Prediction Market in the World

Polymarket Review

4.4/5 Rating

T&Cs Apply. View Here.

18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading involves high risk and may result in loss of your entire investment. See polymarket.us/tos for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated derivatives exchange and clearing organization.

• Deposit $10, Get a $50 Trading Bonus

• Live Trade with the Biggest Payouts at the Largest Prediction Market in the World

Trade Now

Copy promo code LINEUPS

5

4.1/5 Rating

Trade $50, Get $75 In Trading Bonus

Trade $50, Get $75 In Trading Bonus

ProphetX Review

• America's #1 Sports Prediction Market

• Same Sports Moments, Bigger Payouts

• Choose from Straights, Player Props, Parlays & More

ProphetX Review

4.1/5 Rating

• America's #1 Sports Prediction Market

• Same Sports Moments, Bigger Payouts

• Choose from Straights, Player Props, Parlays & More

Trade Now

Copy promo code LINEUPS

6

4.2/5 Rating

Spend $5+, Get $150 In Trading Bonuses

Spend $5+, Get $150 In Trading Bonuses

DraftKings Predictions Review

T&Cs Apply. View Here.

Event Contract Trading is offered by DraftKings Predictions, a CFTC-registered Futures Commission Merchant and NFA member. Trading involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone. Market availability varies. Eligibility restrictions apply. 1 per new DraftKings customer. $5+ first-time trade req. Max. $150 issued as non-withdrawable Predictions Dollars that expire in 1 year. Reward issued as $50 in Predictions Dollars every 7 days via click-to-claim for 14 days. Click-to-claims expire 7 days after issuance. 7 days = 168hrs. Terms: dkng.co/predictionspromo. Ends 10/18/26 at 11:59 PM ET. Sponsored by DK.

• Get $150 in Bonuses Paid Over 14 Days

• DraftKings is Now Available Nationwide

• Browse Markets like Sports, Crypto, Tech & More

DraftKings Predictions Review

4.2/5 Rating

T&Cs Apply. View Here.

Event Contract Trading is offered by DraftKings Predictions, a CFTC-registered Futures Commission Merchant and NFA member. Trading involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone. Market availability varies. Eligibility restrictions apply. 1 per new DraftKings customer. $5+ first-time trade req. Max. $150 issued as non-withdrawable Predictions Dollars that expire in 1 year. Reward issued as $50 in Predictions Dollars every 7 days via click-to-claim for 14 days. Click-to-claims expire 7 days after issuance. 7 days = 168hrs. Terms: dkng.co/predictionspromo. Ends 10/18/26 at 11:59 PM ET. Sponsored by DK.

• Get $150 in Bonuses Paid Over 14 Days

• DraftKings is Now Available Nationwide

• Browse Markets like Sports, Crypto, Tech & More

Trade Now No Code Needed

7

4.5/5 Rating

Earn up to 1 BTC In CRO Rewards

Earn up to 1 BTC In CRO Rewards

Crypto.com Review

• Complete a Task in the Crypto.com App to Unlock up to 1 Bitcoin Worth of CRO Rewards

• America’s All-In-One Trading Platform

• Manage Your Crypto, Stocks, Predictions & Card Spend Seamlessly

Crypto.com Review

4.5/5 Rating

• Complete a Task in the Crypto.com App to Unlock up to 1 Bitcoin Worth of CRO Rewards

• America’s All-In-One Trading Platform

• Manage Your Crypto, Stocks, Predictions & Card Spend Seamlessly

Trade Now No Code Needed

Home Run Prop Predictions & Odds: MLB HR Best Bets for Friday, July 17

Munetaka Murakami Home Run Odds

Munetaka Murakami is having a fantastic debut season in the big leagues, slashing .232/.371/.540 with 20 home runs in 259 plate appearances. He missed a chunk of action with a hamstring injury, or his numbers would look even better. Since returning from the injury, Murakami has gone 1-for-13 with two walks. I’m betting on him to start the second half on a high note.

The Blue Jays are going with Spencer Miles, who has performed well, but doesn’t pitch deep into games. His deepest outing so far is 4.1 innings, so Murakami will have plenty of opportunities to get to the Blue Jays’ bullpen.

Murakami has an otherworldly 20.0% barrel rate, so he’s capable of going yard against anyone. Any time you can get him at nearly +300 odds, it feels like a nice price, especially when it’s not against a notable pitcher.

With that in mind, we’ll ride with Murakami to hit his 21st homer of the season. I’ll be at the game as the good luck charm. Risk 0.1 units.

Matt Olson Home Run Odds

Matt Olson is having a nice bounce-back season, slashing .267/.339/.534 with 25 home runs in 416 plate appearances. Heading into the All-Star Break, Olson had homered three times in his last seven games.

This is a hitter who is on track for 40+ home runs this season, so any time we can get him at longer than +300 odds in a favorable matchup, we have to hop on board.

It’s an exploitable spot vs. Rangers’ right-hander Cal Quantrill, who has a 4.59 xERA on the season, giving him a lot of hard contact, as highlighted by a 9.5% barrel rate. Lefties have crushed Quantrill, putting up a .345 wOBA (righties have a .241 wOBA), which bodes well for Olson, who bats from the left side.

Considering this favorable matchup, coupled with Olson’s recent form, we’ll ride with the veteran first baseman to hit his 26th dinger of the season. Risk 0.1 units.

Pete Crow-Armstrong Home Run Odds

Pete Crow-Armstrong is having an MVP-caliber season if Shohei Ohtani weren’t in the National League, slashing .291/.386/.531 with 21 home runs in 418 plate appearances. He’s improved his walk rate from 4.5% to 11.2% while maintaining a rock-solid 10.7% barrel rate.

This is a good spot at home against Bailey Ober, who struggles with the long ball, as highlighted by a 1.63 HR/9 and 9.6% barrel rate. To make things even better, the wind is blowing out at about 7 MPH with 85-degree temperatures at Wrigley Field.

That’s the kind of hitter-friendly weather that we want to target when looking for home run props.

When you combine that with how well PCA has been hitting this season, you have to like him here, even at inflated odds (around +225 at the time of this article). Risk 0.1 units.

Join Lineups’ free sports betting Discord channel, with more than 5,100 community members discussing MLB 24-7-365.

Best Sportsbook Promos For Home Run Prop Predictions

1

Up to $1,500 In Bonuses

Up to $1,500 In Bonuses

BetMGM Sportsbook Review

• Up to $1,500 in Bonus Bets if Your First Bet Doesn't Win*

• *Bonus Bets Expire in 7 Days. One New Customer Offer Only. Add’l terms. 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET

BetMGM Sportsbook Review

• Up to $1,500 in Bonus Bets if Your First Bet Doesn't Win*

• *Bonus Bets Expire in 7 Days. One New Customer Offer Only. Add’l terms. 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET

Play Now

Copy promo code BETLINEUPS

2

Get $250 In Bonus Bets

Get $250 In Bonus Bets

FanDuel Sportsbook Review

T&Cs Apply. View Here.

21+ and present in OH. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER

• Get $250 in Bonus Bets When You Wager $5 for 5 Days ($50 Bonus Bets Per Day)

• Available on Desktop, Android & iOS

• Easy Deposits, Fast Withdrawals

FanDuel Sportsbook Review

T&Cs Apply. View Here.

21+ and present in OH. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER

• Get $250 in Bonus Bets When You Wager $5 for 5 Days ($50 Bonus Bets Per Day)

• Available on Desktop, Android & iOS

• Easy Deposits, Fast Withdrawals

Play Now No Code Needed

3

Get Up to $1,000 Matched in FanCash

Get Up to $1,000 Matched in FanCash

Fanatics Sportsbook Review

T&Cs Apply. View Here.

OH only. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. T&Cs apply. New customers in AZ, CO, CT, DC, IA, IL, IN, KS, KY, LA, MA, MD, MI, MO, NC, NJ, NY, OH, PA, TN, VA, VT, WV, or WY. Apply promotion in bet slip and place a $1+ cash wager (min odds -200) daily for 10 consecutive days starting day of account creation. FanCash rewards will equal the qualifying wager amount (max $100 FanCash/day). FanCash issued under this promotion expires at 11:59 p.m. ET 7 days from issuance. Terms, incl. FanCash terms, apply—see Fanatics Sportsbook app.

• Get a 100% Bet Match up to $100 in FanCash for 10 Days

• Earn FanCash & Spend it on Team Swag or More Bets

• Daily Odds & Profit Boosts on Select Games

Fanatics Sportsbook Review

T&Cs Apply. View Here.

OH only. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. T&Cs apply. New customers in AZ, CO, CT, DC, IA, IL, IN, KS, KY, LA, MA, MD, MI, MO, NC, NJ, NY, OH, PA, TN, VA, VT, WV, or WY. Apply promotion in bet slip and place a $1+ cash wager (min odds -200) daily for 10 consecutive days starting day of account creation. FanCash rewards will equal the qualifying wager amount (max $100 FanCash/day). FanCash issued under this promotion expires at 11:59 p.m. ET 7 days from issuance. Terms, incl. FanCash terms, apply—see Fanatics Sportsbook app.

• Get a 100% Bet Match up to $100 in FanCash for 10 Days

• Earn FanCash & Spend it on Team Swag or More Bets

• Daily Odds & Profit Boosts on Select Games

Play Now

Copy promo code LINEUPS

4

Spend $5+ Get $150 in Bonus Bets New User Bonus

Spend $5+ Get $150 in Bonus Bets New User Bonus

DraftKings Sportsbook Review

T&Cs Apply. View Here.

GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET, (800) 327-5050 or visit gamblinghelplinema.org (MA). Please Gamble Responsibly. 888-789-7777/visit ccpg.org (CT), or visit www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD), 1-800-981-0023 (PR). 21+ and present in most states. (18+ DC/NH/PR/WY). Void in CAN. Eligibility restrictions apply. On behalf of Boot Hill Casino (KS). Pass-thru of per wager tax may apply in IL. 1 per new DraftKings customer. $5+ first-time bet req. Max. $150 issued as non-withdrawable Bonus Bets. Stake removed from payout. Reward issued as $50 in Bonus Bets every 7 days via click-to-claim for 14 days. Bonus Bets and click-to-claims expire 7 days (168hrs) after issuance. Terms: sportsbook.draftkings.com/promos. Ends 10/18/26 at 11:59 PM ET. Sponsored by DK.

• Spend $5+ Get $150 in Bonus Bets Over 14 Days

• Plus Get up to $1,000 Deposit Bonus

• Bet on All Your Favorite Sports With America's Top-Rated Sportsbook

DraftKings Sportsbook Review

T&Cs Apply. View Here.

GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET, (800) 327-5050 or visit gamblinghelplinema.org (MA). Please Gamble Responsibly. 888-789-7777/visit ccpg.org (CT), or visit www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD), 1-800-981-0023 (PR). 21+ and present in most states. (18+ DC/NH/PR/WY). Void in CAN. Eligibility restrictions apply. On behalf of Boot Hill Casino (KS). Pass-thru of per wager tax may apply in IL. 1 per new DraftKings customer. $5+ first-time bet req. Max. $150 issued as non-withdrawable Bonus Bets. Stake removed from payout. Reward issued as $50 in Bonus Bets every 7 days via click-to-claim for 14 days. Bonus Bets and click-to-claims expire 7 days (168hrs) after issuance. Terms: sportsbook.draftkings.com/promos. Ends 10/18/26 at 11:59 PM ET. Sponsored by DK.

• Spend $5+ Get $150 in Bonus Bets Over 14 Days

• Plus Get up to $1,000 Deposit Bonus

• Bet on All Your Favorite Sports With America's Top-Rated Sportsbook

Play Now No Code Needed

5

Bet $10, Get $200 In Bonus Bets Win or Lose

Bet $10, Get $200 In Bonus Bets Win or Lose

Bet365 Sportsbook Review

• Bet $10 Get $200 in Bonus Bets Win or Lose

• 30% Extra on Same Game Parlay Profit

• T&Cs Apply. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET (AZ, CO, IL, IN, KS, KY, LA, MD, MI, MO, NC, NJ, OH, PA, TN, VA, WV) or 1-800-BETS OFF (IA). 21+ only. Please gamble responsibly. Must be present in AZ/CO/IA/IL/IN/KS/KY/LA(select parishes) /MD/MI/MO/NC/NJ/OH/PA/TN/VA/WV.

Bet365 Sportsbook Review

• Bet $10 Get $200 in Bonus Bets Win or Lose

• 30% Extra on Same Game Parlay Profit

• T&Cs Apply. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET (AZ, CO, IL, IN, KS, KY, LA, MD, MI, MO, NC, NJ, OH, PA, TN, VA, WV) or 1-800-BETS OFF (IA). 21+ only. Please gamble responsibly. Must be present in AZ/CO/IA/IL/IN/KS/KY/LA(select parishes) /MD/MI/MO/NC/NJ/OH/PA/TN/VA/WV.

Play Now

Copy promo code LINEUPSBET

Photo Credit: IMAGN IMAGES